Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan Earthquake

Understanding the accuracy of acceleration attenuation relationships is crucial for improving seismic hazard analysis and ensuring the safety of structures in earthquake-prone regions. However, existing models may not fully account for diverse site conditions and varying distances from the earthquak...

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Main Authors: Mansoureh Rezaeemanesh, Ali Alibazi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Pouyan Press 2025-01-01
Series:Computational Engineering and Physical Modeling
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Online Access:https://www.jcepm.com/article_214898_83e3ea143855d9f065940a23ce667d11.pdf
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author Mansoureh Rezaeemanesh
Ali Alibazi
author_facet Mansoureh Rezaeemanesh
Ali Alibazi
author_sort Mansoureh Rezaeemanesh
collection DOAJ
description Understanding the accuracy of acceleration attenuation relationships is crucial for improving seismic hazard analysis and ensuring the safety of structures in earthquake-prone regions. However, existing models may not fully account for diverse site conditions and varying distances from the earthquake source, potentially leading to inaccurate seismic predictions. The goal of this research is to evaluate the performance of available acceleration attenuation relationships for Iran in predicting ground motion during significant seismic events. To achieve this, the Khuzestan Province Earthquake of December 5, 2024, was selected as a case study. The earthquake’s characteristics—depth, source, and site parameters—were first estimated. Then, 11 established acceleration attenuation relationships developed between 1994 and 2023 were applied to calculate the Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and compared with actual recorded values. The findings revealed that PGA consistently decreases with increasing distance from the source. However, the performance of different attenuation relationships varied across distances and site conditions. Some models accurately predicted PGA near the fault but failed at greater distances or under different site conditions. Residual plot analysis also indicated higher precision within specific ranges. The research emphasizes the necessity of development of more accurate acceleration attenuation relations, by considering various site characteristics and implementing more advanced methods for improving the seismic hazard analysis. The obtained results could be utilized as a basis for seismic design of structures and development of localized relationships.
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spelling doaj-art-b633cf2bb72342f49209b1f9bf880d082025-08-20T03:38:02ZengPouyan PressComputational Engineering and Physical Modeling2588-69592025-01-01818310710.22115/cepm.2025.495690.1356214898Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan EarthquakeMansoureh Rezaeemanesh0Ali Alibazi1Master Graduated, Earthquake Engineer, Faculty of Civil, Water and Environmental Engineering, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, IranMaster Graduated, Earthquake Engineer, Faculty of Civil, Water and Environmental Engineering, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, IranUnderstanding the accuracy of acceleration attenuation relationships is crucial for improving seismic hazard analysis and ensuring the safety of structures in earthquake-prone regions. However, existing models may not fully account for diverse site conditions and varying distances from the earthquake source, potentially leading to inaccurate seismic predictions. The goal of this research is to evaluate the performance of available acceleration attenuation relationships for Iran in predicting ground motion during significant seismic events. To achieve this, the Khuzestan Province Earthquake of December 5, 2024, was selected as a case study. The earthquake’s characteristics—depth, source, and site parameters—were first estimated. Then, 11 established acceleration attenuation relationships developed between 1994 and 2023 were applied to calculate the Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and compared with actual recorded values. The findings revealed that PGA consistently decreases with increasing distance from the source. However, the performance of different attenuation relationships varied across distances and site conditions. Some models accurately predicted PGA near the fault but failed at greater distances or under different site conditions. Residual plot analysis also indicated higher precision within specific ranges. The research emphasizes the necessity of development of more accurate acceleration attenuation relations, by considering various site characteristics and implementing more advanced methods for improving the seismic hazard analysis. The obtained results could be utilized as a basis for seismic design of structures and development of localized relationships.https://www.jcepm.com/article_214898_83e3ea143855d9f065940a23ce667d11.pdfpeak ground acceleration attenuationsite conditionsnear- and far- field earthquakepeak ground accelerationseismic hazard analysis
spellingShingle Mansoureh Rezaeemanesh
Ali Alibazi
Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan Earthquake
Computational Engineering and Physical Modeling
peak ground acceleration attenuation
site conditions
near- and far- field earthquake
peak ground acceleration
seismic hazard analysis
title Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan Earthquake
title_full Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan Earthquake
title_fullStr Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan Earthquake
title_full_unstemmed Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan Earthquake
title_short Performance Evaluation of Earthquake Acceleration Attenuation Models (1994–2023): A Case Study of the December 5, 2024 Khuzestan Earthquake
title_sort performance evaluation of earthquake acceleration attenuation models 1994 2023 a case study of the december 5 2024 khuzestan earthquake
topic peak ground acceleration attenuation
site conditions
near- and far- field earthquake
peak ground acceleration
seismic hazard analysis
url https://www.jcepm.com/article_214898_83e3ea143855d9f065940a23ce667d11.pdf
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AT alialibazi performanceevaluationofearthquakeaccelerationattenuationmodels19942023acasestudyofthedecember52024khuzestanearthquake