Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders

Objective. To evaluate diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening via deep learning (DL) and trained human graders (HG) in a longitudinal cohort, as case spectrum shifts based on treatment referral and new-onset DR. Methods. We randomly selected patients with diabetes screened twice, two years apart within...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jirawut Limwattanayingyong, Variya Nganthavee, Kasem Seresirikachorn, Tassapol Singalavanija, Ngamphol Soonthornworasiri, Varis Ruamviboonsuk, Chetan Rao, Rajiv Raman, Andrzej Grzybowski, Mike Schaekermann, Lily H. Peng, Dale R. Webster, Christopher Semturs, Jonathan Krause, Rory Sayres, Fred Hersch, Richa Tiwari, Yun Liu, Paisan Ruamviboonsuk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Journal of Diabetes Research
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8839376
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832554109705650176
author Jirawut Limwattanayingyong
Variya Nganthavee
Kasem Seresirikachorn
Tassapol Singalavanija
Ngamphol Soonthornworasiri
Varis Ruamviboonsuk
Chetan Rao
Rajiv Raman
Andrzej Grzybowski
Mike Schaekermann
Lily H. Peng
Dale R. Webster
Christopher Semturs
Jonathan Krause
Rory Sayres
Fred Hersch
Richa Tiwari
Yun Liu
Paisan Ruamviboonsuk
author_facet Jirawut Limwattanayingyong
Variya Nganthavee
Kasem Seresirikachorn
Tassapol Singalavanija
Ngamphol Soonthornworasiri
Varis Ruamviboonsuk
Chetan Rao
Rajiv Raman
Andrzej Grzybowski
Mike Schaekermann
Lily H. Peng
Dale R. Webster
Christopher Semturs
Jonathan Krause
Rory Sayres
Fred Hersch
Richa Tiwari
Yun Liu
Paisan Ruamviboonsuk
author_sort Jirawut Limwattanayingyong
collection DOAJ
description Objective. To evaluate diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening via deep learning (DL) and trained human graders (HG) in a longitudinal cohort, as case spectrum shifts based on treatment referral and new-onset DR. Methods. We randomly selected patients with diabetes screened twice, two years apart within a nationwide screening program. The reference standard was established via adjudication by retina specialists. Each patient’s color fundus photographs were graded, and a patient was considered as having sight-threatening DR (STDR) if the worse eye had severe nonproliferative DR, proliferative DR, or diabetic macular edema. We compared DR screening via two modalities: DL and HG. For each modality, we simulated treatment referral by excluding patients with detected STDR from the second screening using that modality. Results. There were 5,738 patients (12.3% STDR) in the first screening. DL and HG captured different numbers of STDR cases, and after simulated referral and excluding ungradable cases, 4,148 and 4,263 patients remained in the second screening, respectively. The STDR prevalence at the second screening was 5.1% and 6.8% for DL- and HG-based screening, respectively. Along with the prevalence decrease, the sensitivity for both modalities decreased from the first to the second screening (DL: from 95% to 90%, p=0.008; HG: from 74% to 57%, p<0.001). At both the first and second screenings, the rate of false negatives for the DL was a fifth that of HG (0.5-0.6% vs. 2.9-3.2%). Conclusion. On 2-year longitudinal follow-up of a DR screening cohort, STDR prevalence decreased for both DL- and HG-based screening. Follow-up screenings in longitudinal DR screening can be more difficult and induce lower sensitivity for both DL and HG, though the false negative rate was substantially lower for DL. Our data may be useful for health-economics analyses of longitudinal screening settings.
