Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction

Abstract Countries increasingly rely on metal ores for the energy transition but face potential supply constraints. Here we combine multi-region input–output analysis with corporate ownership data from 2000 to 2022 for ten widely used metals, and visualize the results using Sankey diagrams for 159 c...

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Main Authors: Baptiste Andrieu, Karla Cervantes Barron, Mehrnoosh Heydari, Amir H. Keshavarzzadeh, Jonathan Cullen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-05-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02321-1
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author Baptiste Andrieu
Karla Cervantes Barron
Mehrnoosh Heydari
Amir H. Keshavarzzadeh
Jonathan Cullen
author_facet Baptiste Andrieu
Karla Cervantes Barron
Mehrnoosh Heydari
Amir H. Keshavarzzadeh
Jonathan Cullen
author_sort Baptiste Andrieu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Countries increasingly rely on metal ores for the energy transition but face potential supply constraints. Here we combine multi-region input–output analysis with corporate ownership data from 2000 to 2022 for ten widely used metals, and visualize the results using Sankey diagrams for 159 countries plus four world regions. We find no association between a country’s wealth and the share of its locally extracted ores under domestic control, highlighting the highly globalized nature of the mining sector. Similarly, overseas mine ownership does not translate into direct material flows back to the controlling region, indicating that market forces can overshadow corporate influence. Despite no measurable trade shifts, foreign ownership remains a potential lever for supply chain disruptions. By integrating corporate control into criticality assessments, policymakers can identify future vulnerabilities and strengthen resource security. Enhanced data transparency is also essential for building resilient supply chains.
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publishDate 2025-05-01
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series Communications Earth & Environment
spelling doaj-art-b47d65d1c0904ae4bc5bf9e2f81ff7f32025-08-20T01:51:36ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352025-05-016111110.1038/s43247-025-02321-1Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extractionBaptiste Andrieu0Karla Cervantes Barron1Mehrnoosh Heydari2Amir H. Keshavarzzadeh3Jonathan Cullen4University of Cambridge, Department of EngineeringUniversity of Cambridge, Department of EngineeringUniversity of Cambridge, Department of EngineeringUniversity of Cambridge, Department of EngineeringUniversity of Cambridge, Department of EngineeringAbstract Countries increasingly rely on metal ores for the energy transition but face potential supply constraints. Here we combine multi-region input–output analysis with corporate ownership data from 2000 to 2022 for ten widely used metals, and visualize the results using Sankey diagrams for 159 countries plus four world regions. We find no association between a country’s wealth and the share of its locally extracted ores under domestic control, highlighting the highly globalized nature of the mining sector. Similarly, overseas mine ownership does not translate into direct material flows back to the controlling region, indicating that market forces can overshadow corporate influence. Despite no measurable trade shifts, foreign ownership remains a potential lever for supply chain disruptions. By integrating corporate control into criticality assessments, policymakers can identify future vulnerabilities and strengthen resource security. Enhanced data transparency is also essential for building resilient supply chains.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02321-1
spellingShingle Baptiste Andrieu
Karla Cervantes Barron
Mehrnoosh Heydari
Amir H. Keshavarzzadeh
Jonathan Cullen
Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction
Communications Earth & Environment
title Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction
title_full Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction
title_fullStr Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction
title_full_unstemmed Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction
title_short Country’s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction
title_sort country s wealth is not associated with domestic control of metal ore extraction
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02321-1
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