Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility Data

With the development of transportation networks, countless trajectory data are accumulated, and understanding human mobility from traffic data could be helpful for smart cities, urban computing, and urban planning. Extracting valuable insights from traffic data, such as taxi trajectories, can signif...

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Main Authors: Pengjiang Li, Zaitian Wang, Xinhao Zhang, Pengfei Wang, Kunpeng Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-02-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/5/746
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author Pengjiang Li
Zaitian Wang
Xinhao Zhang
Pengfei Wang
Kunpeng Liu
author_facet Pengjiang Li
Zaitian Wang
Xinhao Zhang
Pengfei Wang
Kunpeng Liu
author_sort Pengjiang Li
collection DOAJ
description With the development of transportation networks, countless trajectory data are accumulated, and understanding human mobility from traffic data could be helpful for smart cities, urban computing, and urban planning. Extracting valuable insights from traffic data, such as taxi trajectories, can significantly improve residents’ daily lives. There are many studies on spatiotemporal data mining. As we know, arrival prediction or regional function detection encompasses important tasks for traffic management and urban planning. However, trajectory data are often mutilated because of personal privacy and hardware limitations, i.e., we usually can only obtain partial trajectory information. In this paper, we develop an embedding method to predict the next arrival using the origin–destination (O-D) pair trajectory information and point of interest (POI) data. Moreover, the embedding information contains region latent features; thus, we also detect the regional function in this paper. Finally, we conduct a comprehensive experimental study on a real-world trajectory dataset. The experimental results demonstrate the benefit of predicting arrivals, and the embedding vectors can detect the regional function in a city.
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issn 2227-7390
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publishDate 2025-02-01
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series Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-aff18ba8f3554f16ae55eea541b2db6a2025-08-20T02:59:15ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902025-02-0113574610.3390/math13050746Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility DataPengjiang Li0Zaitian Wang1Xinhao Zhang2Pengfei Wang3Kunpeng Liu4Computer Network Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100045, ChinaComputer Network Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100045, ChinaDepartment of Computer Science, Portland State University, Portland, OR 97201, USAComputer Network Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100045, ChinaDepartment of Computer Science, Portland State University, Portland, OR 97201, USAWith the development of transportation networks, countless trajectory data are accumulated, and understanding human mobility from traffic data could be helpful for smart cities, urban computing, and urban planning. Extracting valuable insights from traffic data, such as taxi trajectories, can significantly improve residents’ daily lives. There are many studies on spatiotemporal data mining. As we know, arrival prediction or regional function detection encompasses important tasks for traffic management and urban planning. However, trajectory data are often mutilated because of personal privacy and hardware limitations, i.e., we usually can only obtain partial trajectory information. In this paper, we develop an embedding method to predict the next arrival using the origin–destination (O-D) pair trajectory information and point of interest (POI) data. Moreover, the embedding information contains region latent features; thus, we also detect the regional function in this paper. Finally, we conduct a comprehensive experimental study on a real-world trajectory dataset. The experimental results demonstrate the benefit of predicting arrivals, and the embedding vectors can detect the regional function in a city.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/5/746arrival predictionregional function detectionembedding
spellingShingle Pengjiang Li
Zaitian Wang
Xinhao Zhang
Pengfei Wang
Kunpeng Liu
Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility Data
Mathematics
arrival prediction
regional function detection
embedding
title Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility Data
title_full Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility Data
title_fullStr Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility Data
title_full_unstemmed Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility Data
title_short Next Arrival and Destination Prediction via Spatiotemporal Embedding with Urban Geography and Human Mobility Data
title_sort next arrival and destination prediction via spatiotemporal embedding with urban geography and human mobility data
topic arrival prediction
regional function detection
embedding
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/5/746
work_keys_str_mv AT pengjiangli nextarrivalanddestinationpredictionviaspatiotemporalembeddingwithurbangeographyandhumanmobilitydata
AT zaitianwang nextarrivalanddestinationpredictionviaspatiotemporalembeddingwithurbangeographyandhumanmobilitydata
AT xinhaozhang nextarrivalanddestinationpredictionviaspatiotemporalembeddingwithurbangeographyandhumanmobilitydata
AT pengfeiwang nextarrivalanddestinationpredictionviaspatiotemporalembeddingwithurbangeographyandhumanmobilitydata
AT kunpengliu nextarrivalanddestinationpredictionviaspatiotemporalembeddingwithurbangeographyandhumanmobilitydata