Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case

The development of export–import activity at all levels of the national economic system is an important factor and the result of globalization and country integration in the world economy. The elaboration of sound public policy related to export–import activity is based on its assessment and analysi...

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Main Authors: Lyudmyla Malyarets, Svitlana Labunska, Mykola Sidak, Hanna Bilokonenko, Viktoriya Onegina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-02-01
Series:Administrative Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3387/15/2/42
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author Lyudmyla Malyarets
Svitlana Labunska
Mykola Sidak
Hanna Bilokonenko
Viktoriya Onegina
author_facet Lyudmyla Malyarets
Svitlana Labunska
Mykola Sidak
Hanna Bilokonenko
Viktoriya Onegina
author_sort Lyudmyla Malyarets
collection DOAJ
description The development of export–import activity at all levels of the national economic system is an important factor and the result of globalization and country integration in the world economy. The elaboration of sound public policy related to export–import activity is based on its assessment and analysis. The goal of this article is the systematization and development of methodological support for the evaluation of the export–import activity of the national economy, including the development of its technology and a conceptual assessment model, which is presented in a structural–logical–semantic form, and the analysis and forecasting of export–import activity using the proposed model. To achieve the research goal, quantitative methods were used: the method of integral taxonomic indicators of development and efficiency, the method of forecasting based on trend models, multivariate factor analysis, and the modified method of cointegration of time series. A set of indicators for the export–import activity “development–effectiveness” matrix was proposed, and their dichotomies were studied. To ensure the reliability and objectivity of the export–import activity assessment, a methodological basis, which is detailed by structural elements, was formed. The model was constructed and tested based on monthly data on the export–import activity of Ukraine for the years 2021–2023.
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spelling doaj-art-ad8d28045241490c97d052b594aa9ecb2025-08-20T02:44:40ZengMDPI AGAdministrative Sciences2076-33872025-02-011524210.3390/admsci15020042Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian CaseLyudmyla Malyarets0Svitlana Labunska1Mykola Sidak2Hanna Bilokonenko3Viktoriya Onegina4Department of Economic and Mathematical Modeling, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, UkraineDepartment of Accounting and Business Consulting, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, UkraineInstitute of Public Administration, Bratislava University of Economics and Management, Furdekova 16, 851 04 Bratislava, SlovakiaDepartment of Psychology and Sociology, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, UkraineDepartment of Finance, Economics, Law, and Systems, Clermont School of Business, 4 Boulevard Truden, 63000 Clermont-Ferrand, FranceThe development of export–import activity at all levels of the national economic system is an important factor and the result of globalization and country integration in the world economy. The elaboration of sound public policy related to export–import activity is based on its assessment and analysis. The goal of this article is the systematization and development of methodological support for the evaluation of the export–import activity of the national economy, including the development of its technology and a conceptual assessment model, which is presented in a structural–logical–semantic form, and the analysis and forecasting of export–import activity using the proposed model. To achieve the research goal, quantitative methods were used: the method of integral taxonomic indicators of development and efficiency, the method of forecasting based on trend models, multivariate factor analysis, and the modified method of cointegration of time series. A set of indicators for the export–import activity “development–effectiveness” matrix was proposed, and their dichotomies were studied. To ensure the reliability and objectivity of the export–import activity assessment, a methodological basis, which is detailed by structural elements, was formed. The model was constructed and tested based on monthly data on the export–import activity of Ukraine for the years 2021–2023.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3387/15/2/42export–import activityforeign tradedevelopmenteffectivenessconceptual modelassessment technology
spellingShingle Lyudmyla Malyarets
Svitlana Labunska
Mykola Sidak
Hanna Bilokonenko
Viktoriya Onegina
Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case
Administrative Sciences
export–import activity
foreign trade
development
effectiveness
conceptual model
assessment technology
title Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case
title_full Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case
title_fullStr Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case
title_full_unstemmed Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case
title_short Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case
title_sort export import activity and its assessment the ukrainian case
topic export–import activity
foreign trade
development
effectiveness
conceptual model
assessment technology
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3387/15/2/42
work_keys_str_mv AT lyudmylamalyarets exportimportactivityanditsassessmenttheukrainiancase
AT svitlanalabunska exportimportactivityanditsassessmenttheukrainiancase
AT mykolasidak exportimportactivityanditsassessmenttheukrainiancase
AT hannabilokonenko exportimportactivityanditsassessmenttheukrainiancase
AT viktoriyaonegina exportimportactivityanditsassessmenttheukrainiancase