Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study

Abstract Background A single-center retrospective study was designed to investigate the risk factors associated with delayed discharge from the Anesthesia Intensive Care Unit (AICU). Methods This retrospective study involved patients admitted in the AICU from January 2017 to December 2022. Risk fact...

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Main Authors: Yue Qian, Jing Hao, Wei Zhu, Yan Yang, Zhuan-yun Zhang, Lu-yang Zhou, Xiao-ping Gu, Zheng-liang Ma, Yu-e Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-02-01
Series:BMC Anesthesiology
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-025-02925-2
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author Yue Qian
Jing Hao
Wei Zhu
Yan Yang
Zhuan-yun Zhang
Lu-yang Zhou
Xiao-ping Gu
Zheng-liang Ma
Yu-e Sun
author_facet Yue Qian
Jing Hao
Wei Zhu
Yan Yang
Zhuan-yun Zhang
Lu-yang Zhou
Xiao-ping Gu
Zheng-liang Ma
Yu-e Sun
author_sort Yue Qian
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background A single-center retrospective study was designed to investigate the risk factors associated with delayed discharge from the Anesthesia Intensive Care Unit (AICU). Methods This retrospective study involved patients admitted in the AICU from January 2017 to December 2022. Risk factors for the delayed discharge from the AICU were analyzed by the binary multivariate logistic regression analysis. Nomogram was constructed to predict the risk of delayed discharge from AICU. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve. A decision curve analysis was also performed to determine the net benefit threshold of prediction. Results A total of 14,338 patients admitted in the AICU were retrospectively recruited, involving 9,271 males and 5,067 females. The incidence of delayed discharge from the AICU in the cohort was 1.54% (221/14,338). Binary multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that younger than 18 years or older than 64 years, the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status of class III-IV, body mass index of less than 18 kg/m2 or greater than 25 kg/m2, preoperative complications, emergency surgeries and intraoperative massive hemorrhage were risk factors for the delayed discharge from an AICU. We utilized nomograms to visually express data analysis results. Based on receiver operating characteristic analysis, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis, we concluded that the nomogram model exhibited excellent performance. Patients undergoing spine surgeries suffered from the highest proportion of delayed discharge from the AICU, followed by those receiving orthopedic and vascular surgeries. Postoperative hemorrhage was the major cause of delayed discharge from an AICU, followed by septic shock, hypoperfusion and pulmonary insufficiency. Conclusion The incidence of delayed discharge from the AICU in a single-center tertiary hospital is 1.54%. It is influenced by various risk factors, including age, ASA physical status classification, BMI, preoperative complications, type of surgery and intraoperative blood loss. The nomogram model exhibits excellent performance. Trial registration The single-center retrospective study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital (No. 2021-563-01, Data: 22 November 2021) and registered on the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (No. ChiCTR2300078251, Data: 01 December 2023).
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spelling doaj-art-b4eeb8ded2d043e8a742d306ff3a82d12025-02-09T12:51:59ZengBMCBMC Anesthesiology1471-22532025-02-012511910.1186/s12871-025-02925-2Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective studyYue Qian0Jing Hao1Wei Zhu2Yan Yang3Zhuan-yun Zhang4Lu-yang Zhou5Xiao-ping Gu6Zheng-liang Ma7Yu-e Sun8Department of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolDepartment of Anesthesiology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical SchoolAbstract Background A single-center retrospective study was designed to investigate the risk factors associated with delayed discharge from the Anesthesia Intensive Care Unit (AICU). Methods This retrospective study involved patients admitted in the AICU from January 2017 to December 2022. Risk factors for the delayed discharge from the AICU were analyzed by the binary multivariate logistic regression analysis. Nomogram was constructed to predict the risk of delayed discharge from AICU. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve. A decision curve analysis was also performed to determine the net benefit threshold of prediction. Results A total of 14,338 patients admitted in the AICU were retrospectively recruited, involving 9,271 males and 5,067 females. The incidence of delayed discharge from the AICU in the cohort was 1.54% (221/14,338). Binary multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that younger than 18 years or older than 64 years, the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status of class III-IV, body mass index of less than 18 kg/m2 or greater than 25 kg/m2, preoperative complications, emergency surgeries and intraoperative massive hemorrhage were risk factors for the delayed discharge from an AICU. We utilized nomograms to visually express data analysis results. Based on receiver operating characteristic analysis, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis, we concluded that the nomogram model exhibited excellent performance. Patients undergoing spine surgeries suffered from the highest proportion of delayed discharge from the AICU, followed by those receiving orthopedic and vascular surgeries. Postoperative hemorrhage was the major cause of delayed discharge from an AICU, followed by septic shock, hypoperfusion and pulmonary insufficiency. Conclusion The incidence of delayed discharge from the AICU in a single-center tertiary hospital is 1.54%. It is influenced by various risk factors, including age, ASA physical status classification, BMI, preoperative complications, type of surgery and intraoperative blood loss. The nomogram model exhibits excellent performance. Trial registration The single-center retrospective study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital (No. 2021-563-01, Data: 22 November 2021) and registered on the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (No. ChiCTR2300078251, Data: 01 December 2023).https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-025-02925-2AICUDelayed dischargeLogistic regressionNomogramRetrospective study
spellingShingle Yue Qian
Jing Hao
Wei Zhu
Yan Yang
Zhuan-yun Zhang
Lu-yang Zhou
Xiao-ping Gu
Zheng-liang Ma
Yu-e Sun
Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study
BMC Anesthesiology
AICU
Delayed discharge
Logistic regression
Nomogram
Retrospective study
title Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study
title_full Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study
title_fullStr Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study
title_full_unstemmed Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study
title_short Risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit: a single-center retrospective study
title_sort risk factors for the delayed discharge from anesthesia intensive care unit a single center retrospective study
topic AICU
Delayed discharge
Logistic regression
Nomogram
Retrospective study
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-025-02925-2
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