Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach

As the aging population grows rapidly, the traffic risks faced by older adults have become a growing concern for age-friendly transportation planning. While prior studies have investigated the relationship between traffic crashes and the built environment, they often treat the population as homogene...

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Main Authors: Ketong Shen, Jian Liu, Xintao Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/7/248
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author Ketong Shen
Jian Liu
Xintao Liu
author_facet Ketong Shen
Jian Liu
Xintao Liu
author_sort Ketong Shen
collection DOAJ
description As the aging population grows rapidly, the traffic risks faced by older adults have become a growing concern for age-friendly transportation planning. While prior studies have investigated the relationship between traffic crashes and the built environment, they often treat the population as homogeneous and ignore the fine-grained characteristics of the street environment. This study addresses these gaps by examining how fine-grained street environments influence crash risks, with a particular focus on aging people. Specifically, we use segmented street view images to train models that predict crash risk levels based on normalized crash frequencies, with separate models developed for older and non-older populations. Interpretable machine learning methods are then employed to identify key environmental contributors and to compare their spatial contribution patterns across age groups. Our findings reveal that the traffic crash risk of older adults is more strongly influenced by street environment indicators, both positive and negative, indicating their greater sensitivity to environmental conditions. Moreover, the contribution of street features differs significantly between age groups, not only in overall trends but also in the spatial patterns of their impact. Our research uncovers age-specific interactions with the street environment and emphasizes the need for differentiated transportation planning approaches.
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spelling doaj-art-b2578be8ef4e46c2a9afba3397955cc62025-08-20T02:45:34ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642025-06-0114724810.3390/ijgi14070248Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning ApproachKetong Shen0Jian Liu1Xintao Liu2Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 181 Chatham Road South, Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 181 Chatham Road South, Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 181 Chatham Road South, Hong Kong, ChinaAs the aging population grows rapidly, the traffic risks faced by older adults have become a growing concern for age-friendly transportation planning. While prior studies have investigated the relationship between traffic crashes and the built environment, they often treat the population as homogeneous and ignore the fine-grained characteristics of the street environment. This study addresses these gaps by examining how fine-grained street environments influence crash risks, with a particular focus on aging people. Specifically, we use segmented street view images to train models that predict crash risk levels based on normalized crash frequencies, with separate models developed for older and non-older populations. Interpretable machine learning methods are then employed to identify key environmental contributors and to compare their spatial contribution patterns across age groups. Our findings reveal that the traffic crash risk of older adults is more strongly influenced by street environment indicators, both positive and negative, indicating their greater sensitivity to environmental conditions. Moreover, the contribution of street features differs significantly between age groups, not only in overall trends but also in the spatial patterns of their impact. Our research uncovers age-specific interactions with the street environment and emphasizes the need for differentiated transportation planning approaches.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/7/248aging societytraffic crashesstreet view imagesinterpretable machine learning
spellingShingle Ketong Shen
Jian Liu
Xintao Liu
Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
aging society
traffic crashes
street view images
interpretable machine learning
title Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach
title_full Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach
title_fullStr Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach
title_full_unstemmed Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach
title_short Understanding the Impact of Street Environments on Traffic Crash Risk from the Perspective of Aging People: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach
title_sort understanding the impact of street environments on traffic crash risk from the perspective of aging people an interpretable machine learning approach
topic aging society
traffic crashes
street view images
interpretable machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/7/248
work_keys_str_mv AT ketongshen understandingtheimpactofstreetenvironmentsontrafficcrashriskfromtheperspectiveofagingpeopleaninterpretablemachinelearningapproach
AT jianliu understandingtheimpactofstreetenvironmentsontrafficcrashriskfromtheperspectiveofagingpeopleaninterpretablemachinelearningapproach
AT xintaoliu understandingtheimpactofstreetenvironmentsontrafficcrashriskfromtheperspectiveofagingpeopleaninterpretablemachinelearningapproach