format Article
id doaj-art-b29a136307114397b10f73edbaa2e694
institution Kabale University
issn 2314-6745
2314-6753
language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Diabetes Research
spelling doaj-art-b29a136307114397b10f73edbaa2e6942025-02-03T05:52:25ZengWileyJournal of Diabetes Research2314-67452314-67532020-01-01202010.1155/2020/88393768839376Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human GradersJirawut Limwattanayingyong0Variya Nganthavee1Kasem Seresirikachorn2Tassapol Singalavanija3Ngamphol Soonthornworasiri4Varis Ruamviboonsuk5Chetan Rao6Rajiv Raman7Andrzej Grzybowski8Mike Schaekermann9Lily H. Peng10Dale R. Webster11Christopher Semturs12Jonathan Krause13Rory Sayres14Fred Hersch15Richa Tiwari16Yun Liu17Paisan Ruamviboonsuk18Department of Ophthalmology, College of Medicine, Rangsit University, Rajavithi Hospital, Bangkok, ThailandDepartment of Ophthalmology, College of Medicine, Rangsit University, Rajavithi Hospital, Bangkok, ThailandDepartment of Ophthalmology, College of Medicine, Rangsit University, Rajavithi Hospital, Bangkok, ThailandDepartment of Ophthalmology, Chulabhorn Hospital, HRH Princess Chulabhorn College of Medical Science, Chulabhorn Royal Academy, Bangkok, ThailandDepartment of Tropical Hygiene, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, ThailandDepartment of Biochemistry, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, ThailandShri Bhagwan Mahavir Vitreoretinal Services, Sankara Nethralaya, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, IndiaShri Bhagwan Mahavir Vitreoretinal Services, Sankara Nethralaya, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, IndiaDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Warmia and Mazury, Olsztyn, PolandGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USAGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USAGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USAGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USAGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USAGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USAGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USAWork done at Google via Optimum Solutions Pte Ltd, SingaporeGoogle Health, Palo Alto, CA, USADepartment of Ophthalmology, College of Medicine, Rangsit University, Rajavithi Hospital, Bangkok, ThailandObjective. To evaluate diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening via deep learning (DL) and trained human graders (HG) in a longitudinal cohort, as case spectrum shifts based on treatment referral and new-onset DR. Methods. We randomly selected patients with diabetes screened twice, two years apart within a nationwide screening program. The reference standard was established via adjudication by retina specialists. Each patient’s color fundus photographs were graded, and a patient was considered as having sight-threatening DR (STDR) if the worse eye had severe nonproliferative DR, proliferative DR, or diabetic macular edema. We compared DR screening via two modalities: DL and HG. For each modality, we simulated treatment referral by excluding patients with detected STDR from the second screening using that modality. Results. There were 5,738 patients (12.3% STDR) in the first screening. DL and HG captured different numbers of STDR cases, and after simulated referral and excluding ungradable cases, 4,148 and 4,263 patients remained in the second screening, respectively. The STDR prevalence at the second screening was 5.1% and 6.8% for DL- and HG-based screening, respectively. Along with the prevalence decrease, the sensitivity for both modalities decreased from the first to the second screening (DL: from 95% to 90%, p=0.008; HG: from 74% to 57%, p<0.001). At both the first and second screenings, the rate of false negatives for the DL was a fifth that of HG (0.5-0.6% vs. 2.9-3.2%). Conclusion. On 2-year longitudinal follow-up of a DR screening cohort, STDR prevalence decreased for both DL- and HG-based screening. Follow-up screenings in longitudinal DR screening can be more difficult and induce lower sensitivity for both DL and HG, though the false negative rate was substantially lower for DL. Our data may be useful for health-economics analyses of longitudinal screening settings.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8839376
spellingShingle Jirawut Limwattanayingyong
Variya Nganthavee
Kasem Seresirikachorn
Tassapol Singalavanija
Ngamphol Soonthornworasiri
Varis Ruamviboonsuk
Chetan Rao
Rajiv Raman
Andrzej Grzybowski
Mike Schaekermann
Lily H. Peng
Dale R. Webster
Christopher Semturs
Jonathan Krause
Rory Sayres
Fred Hersch
Richa Tiwari
Yun Liu
Paisan Ruamviboonsuk
Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders
Journal of Diabetes Research
title Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders
title_full Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders
title_fullStr Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders
title_full_unstemmed Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders
title_short Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders
title_sort longitudinal screening for diabetic retinopathy in a nationwide screening program comparing deep learning and human graders
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8839376
work_keys_str_mv AT jirawutlimwattanayingyong longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT variyanganthavee longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT kasemseresirikachorn longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT tassapolsingalavanija longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT ngampholsoonthornworasiri longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT varisruamviboonsuk longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT chetanrao longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT rajivraman longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT andrzejgrzybowski longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT mikeschaekermann longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT lilyhpeng longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT dalerwebster longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT christophersemturs longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT jonathankrause longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT rorysayres longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT fredhersch longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT richatiwari longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT yunliu longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders
AT paisanruamviboonsuk longitudinalscreeningfordiabeticretinopathyinanationwidescreeningprogramcomparingdeeplearningandhumangraders