Key Parameters of Russia's Long-Term Economic Development: A Scenario Analysis
Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development b...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
National Research University Higher School of Economics
2010-03-01
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| Series: | Foresight and STI Governance |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/article/view/19591 |
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| Summary: | Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising — innovation-based — scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant.
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| ISSN: | 2500-2597 |