Cooperation in the face of disaster.

As calamities and health crises are expected to recur and become more frequent, we rely more on cooperation to prevent similar situations and to cope with their aftermaths. However, it is not clear if, how and why people cooperate in uncertain situations where losses can result from inadequate coope...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marijane Luistro Jonsson, Markus Jonsson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318891
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849702124331466752
author Marijane Luistro Jonsson
Markus Jonsson
author_facet Marijane Luistro Jonsson
Markus Jonsson
author_sort Marijane Luistro Jonsson
collection DOAJ
description As calamities and health crises are expected to recur and become more frequent, we rely more on cooperation to prevent similar situations and to cope with their aftermaths. However, it is not clear if, how and why people cooperate in uncertain situations where losses can result from inadequate cooperation. Through theoretical modelling, experiments and simulations, we show the behavioural patterns driving cooperation in a stochastic environment. Specifically, by introducing stochastic shocks to a threshold public goods game where one can randomly incur losses when group contributions are below a specific level, we investigate what happens to cooperation when disasters strike repeatedly. The findings show that compared to a control setting, cooperation is higher and persists when there is a risk for disasters to strike, and that this is sustained by unconditional cooperation. People give more and do not match the contributions of others, contrasting the conditionality observed in deterministic environments. In other words, we observe a contribution divergence in uncertain environments wherein some give unconditionally while others free-ride. We study three different types of uncertainty about the disaster: the probability of a disaster, additionally if it is uncertain how much cooperation is required to avoid them (threshold level), and how much losses will be incurred (impact). The results are similar in countries having different natural disaster risks, the Philippines and Sweden. Simulating for a longer time period suggests the importance of promoting unconditionality to foster sustained cooperation in facing an uncertain world.
format Article
id doaj-art-b3a57590ff874633b324d0e065dcb7eb
institution DOAJ
issn 1932-6203
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj-art-b3a57590ff874633b324d0e065dcb7eb2025-08-20T03:17:44ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01204e031889110.1371/journal.pone.0318891Cooperation in the face of disaster.Marijane Luistro JonssonMarkus JonssonAs calamities and health crises are expected to recur and become more frequent, we rely more on cooperation to prevent similar situations and to cope with their aftermaths. However, it is not clear if, how and why people cooperate in uncertain situations where losses can result from inadequate cooperation. Through theoretical modelling, experiments and simulations, we show the behavioural patterns driving cooperation in a stochastic environment. Specifically, by introducing stochastic shocks to a threshold public goods game where one can randomly incur losses when group contributions are below a specific level, we investigate what happens to cooperation when disasters strike repeatedly. The findings show that compared to a control setting, cooperation is higher and persists when there is a risk for disasters to strike, and that this is sustained by unconditional cooperation. People give more and do not match the contributions of others, contrasting the conditionality observed in deterministic environments. In other words, we observe a contribution divergence in uncertain environments wherein some give unconditionally while others free-ride. We study three different types of uncertainty about the disaster: the probability of a disaster, additionally if it is uncertain how much cooperation is required to avoid them (threshold level), and how much losses will be incurred (impact). The results are similar in countries having different natural disaster risks, the Philippines and Sweden. Simulating for a longer time period suggests the importance of promoting unconditionality to foster sustained cooperation in facing an uncertain world.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318891
spellingShingle Marijane Luistro Jonsson
Markus Jonsson
Cooperation in the face of disaster.
PLoS ONE
title Cooperation in the face of disaster.
title_full Cooperation in the face of disaster.
title_fullStr Cooperation in the face of disaster.
title_full_unstemmed Cooperation in the face of disaster.
title_short Cooperation in the face of disaster.
title_sort cooperation in the face of disaster
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318891
work_keys_str_mv AT marijaneluistrojonsson cooperationinthefaceofdisaster
AT markusjonsson cooperationinthefaceofdisaster