Targeting climate finance for global forests
Abstract Comprehensive data on costs of mitigation are needed to guide the scale and distribution of climate finance to sectors and regions where it will be most cost effective. We estimate the finance required to meet regional forest-based mitigation targets, aggregated from Nationally Determined C...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-61657-6 |
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| author | Kemen G. Austin Alice Favero Nicklas Forsell Brent L. Sohngen Chris M. Wade Sara B. Ohrel Shaun Ragnauth |
| author_facet | Kemen G. Austin Alice Favero Nicklas Forsell Brent L. Sohngen Chris M. Wade Sara B. Ohrel Shaun Ragnauth |
| author_sort | Kemen G. Austin |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Comprehensive data on costs of mitigation are needed to guide the scale and distribution of climate finance to sectors and regions where it will be most cost effective. We estimate the finance required to meet regional forest-based mitigation targets, aggregated from Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Regions accounting for 70% of global forest carbon can meet their forest-based NDCs with carbon prices below $100/tonne CO2. The total investment required to meet regional targets is $20-72 billion per year by 2030. Under a global coordination scenario, in which the same level of finance is available, but mitigation takes place where it is least costly, we project twice as much mitigation in 2030 as in the upper bound NDC scenario, at the same cost. This highlights potential cost savings from increasing mitigation in regions with low-cost mitigation potential that is not reflected in current national commitments and informs the next generation of NDCs. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-b3afa2cd43c3498ab69fc3c7d2c0f10e |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-07-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj-art-b3afa2cd43c3498ab69fc3c7d2c0f10e2025-08-20T03:05:15ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-07-011611910.1038/s41467-025-61657-6Targeting climate finance for global forestsKemen G. Austin0Alice Favero1Nicklas Forsell2Brent L. Sohngen3Chris M. Wade4Sara B. Ohrel5Shaun Ragnauth6RTI International, Center for Applied Economics and Strategy, 3040 E Cornwallis RdRTI International, Center for Applied Economics and Strategy, 3040 E Cornwallis RdInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1The Ohio State University, Department of Agricultural, Environmental and Development EconomicsRTI International, Center for Applied Economics and Strategy, 3040 E Cornwallis RdU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Climate Change Division, 1200 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.WU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Climate Change Division, 1200 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.WAbstract Comprehensive data on costs of mitigation are needed to guide the scale and distribution of climate finance to sectors and regions where it will be most cost effective. We estimate the finance required to meet regional forest-based mitigation targets, aggregated from Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Regions accounting for 70% of global forest carbon can meet their forest-based NDCs with carbon prices below $100/tonne CO2. The total investment required to meet regional targets is $20-72 billion per year by 2030. Under a global coordination scenario, in which the same level of finance is available, but mitigation takes place where it is least costly, we project twice as much mitigation in 2030 as in the upper bound NDC scenario, at the same cost. This highlights potential cost savings from increasing mitigation in regions with low-cost mitigation potential that is not reflected in current national commitments and informs the next generation of NDCs.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-61657-6 |
| spellingShingle | Kemen G. Austin Alice Favero Nicklas Forsell Brent L. Sohngen Chris M. Wade Sara B. Ohrel Shaun Ragnauth Targeting climate finance for global forests Nature Communications |
| title | Targeting climate finance for global forests |
| title_full | Targeting climate finance for global forests |
| title_fullStr | Targeting climate finance for global forests |
| title_full_unstemmed | Targeting climate finance for global forests |
| title_short | Targeting climate finance for global forests |
| title_sort | targeting climate finance for global forests |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-61657-6 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kemengaustin targetingclimatefinanceforglobalforests AT alicefavero targetingclimatefinanceforglobalforests AT nicklasforsell targetingclimatefinanceforglobalforests AT brentlsohngen targetingclimatefinanceforglobalforests AT chrismwade targetingclimatefinanceforglobalforests AT sarabohrel targetingclimatefinanceforglobalforests AT shaunragnauth targetingclimatefinanceforglobalforests |