ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?

This paper explores possibilities of using rolling regression CAPM on the Zagreb Stock Exchange in portfolio and risk management. Since original model has many flaws, one of them including the assumption of constant parameters in the model, extending the model with the assumption of changing parame...

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Main Author: Tihana Škrinjarić
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics, University of Tuzla 2018-11-01
Series:Economic Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://er.ef.untz.ba/index.php/er/article/view/84
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author Tihana Škrinjarić
author_facet Tihana Škrinjarić
author_sort Tihana Škrinjarić
collection DOAJ
description This paper explores possibilities of using rolling regression CAPM on the Zagreb Stock Exchange in portfolio and risk management. Since original model has many flaws, one of them including the assumption of constant parameters in the model, extending the model with the assumption of changing parameters over time could lead to better results regarding portfolio risk and return. Furthermore, the rolling regression approach to CAPM estimation has not yet been observed on the Croatian and similar CEE markets, to the knowledge of the author. Weekly data on five sector indices from Zagreb Stock Exchange and the market index CROBEX with 91 day T-bill rates have been used for the period January 2012 – April 2018 in order to evaluate rolling regression CAPM on the Croatian market. Results from the analysis are used in simulating portfolio strategies in order to evaluate their performance regarding risk and return. Results indicate that such trading strategies could lead to better portfolio risk and return characteristics compared to the CROBEX benchmark, with the inclusion of transaction costs as well .
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institution Kabale University
issn 1512-8962
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language English
publishDate 2018-11-01
publisher Faculty of Economics, University of Tuzla
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spelling doaj-art-b99e4b47efe2449e91f5a4d3f6eb5bc62025-02-10T00:31:03ZengFaculty of Economics, University of TuzlaEconomic Review1512-89622303-680X2018-11-01162ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?Tihana Škrinjarić0Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, Croatia This paper explores possibilities of using rolling regression CAPM on the Zagreb Stock Exchange in portfolio and risk management. Since original model has many flaws, one of them including the assumption of constant parameters in the model, extending the model with the assumption of changing parameters over time could lead to better results regarding portfolio risk and return. Furthermore, the rolling regression approach to CAPM estimation has not yet been observed on the Croatian and similar CEE markets, to the knowledge of the author. Weekly data on five sector indices from Zagreb Stock Exchange and the market index CROBEX with 91 day T-bill rates have been used for the period January 2012 – April 2018 in order to evaluate rolling regression CAPM on the Croatian market. Results from the analysis are used in simulating portfolio strategies in order to evaluate their performance regarding risk and return. Results indicate that such trading strategies could lead to better portfolio risk and return characteristics compared to the CROBEX benchmark, with the inclusion of transaction costs as well . http://er.ef.untz.ba/index.php/er/article/view/84asset pricingrolling regressionrisk hedging
spellingShingle Tihana Škrinjarić
ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?
Economic Review
asset pricing
rolling regression
risk hedging
title ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?
title_full ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?
title_fullStr ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?
title_full_unstemmed ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?
title_short ROLLING REGRESSION CAPM ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE – CAN INVESTORS PROFIT FROM IT?
title_sort rolling regression capm on zagreb stock exchange can investors profit from it
topic asset pricing
rolling regression
risk hedging
url http://er.ef.untz.ba/index.php/er/article/view/84
work_keys_str_mv AT tihanaskrinjaric rollingregressioncapmonzagrebstockexchangecaninvestorsprofitfromit