Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia

How do Southeast Asian states perceive a China-led regional order? To answer this question, we conducted a survey of elites from Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam, countries that are “least likely” to acquiesce to a China-led regional order. Our survey indicates...

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Main Authors: Selina Ho, Terence Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2025-04-01
Series:Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/18681034241294093
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author Selina Ho
Terence Lee
author_facet Selina Ho
Terence Lee
author_sort Selina Ho
collection DOAJ
description How do Southeast Asian states perceive a China-led regional order? To answer this question, we conducted a survey of elites from Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam, countries that are “least likely” to acquiesce to a China-led regional order. Our survey indicates that although most elites view China as influential and have a cultural affinity with it, they do not perceive China as having the authority to preside over the regional order. They do not identify with China's political values and the normative order it propounds. Our survey also reveals the salience of ASEAN as the region navigates great power rivalry. We explain these views by drawing from the concept of legitimate authority. Our findings are significant; if China cannot persuade its Southeast Asian neighbours of its right to lead, it will be even harder for China to exercise global leadership.
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1868-4882
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publishDate 2025-04-01
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record_format Article
series Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs
spelling doaj-art-b46f063e30cd4a559a34bedd8e1ff3ab2025-08-20T03:39:48ZengSAGE PublishingJournal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs1868-10341868-48822025-04-014410.1177/18681034241294093Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast AsiaSelina Ho0Terence Lee1 , , Singapore, Singapore Department of Political Science, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, , Singapore, SingaporeHow do Southeast Asian states perceive a China-led regional order? To answer this question, we conducted a survey of elites from Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam, countries that are “least likely” to acquiesce to a China-led regional order. Our survey indicates that although most elites view China as influential and have a cultural affinity with it, they do not perceive China as having the authority to preside over the regional order. They do not identify with China's political values and the normative order it propounds. Our survey also reveals the salience of ASEAN as the region navigates great power rivalry. We explain these views by drawing from the concept of legitimate authority. Our findings are significant; if China cannot persuade its Southeast Asian neighbours of its right to lead, it will be even harder for China to exercise global leadership.https://doi.org/10.1177/18681034241294093
spellingShingle Selina Ho
Terence Lee
Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia
Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs
title Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia
title_full Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia
title_fullStr Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia
title_full_unstemmed Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia
title_short Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia
title_sort elite perceptions of a china led regional order in southeast asia
url https://doi.org/10.1177/18681034241294093
work_keys_str_mv AT selinaho eliteperceptionsofachinaledregionalorderinsoutheastasia
AT terencelee eliteperceptionsofachinaledregionalorderinsoutheastasia