Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing Risk
The construction industry continues to face challenges such as increased costs, time overruns, and low quality. Off-site construction (OSC) methods are increasingly being adopted as alternatives to traditional construction practices to address these issues, with off-site manufacturing (OSM) represen...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2025-03-01
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| Series: | Buildings |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/7/1138 |
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| author | Lin Zhang Yanan Hou |
| author_facet | Lin Zhang Yanan Hou |
| author_sort | Lin Zhang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The construction industry continues to face challenges such as increased costs, time overruns, and low quality. Off-site construction (OSC) methods are increasingly being adopted as alternatives to traditional construction practices to address these issues, with off-site manufacturing (OSM) representing a key difference in construction methods. However, existing studies have largely neglected the systematic evaluation of OSM risks on quality, cost, and delivery (QCD) outcomes, leaving a significant gap in understanding the complex interdependencies among risk factors. To improve risk management in OSC projects, it is crucial to evaluate the impact of OSM risks on QCD outcomes. This study applies the Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) method to develop an evaluation model that measures the impact of OSM risks on QCD outcomes in OSC projects. The results identify 12 significant risk factors affecting QCD outcomes in OSC projects. Five key risk groups were identified as critical for managing OSM risks. This approach provides a systematic framework for managing OSM risks and optimizing OSC practices in China. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-b54c5510801e441dadfe132cef7dc42a |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2075-5309 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Buildings |
| spelling | doaj-art-b54c5510801e441dadfe132cef7dc42a2025-08-20T03:06:32ZengMDPI AGBuildings2075-53092025-03-01157113810.3390/buildings15071138Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing RiskLin Zhang0Yanan Hou1Department of Traffic Safety, China Academy of Safety Science and Technology, Beijing 100012, ChinaCollege of Geological Engineering and Geomatics, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710018, ChinaThe construction industry continues to face challenges such as increased costs, time overruns, and low quality. Off-site construction (OSC) methods are increasingly being adopted as alternatives to traditional construction practices to address these issues, with off-site manufacturing (OSM) representing a key difference in construction methods. However, existing studies have largely neglected the systematic evaluation of OSM risks on quality, cost, and delivery (QCD) outcomes, leaving a significant gap in understanding the complex interdependencies among risk factors. To improve risk management in OSC projects, it is crucial to evaluate the impact of OSM risks on QCD outcomes. This study applies the Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) method to develop an evaluation model that measures the impact of OSM risks on QCD outcomes in OSC projects. The results identify 12 significant risk factors affecting QCD outcomes in OSC projects. Five key risk groups were identified as critical for managing OSM risks. This approach provides a systematic framework for managing OSM risks and optimizing OSC practices in China.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/7/1138Bayesian belief networkoff-site manufacturingrisk management |
| spellingShingle | Lin Zhang Yanan Hou Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing Risk Buildings Bayesian belief network off-site manufacturing risk management |
| title | Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing Risk |
| title_full | Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing Risk |
| title_fullStr | Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing Risk |
| title_full_unstemmed | Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing Risk |
| title_short | Bayesian Belief Network Analysis for Chinese Off-Site Manufacturing Risk |
| title_sort | bayesian belief network analysis for chinese off site manufacturing risk |
| topic | Bayesian belief network off-site manufacturing risk management |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/7/1138 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT linzhang bayesianbeliefnetworkanalysisforchineseoffsitemanufacturingrisk AT yananhou bayesianbeliefnetworkanalysisforchineseoffsitemanufacturingrisk |