Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening Channels

Abstract River‐controlled permafrost dynamics are crucial for sediment transport, infrastructure stability, and carbon cycle, yet are not well understood under climate change. Leveraging remotely sensed datasets, in‐situ hydrological observations, and physics‐based models, we reveal overall warming...

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Main Authors: Yi Zhao, Dongfeng Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112752
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author Yi Zhao
Dongfeng Li
author_facet Yi Zhao
Dongfeng Li
author_sort Yi Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract River‐controlled permafrost dynamics are crucial for sediment transport, infrastructure stability, and carbon cycle, yet are not well understood under climate change. Leveraging remotely sensed datasets, in‐situ hydrological observations, and physics‐based models, we reveal overall warming and widening rivers across the Tibetan Plateau in recent decades, driving accelerated sub‐river permafrost thaw. River temperature of a representative section (Tuotuohe River) on the central Tibetan Plateau, has increased notably (0.39°C/decade) from 1985 to 2017, facilitating heat transfer into the underlying permafrost via both convection and conduction. Consequently, the permafrost beneath rivers warms faster (0.37°C–0.66°C/decade) and has a ∼0.5 m thicker active layer than non‐inundated permafrost (0.17°C–0.49°C/decade). With increasing river discharge, the inundated area expands laterally along the riverbed (16.4 m/decade), further accelerating permafrost thaw for previously non‐inundated bars. Under future warmer and wetter climate, the anticipated intensification of sub‐river permafrost degradation will pose risks to riverine infrastructure and amplify permafrost carbon release.
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spelling doaj-art-b4c66044879148008bb0ce78d77aaa122025-01-20T13:05:57ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072025-01-01521n/an/a10.1029/2024GL112752Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening ChannelsYi Zhao0Dongfeng Li1Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences Ministry of Education College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering Peking University Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences Ministry of Education College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering Peking University Beijing ChinaAbstract River‐controlled permafrost dynamics are crucial for sediment transport, infrastructure stability, and carbon cycle, yet are not well understood under climate change. Leveraging remotely sensed datasets, in‐situ hydrological observations, and physics‐based models, we reveal overall warming and widening rivers across the Tibetan Plateau in recent decades, driving accelerated sub‐river permafrost thaw. River temperature of a representative section (Tuotuohe River) on the central Tibetan Plateau, has increased notably (0.39°C/decade) from 1985 to 2017, facilitating heat transfer into the underlying permafrost via both convection and conduction. Consequently, the permafrost beneath rivers warms faster (0.37°C–0.66°C/decade) and has a ∼0.5 m thicker active layer than non‐inundated permafrost (0.17°C–0.49°C/decade). With increasing river discharge, the inundated area expands laterally along the riverbed (16.4 m/decade), further accelerating permafrost thaw for previously non‐inundated bars. Under future warmer and wetter climate, the anticipated intensification of sub‐river permafrost degradation will pose risks to riverine infrastructure and amplify permafrost carbon release.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112752permafrostriver dynamicsriver‐ground heat transferriverine infrastructureriverbank erosioncarbon cycle
spellingShingle Yi Zhao
Dongfeng Li
Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening Channels
Geophysical Research Letters
permafrost
river dynamics
river‐ground heat transfer
riverine infrastructure
riverbank erosion
carbon cycle
title Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening Channels
title_full Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening Channels
title_fullStr Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening Channels
title_full_unstemmed Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening Channels
title_short Accelerated Permafrost Thaw Linked to Rising River Temperature and Widening Channels
title_sort accelerated permafrost thaw linked to rising river temperature and widening channels
topic permafrost
river dynamics
river‐ground heat transfer
riverine infrastructure
riverbank erosion
carbon cycle
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112752
work_keys_str_mv AT yizhao acceleratedpermafrostthawlinkedtorisingrivertemperatureandwideningchannels
AT dongfengli acceleratedpermafrostthawlinkedtorisingrivertemperatureandwideningchannels