Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine Copula

The frequently observed time-varying trends and dependence in recent years within financial markets have been essential for modeling and pricing. This study aims to analyze the dependence structure of banking sector stocks traded on the ISE100 index using time series and regular vine (R-vine) copula...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bükre Yıldırım Külekci, Gülden Poyraz, İsmail Gür, Ozan Evkaya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University Press 2023-06-01
Series:İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/E68EA99C09484EC7BB0101A794A3AFB5
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850144078733246464
author Bükre Yıldırım Külekci
Gülden Poyraz
İsmail Gür
Ozan Evkaya
author_facet Bükre Yıldırım Külekci
Gülden Poyraz
İsmail Gür
Ozan Evkaya
author_sort Bükre Yıldırım Külekci
collection DOAJ
description The frequently observed time-varying trends and dependence in recent years within financial markets have been essential for modeling and pricing. This study aims to analyze the dependence structure of banking sector stocks traded on the ISE100 index using time series and regular vine (R-vine) copula models. The study calculates the risk measures of value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) and tests with backtesting methods for the portfolio that are constructed by equally weighting the banking stocks. This study’s findings on banking stocks specifically indicate that the application of the R-vine copula combined with the generalized auto-regressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model improved the VaR and ES estimates compared to traditional GARCH-based approaches..
format Article
id doaj-art-b7e0d58ee8d442bbbaeb520ee8455135
institution OA Journals
issn 2602-3954
language English
publishDate 2023-06-01
publisher Istanbul University Press
record_format Article
series İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-b7e0d58ee8d442bbbaeb520ee84551352025-08-20T02:28:28ZengIstanbul University Pressİstanbul İktisat Dergisi2602-39542023-06-01731558210.26650/ISTJECON2022-1229039123456Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine CopulaBükre Yıldırım Külekci0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1246-9549Gülden Poyraz1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8324-6270İsmail Gür2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7014-4606Ozan Evkaya3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5076-8144Kaiserslautern Teknik Üniversitesi, Kaiserslautern, AlmanyaBandırma On Yedi Eylül Üniversitesi, Balikesir, TurkiyeHacettepe Üniversitesi, Ankara, TurkiyeUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United-KingdomThe frequently observed time-varying trends and dependence in recent years within financial markets have been essential for modeling and pricing. This study aims to analyze the dependence structure of banking sector stocks traded on the ISE100 index using time series and regular vine (R-vine) copula models. The study calculates the risk measures of value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) and tests with backtesting methods for the portfolio that are constructed by equally weighting the banking stocks. This study’s findings on banking stocks specifically indicate that the application of the R-vine copula combined with the generalized auto-regressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model improved the VaR and ES estimates compared to traditional GARCH-based approaches..https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/E68EA99C09484EC7BB0101A794A3AFB5vine copulafinancial marketrisk measures
spellingShingle Bükre Yıldırım Külekci
Gülden Poyraz
İsmail Gür
Ozan Evkaya
Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine Copula
İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
vine copula
financial market
risk measures
title Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine Copula
title_full Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine Copula
title_fullStr Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine Copula
title_full_unstemmed Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine Copula
title_short Dependence Analysis of the ISE100 Banking Sector Using Vine Copula
title_sort dependence analysis of the ise100 banking sector using vine copula
topic vine copula
financial market
risk measures
url https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/E68EA99C09484EC7BB0101A794A3AFB5
work_keys_str_mv AT bukreyıldırımkulekci dependenceanalysisoftheise100bankingsectorusingvinecopula
AT guldenpoyraz dependenceanalysisoftheise100bankingsectorusingvinecopula
AT ismailgur dependenceanalysisoftheise100bankingsectorusingvinecopula
AT ozanevkaya dependenceanalysisoftheise100bankingsectorusingvinecopula