Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithms

This study investigates the impact of business environment obstacles on the performance of Cottage, Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (CMSMEs) in Bangladesh, utilizing data from 998 firms in the 2022 World Bank Enterprise Survey. A recursive feature elimination algorithm identified ten key busine...

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Main Author: Chandan Kumar Roy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025004724
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author Chandan Kumar Roy
author_facet Chandan Kumar Roy
author_sort Chandan Kumar Roy
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the impact of business environment obstacles on the performance of Cottage, Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (CMSMEs) in Bangladesh, utilizing data from 998 firms in the 2022 World Bank Enterprise Survey. A recursive feature elimination algorithm identified ten key business factors and obstacles from an initial set of twenty-eight that significantly influence CMSME performance. Analysis using ordinary least squares (OLS) and generalized least squares (GLS) regression models reveals that investments in electricity infrastructure, access to financial services, and obtaining quality certifications positively impact CMSME performance. In contrast, challenges such as power outages, delays in licensing, uncompetitive practices, and stringent tax and labor regulations hinder performance. Additionally, the predictive accuracy of the OLS model was compared with several machine learning algorithms, including decision tree, random forest, support vector, and gradient boosting, using a 75-25 training-testing split and k-fold cross-validation. The findings provide data driven actionable insights for policymakers to address specific obstacles, thereby enhancing the business environment for CMSMEs in Bangladesh.
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spelling doaj-art-ba5c7aa8836b4cd5a2a25d24642cebf62025-02-02T05:28:58ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402025-01-01112e42092Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithmsChandan Kumar Roy0Credit Guarantee Department, Bangladesh Bank (Central Bank of Bangladesh), Head Office, Dhaka, 1000, BangladeshThis study investigates the impact of business environment obstacles on the performance of Cottage, Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (CMSMEs) in Bangladesh, utilizing data from 998 firms in the 2022 World Bank Enterprise Survey. A recursive feature elimination algorithm identified ten key business factors and obstacles from an initial set of twenty-eight that significantly influence CMSME performance. Analysis using ordinary least squares (OLS) and generalized least squares (GLS) regression models reveals that investments in electricity infrastructure, access to financial services, and obtaining quality certifications positively impact CMSME performance. In contrast, challenges such as power outages, delays in licensing, uncompetitive practices, and stringent tax and labor regulations hinder performance. Additionally, the predictive accuracy of the OLS model was compared with several machine learning algorithms, including decision tree, random forest, support vector, and gradient boosting, using a 75-25 training-testing split and k-fold cross-validation. The findings provide data driven actionable insights for policymakers to address specific obstacles, thereby enhancing the business environment for CMSMEs in Bangladesh.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025004724Business environmentFirm performanceCMSMEsMachine learning algorithmsFeature selection
spellingShingle Chandan Kumar Roy
Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithms
Heliyon
Business environment
Firm performance
CMSMEs
Machine learning algorithms
Feature selection
title Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithms
title_full Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithms
title_fullStr Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithms
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithms
title_short Dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in Bangladesh: Survey-based empirical insights using ML algorithms
title_sort dynamics between the obstacles of business environment and firm performance in bangladesh survey based empirical insights using ml algorithms
topic Business environment
Firm performance
CMSMEs
Machine learning algorithms
Feature selection
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025004724
work_keys_str_mv AT chandankumarroy dynamicsbetweentheobstaclesofbusinessenvironmentandfirmperformanceinbangladeshsurveybasedempiricalinsightsusingmlalgorithms