A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

<h4>Objective</h4>Some researchers have studied about early prediction and diagnosis of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but their accuracies were not high. Therefore, this paper proposes a soft voting ensemble classifier (SVE) using machine learning (ML) algorithms.<h4>...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Syed Waseem Abbas Sherazi, Jang-Whan Bae, Jong Yun Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0249338&type=printable
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850045948465512448
author Syed Waseem Abbas Sherazi
Jang-Whan Bae
Jong Yun Lee
author_facet Syed Waseem Abbas Sherazi
Jang-Whan Bae
Jong Yun Lee
author_sort Syed Waseem Abbas Sherazi
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Objective</h4>Some researchers have studied about early prediction and diagnosis of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but their accuracies were not high. Therefore, this paper proposes a soft voting ensemble classifier (SVE) using machine learning (ML) algorithms.<h4>Methods</h4>We used the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry dataset and selected 11,189 subjects among 13,104 with the 2-year follow-up. It was subdivided into two groups (ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), non ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction NSTEMI), and then subdivided into training (70%) and test dataset (30%). Third, we selected the ranges of hyper-parameters to find the best prediction model from random forest (RF), extra tree (ET), gradient boosting machine (GBM), and SVE. We generated each ML-based model with the best hyper-parameters, evaluated by 5-fold stratified cross-validation, and then verified by test dataset. Lastly, we compared the performance in the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, recall, and F-score.<h4>Results</h4>The accuracies for RF, ET, GBM, and SVE were (88.85%, 88.94%, 87.84%, 90.93%) for complete dataset, (84.81%, 85.00%, 83.70%, 89.07%) STEMI, (88.81%, 88.05%, 91.23%, 91.38%) NSTEMI. The AUC values in RF were (98.96%, 98.15%, 98.81%), ET (99.54%, 99.02%, 99.00%), GBM (98.92%, 99.33%, 99.41%), and SVE (99.61%, 99.49%, 99.42%) for complete dataset, STEMI, and NSTEMI, respectively. Consequently, the accuracy and AUC in SVE outperformed other ML models.<h4>Conclusions</h4>The performance of our SVE was significantly higher than other machine learning models (RF, ET, GBM) and its major prognostic factors were different. This paper will lead to the development of early risk prediction and diagnosis tool of MACE in ACS patients.
format Article
id doaj-art-af8e887fc888409bac96bb8e81bf06d9
institution DOAJ
issn 1932-6203
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj-art-af8e887fc888409bac96bb8e81bf06d92025-08-20T02:54:33ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032021-01-01166e024933810.1371/journal.pone.0249338A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.Syed Waseem Abbas SheraziJang-Whan BaeJong Yun Lee<h4>Objective</h4>Some researchers have studied about early prediction and diagnosis of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but their accuracies were not high. Therefore, this paper proposes a soft voting ensemble classifier (SVE) using machine learning (ML) algorithms.<h4>Methods</h4>We used the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry dataset and selected 11,189 subjects among 13,104 with the 2-year follow-up. It was subdivided into two groups (ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), non ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction NSTEMI), and then subdivided into training (70%) and test dataset (30%). Third, we selected the ranges of hyper-parameters to find the best prediction model from random forest (RF), extra tree (ET), gradient boosting machine (GBM), and SVE. We generated each ML-based model with the best hyper-parameters, evaluated by 5-fold stratified cross-validation, and then verified by test dataset. Lastly, we compared the performance in the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, recall, and F-score.<h4>Results</h4>The accuracies for RF, ET, GBM, and SVE were (88.85%, 88.94%, 87.84%, 90.93%) for complete dataset, (84.81%, 85.00%, 83.70%, 89.07%) STEMI, (88.81%, 88.05%, 91.23%, 91.38%) NSTEMI. The AUC values in RF were (98.96%, 98.15%, 98.81%), ET (99.54%, 99.02%, 99.00%), GBM (98.92%, 99.33%, 99.41%), and SVE (99.61%, 99.49%, 99.42%) for complete dataset, STEMI, and NSTEMI, respectively. Consequently, the accuracy and AUC in SVE outperformed other ML models.<h4>Conclusions</h4>The performance of our SVE was significantly higher than other machine learning models (RF, ET, GBM) and its major prognostic factors were different. This paper will lead to the development of early risk prediction and diagnosis tool of MACE in ACS patients.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0249338&type=printable
spellingShingle Syed Waseem Abbas Sherazi
Jang-Whan Bae
Jong Yun Lee
A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
PLoS ONE
title A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
title_full A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
title_fullStr A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
title_full_unstemmed A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
title_short A soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for STEMI and NSTEMI during 2-year follow-up in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
title_sort soft voting ensemble classifier for early prediction and diagnosis of occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events for stemi and nstemi during 2 year follow up in patients with acute coronary syndrome
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0249338&type=printable
work_keys_str_mv AT syedwaseemabbassherazi asoftvotingensembleclassifierforearlypredictionanddiagnosisofoccurrencesofmajoradversecardiovasculareventsforstemiandnstemiduring2yearfollowupinpatientswithacutecoronarysyndrome
AT jangwhanbae asoftvotingensembleclassifierforearlypredictionanddiagnosisofoccurrencesofmajoradversecardiovasculareventsforstemiandnstemiduring2yearfollowupinpatientswithacutecoronarysyndrome
AT jongyunlee asoftvotingensembleclassifierforearlypredictionanddiagnosisofoccurrencesofmajoradversecardiovasculareventsforstemiandnstemiduring2yearfollowupinpatientswithacutecoronarysyndrome
AT syedwaseemabbassherazi softvotingensembleclassifierforearlypredictionanddiagnosisofoccurrencesofmajoradversecardiovasculareventsforstemiandnstemiduring2yearfollowupinpatientswithacutecoronarysyndrome
AT jangwhanbae softvotingensembleclassifierforearlypredictionanddiagnosisofoccurrencesofmajoradversecardiovasculareventsforstemiandnstemiduring2yearfollowupinpatientswithacutecoronarysyndrome
AT jongyunlee softvotingensembleclassifierforearlypredictionanddiagnosisofoccurrencesofmajoradversecardiovasculareventsforstemiandnstemiduring2yearfollowupinpatientswithacutecoronarysyndrome