Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy

This study investigates how issue congruence between citizens and political parties affects satisfaction with democracy (SWD) in France, Germany and Italy. Using data from the 2019 European Election Study and the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, the analysis focuses on three key policy domains, economy,...

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Main Author: Aurelia Zucaro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Firenze University Press 2025-06-01
Series:QOE-IJES
Subjects:
Online Access:https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/qoe/article/view/16848
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author Aurelia Zucaro
author_facet Aurelia Zucaro
author_sort Aurelia Zucaro
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates how issue congruence between citizens and political parties affects satisfaction with democracy (SWD) in France, Germany and Italy. Using data from the 2019 European Election Study and the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, the analysis focuses on three key policy domains, economy, immigration and the environment, and tests whether higher positional alignment within party–citizen dyads is associated with greater democratic satisfaction. Findings from ordered logistic regression (OLR) models show that issue congruence is positively associated with SWD, particularly on identity-related and transnational issues such as immigration and the environment. The study also introduces an original salience index which combines party-level issue emphasis with citizens’ media exposure to examine whether issue salience moderates this relationship. Results indicate that, when an issue is highly salient, the positive effect of congruence weakens, suggesting that heightened attention may raise citizens' expectations and make representational gaps more visible. These findings highlight the contextual and issue-specific dynamics underlying democratic satisfaction in European multiparty systems.
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spelling doaj-art-b20fd61fe11b41c3949b2cd42cfec84b2025-08-20T02:40:59ZengFirenze University PressQOE-IJES0392-67532724-46792025-06-0110.36253/qoe-16848Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracyAurelia Zucaro0University of Calabria This study investigates how issue congruence between citizens and political parties affects satisfaction with democracy (SWD) in France, Germany and Italy. Using data from the 2019 European Election Study and the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, the analysis focuses on three key policy domains, economy, immigration and the environment, and tests whether higher positional alignment within party–citizen dyads is associated with greater democratic satisfaction. Findings from ordered logistic regression (OLR) models show that issue congruence is positively associated with SWD, particularly on identity-related and transnational issues such as immigration and the environment. The study also introduces an original salience index which combines party-level issue emphasis with citizens’ media exposure to examine whether issue salience moderates this relationship. Results indicate that, when an issue is highly salient, the positive effect of congruence weakens, suggesting that heightened attention may raise citizens' expectations and make representational gaps more visible. These findings highlight the contextual and issue-specific dynamics underlying democratic satisfaction in European multiparty systems. https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/qoe/article/view/16848ResponsivenessPublic OpinionSatisfaction with DemocracyRepresentationSalience
spellingShingle Aurelia Zucaro
Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy
QOE-IJES
Responsiveness
Public Opinion
Satisfaction with Democracy
Representation
Salience
title Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy
title_full Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy
title_fullStr Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy
title_full_unstemmed Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy
title_short Matching expectations: how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy
title_sort matching expectations how issue congruence drives satisfaction with democracy
topic Responsiveness
Public Opinion
Satisfaction with Democracy
Representation
Salience
url https://oaj.fupress.net/index.php/qoe/article/view/16848
work_keys_str_mv AT aureliazucaro matchingexpectationshowissuecongruencedrivessatisfactionwithdemocracy