Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model

In order to improve wind power prediction accuracy and increase the utilization of wind power, this study proposes a novel complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)–variational modal decomposition (VMD)–gated recurrent unit (GRU) prediction model. With the goal of...

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Main Authors: Na Fang, Zhengguang Liu, Shilei Fan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-03-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/6/1465
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author Na Fang
Zhengguang Liu
Shilei Fan
author_facet Na Fang
Zhengguang Liu
Shilei Fan
author_sort Na Fang
collection DOAJ
description In order to improve wind power prediction accuracy and increase the utilization of wind power, this study proposes a novel complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)–variational modal decomposition (VMD)–gated recurrent unit (GRU) prediction model. With the goal of extracting feature information that existed in temporal series data, CEEMDAN and VMD decomposition are used to divide the raw wind data into several intrinsic modal function components. Furthermore, to reduce computational burden and enhance convergence speed, these intrinsic mode function (IMF) components are integrated and rebuilt via the results of sample entropy and K-means. Lastly, to ensure the completeness of the prediction outcomes, the final prediction results are synthesized through the superposition of all IMF components. The simulation results indicate that the proposed model is superior to other models in accuracy and robustness.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1996-1073
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher MDPI AG
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series Energies
spelling doaj-art-b4b738b9bc4f41459997332e0f2d38752025-08-20T03:43:02ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732025-03-01186146510.3390/en18061465Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid ModelNa Fang0Zhengguang Liu1Shilei Fan2Hubei Key Laboratory for High-Efficiency Utilization of Solar Energy and Operation Control of Energy Storage System, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan 430068, ChinaHubei Key Laboratory for High-Efficiency Utilization of Solar Energy and Operation Control of Energy Storage System, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan 430068, ChinaHubei Key Laboratory for High-Efficiency Utilization of Solar Energy and Operation Control of Energy Storage System, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan 430068, ChinaIn order to improve wind power prediction accuracy and increase the utilization of wind power, this study proposes a novel complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)–variational modal decomposition (VMD)–gated recurrent unit (GRU) prediction model. With the goal of extracting feature information that existed in temporal series data, CEEMDAN and VMD decomposition are used to divide the raw wind data into several intrinsic modal function components. Furthermore, to reduce computational burden and enhance convergence speed, these intrinsic mode function (IMF) components are integrated and rebuilt via the results of sample entropy and K-means. Lastly, to ensure the completeness of the prediction outcomes, the final prediction results are synthesized through the superposition of all IMF components. The simulation results indicate that the proposed model is superior to other models in accuracy and robustness.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/6/1465time series data predictionhybrid deep learninggated recurrent unitCEEMDANVMDsecondary decomposition
spellingShingle Na Fang
Zhengguang Liu
Shilei Fan
Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model
Energies
time series data prediction
hybrid deep learning
gated recurrent unit
CEEMDAN
VMD
secondary decomposition
title Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model
title_full Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model
title_fullStr Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model
title_full_unstemmed Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model
title_short Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model
title_sort short term wind power prediction method based on ceemdan vmd gru hybrid model
topic time series data prediction
hybrid deep learning
gated recurrent unit
CEEMDAN
VMD
secondary decomposition
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/6/1465
work_keys_str_mv AT nafang shorttermwindpowerpredictionmethodbasedonceemdanvmdgruhybridmodel
AT zhengguangliu shorttermwindpowerpredictionmethodbasedonceemdanvmdgruhybridmodel
AT shileifan shorttermwindpowerpredictionmethodbasedonceemdanvmdgruhybridmodel