Parameter Estimation and Forecasting Strategies for Cholera Dynamics: Insights from the 1991–1997 Peruvian Epidemic

Parameter Estimation and Forecasting Strategies for Cholera Dynamics: Insights from the 1991–1997 Peruvian Epidemic

Environmental transmission is a critical driver of cholera dynamics and a key factor influencing model-based inference and forecasting. This study focuses on stable parameter estimation and forecasting of cholera outbreaks using a compartmental SIRB model informed by three formulations of the enviro...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hamed Karami, Gerardo Chowell, Oscar J. Mujica, Alexandra Smirnova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
infectious diseases
parameter estimation
cholera transmission
forecasting
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/10/1692
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