Age-period-cohort analysis and prediction of tuberculosis trends in China—based on the Global Burden of Disease 2021 data

Age-period-cohort analysis and prediction of tuberculosis trends in China—based on the Global Burden of Disease 2021 data

BackgroundThis study explores the epidemic trend of tuberculosis (TB) in China from 1990 to 2021, analyzes its relationship with age-period-cohort factors from 1992 to 2021, and predicts the development trend of TB in China from 2022 to 2046.MethodsAnnual Percent Change (APC), Average Annual Percent...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhifei Chen, Xiaodie Chen, Minli Chang, Dongmei Lu, Liping Zhang, Yanling Zheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Public Health
Subjects:
tuberculosis
Joinpoint regression model
APC model
BAPC model
prediction
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1512514/full
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