The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task Duration
The research examines the relationship between the planning fallacy and estimates of task duration. The planning fallacy refers to a prediction, in which people underestimate the time it will take to complete tasks, despite the knowledge that tasks have taken longer than planned tasks. This s...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Japanese |
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The Academic Association for Organizational Science
2022-09-01
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| Series: | AAOS Transactions |
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| Online Access: | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/aaostrans/11/1/11_8/_pdf/-char/ja |
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| _version_ | 1841554059807424512 |
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| author | Jun TAKAHASHI |
| author_facet | Jun TAKAHASHI |
| author_sort | Jun TAKAHASHI |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The research examines the relationship between the planning fallacy and
estimates of task duration. The planning fallacy refers to a prediction, in which people
underestimate the time it will take to complete tasks, despite the knowledge that tasks
have taken longer than planned tasks. This study tested two hypotheses concerning
people’s predictions of task duration time. The first hypothesis is that good time
managers accurately estimate task duration. Study1 attempts to analyze the
relationship between the planning fallacy and time management by the time
management behavior scale. The second is that a person with high levels of self
efficacy does not tend to underestimate task duration time. Study2 attempts to analyze
the relationship between the planning fallacy and self-efficacy by the generalized self
efficacy scale. The result of study1 supported the first hypothesis slightly (r = .344),
but study2 was unsupported (r = .103) the second hypothesis. This result suggests the
possibility that those who tend to do time management improve the underestimation
of task duration time. It will require more systematic research. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-b0e5f646dd0443268d67efa76c057603 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2758-2795 |
| language | Japanese |
| publishDate | 2022-09-01 |
| publisher | The Academic Association for Organizational Science |
| record_format | Article |
| series | AAOS Transactions |
| spelling | doaj-art-b0e5f646dd0443268d67efa76c0576032025-01-09T02:40:41ZjpnThe Academic Association for Organizational ScienceAAOS Transactions2758-27952022-09-01111813https://doi.org/10.11207/aaostrans.11.1_8The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task DurationJun TAKAHASHI0Tokyo Metropolitan University The research examines the relationship between the planning fallacy and estimates of task duration. The planning fallacy refers to a prediction, in which people underestimate the time it will take to complete tasks, despite the knowledge that tasks have taken longer than planned tasks. This study tested two hypotheses concerning people’s predictions of task duration time. The first hypothesis is that good time managers accurately estimate task duration. Study1 attempts to analyze the relationship between the planning fallacy and time management by the time management behavior scale. The second is that a person with high levels of self efficacy does not tend to underestimate task duration time. Study2 attempts to analyze the relationship between the planning fallacy and self-efficacy by the generalized self efficacy scale. The result of study1 supported the first hypothesis slightly (r = .344), but study2 was unsupported (r = .103) the second hypothesis. This result suggests the possibility that those who tend to do time management improve the underestimation of task duration time. It will require more systematic research.https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/aaostrans/11/1/11_8/_pdf/-char/japlanning fallacytime managementself-efficacytime estimation |
| spellingShingle | Jun TAKAHASHI The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task Duration AAOS Transactions planning fallacy time management self-efficacy time estimation |
| title | The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task Duration |
| title_full | The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task Duration |
| title_fullStr | The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task Duration |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task Duration |
| title_short | The Relationship between the Planning Fallacy and Estimates of Task Duration |
| title_sort | relationship between the planning fallacy and estimates of task duration |
| topic | planning fallacy time management self-efficacy time estimation |
| url | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/aaostrans/11/1/11_8/_pdf/-char/ja |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT juntakahashi therelationshipbetweentheplanningfallacyandestimatesoftaskduration AT juntakahashi relationshipbetweentheplanningfallacyandestimatesoftaskduration |