Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform

Forecasting electricity consumption is an urgent task for generating companies, since it is currently impossible to accumulate electricity on an industrial scale. Also, the forecast is necessary for consumers to carry out technical work and other activities. The purpose of this work is to make...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: V. I. Skorokhodov, O. A. Lysenko, A. V. Simakov, S. A. Gorovoy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Omsk State Technical University, Federal State Autonoumos Educational Institution of Higher Education 2021-06-01
Series:Омский научный вестник
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.omgtu.ru/general_information/media_omgtu/journal_of_omsk_research_journal/files/arhiv/2021/%E2%84%96%203%20(177)%20(%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%92)/75-78%20%D0%A1%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%92.%20%D0%98.,%20%D0%9B%D1%8B%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE%20%D0%9E.%20%D0%90.,%20%D0%A1%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%90.%20%D0%92.%20%D0%B8%20%D0%B4%D1%80..pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832574056628486144
author V. I. Skorokhodov
O. A. Lysenko
A. V. Simakov
S. A. Gorovoy
author_facet V. I. Skorokhodov
O. A. Lysenko
A. V. Simakov
S. A. Gorovoy
author_sort V. I. Skorokhodov
collection DOAJ
description Forecasting electricity consumption is an urgent task for generating companies, since it is currently impossible to accumulate electricity on an industrial scale. Also, the forecast is necessary for consumers to carry out technical work and other activities. The purpose of this work is to make a forecast of electric energy consumption using the wavelet transform, and to select the optimal wavelet function for forecasting. Data for forecasting is a schedule of the load of the shop, which plays the role of a household room, warehouse, as well as a working office for personnel who service electrical installations at a production enterprise. Based on the results of the work, the optimal wavelet function is selected. The result of the work is a representation of the trend of electric energy consumption by the object under consideration, i.e. a forecast presented in the form of a graph, and a detailed component of the projected consumption is obtained, which in theory is justified as interference and sharply variable nature of electricity consumption.
format Article
id doaj-art-b5c0cb458e204b2ea4193ac1b81316d2
institution Kabale University
issn 1813-8225
2541-7541
language English
publishDate 2021-06-01
publisher Omsk State Technical University, Federal State Autonoumos Educational Institution of Higher Education
record_format Article
series Омский научный вестник
spelling doaj-art-b5c0cb458e204b2ea4193ac1b81316d22025-02-02T01:11:58ZengOmsk State Technical University, Federal State Autonoumos Educational Institution of Higher EducationОмский научный вестник1813-82252541-75412021-06-013 (177)757810.25206/1813-8225-2021-177-75-78Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transformV. I. Skorokhodov0O. A. Lysenko1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7924-5494A. V. Simakov2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9237-4469 S. A. Gorovoy3Omsk State Technical UniversityOmsk State Technical UniversityOmsk State Transport UniversityUgra State UniversityForecasting electricity consumption is an urgent task for generating companies, since it is currently impossible to accumulate electricity on an industrial scale. Also, the forecast is necessary for consumers to carry out technical work and other activities. The purpose of this work is to make a forecast of electric energy consumption using the wavelet transform, and to select the optimal wavelet function for forecasting. Data for forecasting is a schedule of the load of the shop, which plays the role of a household room, warehouse, as well as a working office for personnel who service electrical installations at a production enterprise. Based on the results of the work, the optimal wavelet function is selected. The result of the work is a representation of the trend of electric energy consumption by the object under consideration, i.e. a forecast presented in the form of a graph, and a detailed component of the projected consumption is obtained, which in theory is justified as interference and sharply variable nature of electricity consumption.https://www.omgtu.ru/general_information/media_omgtu/journal_of_omsk_research_journal/files/arhiv/2021/%E2%84%96%203%20(177)%20(%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%92)/75-78%20%D0%A1%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%92.%20%D0%98.,%20%D0%9B%D1%8B%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE%20%D0%9E.%20%D0%90.,%20%D0%A1%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%90.%20%D0%92.%20%D0%B8%20%D0%B4%D1%80..pdfshort-term forecastingtime seriesmathematical model of forecastinganalysis of electricity consumptionwavelet transformload graphforecasting methods
spellingShingle V. I. Skorokhodov
O. A. Lysenko
A. V. Simakov
S. A. Gorovoy
Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform
Омский научный вестник
short-term forecasting
time series
mathematical model of forecasting
analysis of electricity consumption
wavelet transform
load graph
forecasting methods
title Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform
title_full Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform
title_fullStr Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform
title_short Forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform
title_sort forecasting consumption of electric energy by using wavelet transform
topic short-term forecasting
time series
mathematical model of forecasting
analysis of electricity consumption
wavelet transform
load graph
forecasting methods
url https://www.omgtu.ru/general_information/media_omgtu/journal_of_omsk_research_journal/files/arhiv/2021/%E2%84%96%203%20(177)%20(%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%92)/75-78%20%D0%A1%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%92.%20%D0%98.,%20%D0%9B%D1%8B%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE%20%D0%9E.%20%D0%90.,%20%D0%A1%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%90.%20%D0%92.%20%D0%B8%20%D0%B4%D1%80..pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT viskorokhodov forecastingconsumptionofelectricenergybyusingwavelettransform
AT oalysenko forecastingconsumptionofelectricenergybyusingwavelettransform
AT avsimakov forecastingconsumptionofelectricenergybyusingwavelettransform
AT sagorovoy forecastingconsumptionofelectricenergybyusingwavelettransform