Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgrid

Abstract This research seeks to enhance energy management systems (EMS) within a microgrid by focusing on the importance of accurate renewable energy prediction and its strong correlation with load curtailment. Analyzing the precision of disturbance predictions, reveals that predicting one hour in a...

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Main Authors: Kawsar Nassereddine, Marek Turzynski, Halyna Bielokha, Ryszard Strzelecki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-89036-7
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author Kawsar Nassereddine
Marek Turzynski
Halyna Bielokha
Ryszard Strzelecki
author_facet Kawsar Nassereddine
Marek Turzynski
Halyna Bielokha
Ryszard Strzelecki
author_sort Kawsar Nassereddine
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This research seeks to enhance energy management systems (EMS) within a microgrid by focusing on the importance of accurate renewable energy prediction and its strong correlation with load curtailment. Analyzing the precision of disturbance predictions, reveals that predicting one hour in advance is more effective than immediate predictions or those made several hours beforehand. Furthermore, the study investigates scheduling load curtailment to manage peak power from renewable energy sources by comparing two distinct strategies: Case 1, which implements curtailments in both morning and afternoon, and Case 2, which focuses solely on midday curtailment. The findings indicate that Case 1 effectively aligns load management with the peak output of photovoltaic (PV) energy, thereby reducing reliance on grid power and enhancing energy efficiency. In contrast, Case 2’s focus on midday curtailment results in increased energy purchases from the grid, missing the chance to leverage abundant solar energy. A key finding of this research shows that applying Case 1 for curtailment along with accurate forecasting, improves battery coordination and alleviates stress on the supercapacitor, leading to energy purchases from the grid being reduced. This interdependent relationship between precise forecasting and effective load management not only enhances the efficiency of the hybrid energy system (battery and supercapacitor), but also relies more on renewable energy sources and storage systems, thereby lowering overall energy costs, leading to a more reliable and effective energy management system.
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spelling doaj-art-aebbf0bc1fbb4c2a9460cafd6c7f9b0e2025-08-20T02:48:29ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-02-0115111210.1038/s41598-025-89036-7Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgridKawsar Nassereddine0Marek Turzynski1Halyna Bielokha2Ryszard Strzelecki3Faculty of Electrical and Control Engineering, Gdansk University of TechnologyFaculty of Electrical and Control Engineering, Gdansk University of TechnologyEducational and Scientific Institute of Energy Saving and Energy Management, Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic InstituteFaculty of Electrical Engineering, Department of RES and E-Mobility, Institute, Gdynia Maritime UniversityAbstract This research seeks to enhance energy management systems (EMS) within a microgrid by focusing on the importance of accurate renewable energy prediction and its strong correlation with load curtailment. Analyzing the precision of disturbance predictions, reveals that predicting one hour in advance is more effective than immediate predictions or those made several hours beforehand. Furthermore, the study investigates scheduling load curtailment to manage peak power from renewable energy sources by comparing two distinct strategies: Case 1, which implements curtailments in both morning and afternoon, and Case 2, which focuses solely on midday curtailment. The findings indicate that Case 1 effectively aligns load management with the peak output of photovoltaic (PV) energy, thereby reducing reliance on grid power and enhancing energy efficiency. In contrast, Case 2’s focus on midday curtailment results in increased energy purchases from the grid, missing the chance to leverage abundant solar energy. A key finding of this research shows that applying Case 1 for curtailment along with accurate forecasting, improves battery coordination and alleviates stress on the supercapacitor, leading to energy purchases from the grid being reduced. This interdependent relationship between precise forecasting and effective load management not only enhances the efficiency of the hybrid energy system (battery and supercapacitor), but also relies more on renewable energy sources and storage systems, thereby lowering overall energy costs, leading to a more reliable and effective energy management system.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-89036-7Model Predictive ControlEnergy Management SystemHybrid Energy StorageDemand Response Program
spellingShingle Kawsar Nassereddine
Marek Turzynski
Halyna Bielokha
Ryszard Strzelecki
Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgrid
Scientific Reports
Model Predictive Control
Energy Management System
Hybrid Energy Storage
Demand Response Program
title Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgrid
title_full Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgrid
title_fullStr Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgrid
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgrid
title_short Simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in AC/DC microgrid
title_sort simulation of energy management system using model predictive control in ac dc microgrid
topic Model Predictive Control
Energy Management System
Hybrid Energy Storage
Demand Response Program
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-89036-7
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AT marekturzynski simulationofenergymanagementsystemusingmodelpredictivecontrolinacdcmicrogrid
AT halynabielokha simulationofenergymanagementsystemusingmodelpredictivecontrolinacdcmicrogrid
AT ryszardstrzelecki simulationofenergymanagementsystemusingmodelpredictivecontrolinacdcmicrogrid