Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, China

The water resources in the Yellow River basin (YRB) are vital to social and economic development in North and Northwest China. The basin has a marked continental monsoon climate and its water resources are especially vulnerable to climate change. Projected runoff in the basin for the period from 20...

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Main Authors: Zhiyong Wu, Heng Xiao, Guihua Lu, Jinming Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/816532
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author Zhiyong Wu
Heng Xiao
Guihua Lu
Jinming Chen
author_facet Zhiyong Wu
Heng Xiao
Guihua Lu
Jinming Chen
author_sort Zhiyong Wu
collection DOAJ
description The water resources in the Yellow River basin (YRB) are vital to social and economic development in North and Northwest China. The basin has a marked continental monsoon climate and its water resources are especially vulnerable to climate change. Projected runoff in the basin for the period from 2001 to 2030 was simulated using the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrology model. VIC was first calibrated using observations and then was driven by the precipitation and temperature projected by the RegCM3 high-resolution regional climate model under the IPCC scenario A2. Results show that, under the scenario A2, the mean annual temperature of the basin could increase by 1.6°C, while mean annual precipitation could decrease by 2.6%. There could be an 11.6% reduction in annual runoff in the basin according to the VIC projection. However, there are marked regional variations in these climate change impacts. Reductions of 13.6%, 25.7%, and 24.6% could be expected in the regions of Hekouzhen to Longmen, Longmen to Sanmenxia, and Sanmenxia to Huayuankou, respectively. Our study suggests that the condition of water resources in the YRB could become more severe in the period from 2001 to 2030 under the scenario A2.
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spelling doaj-art-b075c01d74bd4636ab39567dbb26e0ac2025-02-03T01:26:15ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172015-01-01201510.1155/2015/816532816532Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, ChinaZhiyong Wu0Heng Xiao1Guihua Lu2Jinming Chen3National Engineering Research Center of Water Resources Efficient Utilization and Engineering Safety, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resource, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaNational Engineering Research Center of Water Resources Efficient Utilization and Engineering Safety, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resource, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaThe water resources in the Yellow River basin (YRB) are vital to social and economic development in North and Northwest China. The basin has a marked continental monsoon climate and its water resources are especially vulnerable to climate change. Projected runoff in the basin for the period from 2001 to 2030 was simulated using the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrology model. VIC was first calibrated using observations and then was driven by the precipitation and temperature projected by the RegCM3 high-resolution regional climate model under the IPCC scenario A2. Results show that, under the scenario A2, the mean annual temperature of the basin could increase by 1.6°C, while mean annual precipitation could decrease by 2.6%. There could be an 11.6% reduction in annual runoff in the basin according to the VIC projection. However, there are marked regional variations in these climate change impacts. Reductions of 13.6%, 25.7%, and 24.6% could be expected in the regions of Hekouzhen to Longmen, Longmen to Sanmenxia, and Sanmenxia to Huayuankou, respectively. Our study suggests that the condition of water resources in the YRB could become more severe in the period from 2001 to 2030 under the scenario A2.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/816532
spellingShingle Zhiyong Wu
Heng Xiao
Guihua Lu
Jinming Chen
Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, China
Advances in Meteorology
title Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_full Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_fullStr Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_short Assessment of Climate Change Effects on Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_sort assessment of climate change effects on water resources in the yellow river basin china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/816532
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AT jinmingchen assessmentofclimatechangeeffectsonwaterresourcesintheyellowriverbasinchina