Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model
In this study, an experimental hydrometeorological forecasting system was developed based on the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) model. The system downloads global real-time ocean, atmosphere, and wave forcing data, producing regional forecasts every day. A coastal area in...
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2021-01-01
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Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6658722 |
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author | Jing Zou Chesheng Zhan Haiqing Song Tong Hu Zhijin Qiu Bo Wang Zhiqian Li |
author_facet | Jing Zou Chesheng Zhan Haiqing Song Tong Hu Zhijin Qiu Bo Wang Zhiqian Li |
author_sort | Jing Zou |
collection | DOAJ |
description | In this study, an experimental hydrometeorological forecasting system was developed based on the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) model. The system downloads global real-time ocean, atmosphere, and wave forcing data, producing regional forecasts every day. A coastal area in South China, encompassing Hainan Island, Leizhou Peninsula, and surrounding sea areas, was chosen as the study domain. A series of 72-hour forecasting simulations were conducted in the area, lasting from July 27 to August 31, 2019. The forecasts throughout August were chosen for evaluation with station observations, along with two sets of reanalysis data, ERA5 and CLDAS. The evaluation results revealed that the COAWST model had high potential for routine forecasting operations. The 24 h forecasts, with a lead time of 24 hours, had high accuracy, while the 48 h and 72 h forecasts did not differ greatly in terms of performance. The distributions of bias between forecast and reanalysis data showed obvious differences between land and sea, with more forecasted precipitation and lower temperatures in land grids than in sea grids. In most cases, the forecasts were closer to ERA5 in terms of means and other statistical measures. The forecasts enlarged the land-sea differences of temperature when compared with ERA5 and strengthened summer monsoon with more moisture transported to land areas. Resulting from that, a forecasted bias of lower surface pressure, higher air humidity, stronger south wind, and so forth was also detected over the domain but at low values. |
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institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
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spelling | doaj-art-ad750693cc894a71b607239f7a8d5f3c2025-02-03T05:58:21ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172021-01-01202110.1155/2021/66587226658722Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) ModelJing Zou0Chesheng Zhan1Haiqing Song2Tong Hu3Zhijin Qiu4Bo Wang5Zhiqian Li6Institute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaYucheng Station, Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaInner Mongolia Ecological and Agricultural Meteorology Center, Hohhot 010051, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaIn this study, an experimental hydrometeorological forecasting system was developed based on the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) model. The system downloads global real-time ocean, atmosphere, and wave forcing data, producing regional forecasts every day. A coastal area in South China, encompassing Hainan Island, Leizhou Peninsula, and surrounding sea areas, was chosen as the study domain. A series of 72-hour forecasting simulations were conducted in the area, lasting from July 27 to August 31, 2019. The forecasts throughout August were chosen for evaluation with station observations, along with two sets of reanalysis data, ERA5 and CLDAS. The evaluation results revealed that the COAWST model had high potential for routine forecasting operations. The 24 h forecasts, with a lead time of 24 hours, had high accuracy, while the 48 h and 72 h forecasts did not differ greatly in terms of performance. The distributions of bias between forecast and reanalysis data showed obvious differences between land and sea, with more forecasted precipitation and lower temperatures in land grids than in sea grids. In most cases, the forecasts were closer to ERA5 in terms of means and other statistical measures. The forecasts enlarged the land-sea differences of temperature when compared with ERA5 and strengthened summer monsoon with more moisture transported to land areas. Resulting from that, a forecasted bias of lower surface pressure, higher air humidity, stronger south wind, and so forth was also detected over the domain but at low values.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6658722 |
spellingShingle | Jing Zou Chesheng Zhan Haiqing Song Tong Hu Zhijin Qiu Bo Wang Zhiqian Li Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model Advances in Meteorology |
title | Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model |
title_full | Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model |
title_fullStr | Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model |
title_full_unstemmed | Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model |
title_short | Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model |
title_sort | development and evaluation of a hydrometeorological forecasting system using the coupled ocean atmosphere wave sediment transport coawst model |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6658722 |
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