Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau

Hydrological time series data (1988–2008) of the Hei River, the main water source to Zoige wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau, were investigated. Results showed that the runoff distribution of Hei River varies with the relative change in amplitude (Cm=15.9) and the absolute change in amplitude (...

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Main Authors: Guanghua Qin, Hongxia Li, Zejiang Zhou, Kechao Song, Li Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/529354
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author Guanghua Qin
Hongxia Li
Zejiang Zhou
Kechao Song
Li Zhang
author_facet Guanghua Qin
Hongxia Li
Zejiang Zhou
Kechao Song
Li Zhang
author_sort Guanghua Qin
collection DOAJ
description Hydrological time series data (1988–2008) of the Hei River, the main water source to Zoige wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau, were investigated. Results showed that the runoff distribution of Hei River varies with the relative change in amplitude (Cm=15.9) and the absolute change in amplitude (ΔQ=37.1 m3/s) during the year. There was a significant decreasing trend since 1988 with annual runoff of 20.0 m3/s (1988–1994), 19.0 m3/s (1995–2000), and 15.2 m3/s (2001–2008). There were double peaks in runoff during the water year: the highest peak in the period of 1988–2000 occurred in July while in the period of 2001–2008 it occurred in October. Shifting peak flow means less water quantity in wetland during growing season. Nearest neighbor bootstrapping regressive method was used to predict daily runoff of the Hei River. Model results show that it was fitted with 94.23% of R2 for daily time series, which can provide a basis for the development and utilization of regional water resources.
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spelling doaj-art-b7adfe368ddd43b39c239672d7cb7a632025-08-20T03:22:45ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172015-01-01201510.1155/2015/529354529354Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan PlateauGuanghua Qin0Hongxia Li1Zejiang Zhou2Kechao Song3Li Zhang4State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaGuangxi Water and Power Design Institute, Nanning 53000, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaEverglades Wetland Research Park, Florida Gulf Coast University, Naples, FL 34112, USAHydrological time series data (1988–2008) of the Hei River, the main water source to Zoige wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau, were investigated. Results showed that the runoff distribution of Hei River varies with the relative change in amplitude (Cm=15.9) and the absolute change in amplitude (ΔQ=37.1 m3/s) during the year. There was a significant decreasing trend since 1988 with annual runoff of 20.0 m3/s (1988–1994), 19.0 m3/s (1995–2000), and 15.2 m3/s (2001–2008). There were double peaks in runoff during the water year: the highest peak in the period of 1988–2000 occurred in July while in the period of 2001–2008 it occurred in October. Shifting peak flow means less water quantity in wetland during growing season. Nearest neighbor bootstrapping regressive method was used to predict daily runoff of the Hei River. Model results show that it was fitted with 94.23% of R2 for daily time series, which can provide a basis for the development and utilization of regional water resources.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/529354
spellingShingle Guanghua Qin
Hongxia Li
Zejiang Zhou
Kechao Song
Li Zhang
Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
Advances in Meteorology
title Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
title_full Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
title_fullStr Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
title_full_unstemmed Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
title_short Hydrologic Variations and Stochastic Modeling of Runoff in Zoige Wetland in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
title_sort hydrologic variations and stochastic modeling of runoff in zoige wetland in the eastern tibetan plateau
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/529354
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