Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysis

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic has raised concerns about continuity of care for chronic diseases such as diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. Although studies have documented declines in healthcare utilization, few have assessed individual-level patterns of treatment interruption. Me...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tomoki Ishikawa, Akihito Kako, Jumpei Sato, Junko Hattori, Hiromasa Yoshimoto, Masaru Kitsuregawa, Kazuo Goda, Yoshimitsu Takahashi, Takeo Nakayama, Naohiro Mitsutake
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-05-01
Series:BMC Health Services Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-025-12798-3
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849731883852627968
author Tomoki Ishikawa
Akihito Kako
Jumpei Sato
Junko Hattori
Hiromasa Yoshimoto
Masaru Kitsuregawa
Kazuo Goda
Yoshimitsu Takahashi
Takeo Nakayama
Naohiro Mitsutake
author_facet Tomoki Ishikawa
Akihito Kako
Jumpei Sato
Junko Hattori
Hiromasa Yoshimoto
Masaru Kitsuregawa
Kazuo Goda
Yoshimitsu Takahashi
Takeo Nakayama
Naohiro Mitsutake
author_sort Tomoki Ishikawa
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic has raised concerns about continuity of care for chronic diseases such as diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. Although studies have documented declines in healthcare utilization, few have assessed individual-level patterns of treatment interruption. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using administrative claims data (2018–2021) from a Prefecture, Japan. Eligible patients were diagnosed with and prescribed medications for diabetes mellitus, hypertension, or dyslipidemia in January of 2019 or 2020 and followed until December of each year. The primary outcome was the time-to- interruption of physician visits, defined as a gap of at least 60 days between follow-up visits. We used Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, and prior healthcare utilization, to compare the risk of treatment interruption in 2020 (COVID-19 group) vs. 2019 (pre-pandemic group). Sensitivity analyses were performed with thresholds of 30 and 90 days. Logistic regression examined whether pandemic-related interruptions were associated with the likelihood of returning to treatment within one year. Results A total of 410,911 patients met the inclusion criteria. Across all three chronic conditions, the hazard of interruption was significantly higher in 2020 than in 2019; adjusted HRs are 1.26 (95% CI = 1.17–1.36) for diabetes, 1.39 (95%CI = 1.31–1.47) for hypertension, and 1.24 (95%CI = 1.17–1.32) for dyslipidemia, respectively. No significant difference in resuming care was observed between the 2020 and 2019 interruptions (OR = 0.89; 95% CI = 0.81–1.09). Sensitivity analyses showed consistent findings, despite slight variations in hazard ratios for different gap thresholds. Conclusions The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with an increased risk of treatment interruption in patients with chronic diseases, underscoring the need for targeted strategies to maintain care continuity during public health emergencies. While older patients and those with multimorbidity showed earlier interruptions, the overall patterns persisted across disease groups, emphasizing the importance of preemptive measures and patient outreach to prevent delayed or forgone care.
format Article
id doaj-art-b2fb154430974fc0a58d0190d753edd0
institution DOAJ
issn 1472-6963
language English
publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Health Services Research
spelling doaj-art-b2fb154430974fc0a58d0190d753edd02025-08-20T03:08:24ZengBMCBMC Health Services Research1472-69632025-05-0125111010.1186/s12913-025-12798-3Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysisTomoki Ishikawa0Akihito Kako1Jumpei Sato2Junko Hattori3Hiromasa Yoshimoto4Masaru Kitsuregawa5Kazuo Goda6Yoshimitsu Takahashi7Takeo Nakayama8Naohiro Mitsutake9Institute for Health Economics and Policy, Association for Health Economics Research and Social Insurance and WelfareInstitute of Industrial Science, the University of TokyoInstitute of Industrial Science, the University of TokyoInstitute of Industrial Science, the University of TokyoInstitute of Industrial Science, the University of TokyoInstitute of Industrial Science, the University of TokyoInstitute of Industrial Science, the University of TokyoDepartment of Implementation Science in Public Health, Kyoto University School of Public HealthDepartment of Health Informatics, Graduate School of Medicine & School of Public Health, Kyoto UniversityInstitute for Health Economics and Policy, Association for Health Economics Research and Social Insurance and WelfareAbstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic has raised concerns about continuity of care for chronic diseases such as diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. Although studies have documented declines in healthcare utilization, few have assessed individual-level patterns of treatment interruption. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using administrative claims data (2018–2021) from a Prefecture, Japan. Eligible patients were diagnosed with and prescribed medications for diabetes mellitus, hypertension, or dyslipidemia in January of 2019 or 2020 and followed until December of each year. The primary outcome was the time-to- interruption of physician visits, defined as a gap of at least 60 days between follow-up visits. We used Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, and prior healthcare utilization, to compare the risk of treatment interruption in 2020 (COVID-19 group) vs. 2019 (pre-pandemic group). Sensitivity analyses were performed with thresholds of 30 and 90 days. Logistic regression examined whether pandemic-related interruptions were associated with the likelihood of returning to treatment within one year. Results A total of 410,911 patients met the inclusion criteria. Across all three chronic conditions, the hazard of interruption was significantly higher in 2020 than in 2019; adjusted HRs are 1.26 (95% CI = 1.17–1.36) for diabetes, 1.39 (95%CI = 1.31–1.47) for hypertension, and 1.24 (95%CI = 1.17–1.32) for dyslipidemia, respectively. No significant difference in resuming care was observed between the 2020 and 2019 interruptions (OR = 0.89; 95% CI = 0.81–1.09). Sensitivity analyses showed consistent findings, despite slight variations in hazard ratios for different gap thresholds. Conclusions The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with an increased risk of treatment interruption in patients with chronic diseases, underscoring the need for targeted strategies to maintain care continuity during public health emergencies. While older patients and those with multimorbidity showed earlier interruptions, the overall patterns persisted across disease groups, emphasizing the importance of preemptive measures and patient outreach to prevent delayed or forgone care.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-025-12798-3COVID‑19Chronic disease managementTreatment interruptionContinuity of careAdministrative claims data
spellingShingle Tomoki Ishikawa
Akihito Kako
Jumpei Sato
Junko Hattori
Hiromasa Yoshimoto
Masaru Kitsuregawa
Kazuo Goda
Yoshimitsu Takahashi
Takeo Nakayama
Naohiro Mitsutake
Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysis
BMC Health Services Research
COVID‑19
Chronic disease management
Treatment interruption
Continuity of care
Administrative claims data
title Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysis
title_full Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysis
title_fullStr Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysis
title_full_unstemmed Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysis
title_short Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in Japan: a retrospective cohort analysis
title_sort impact of the covid 19 pandemic on continuity of medical treatment for patients with chronic diseases in japan a retrospective cohort analysis
topic COVID‑19
Chronic disease management
Treatment interruption
Continuity of care
Administrative claims data
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-025-12798-3
work_keys_str_mv AT tomokiishikawa impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT akihitokako impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT jumpeisato impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT junkohattori impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT hiromasayoshimoto impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT masarukitsuregawa impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT kazuogoda impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT yoshimitsutakahashi impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT takeonakayama impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis
AT naohiromitsutake impactofthecovid19pandemiconcontinuityofmedicaltreatmentforpatientswithchronicdiseasesinjapanaretrospectivecohortanalysis