Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model

In this study, an experimental hydrometeorological forecasting system was developed based on the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) model. The system downloads global real-time ocean, atmosphere, and wave forcing data, producing regional forecasts every day. A coastal area in...

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Main Authors: Jing Zou, Chesheng Zhan, Haiqing Song, Tong Hu, Zhijin Qiu, Bo Wang, Zhiqian Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6658722
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author Jing Zou
Chesheng Zhan
Haiqing Song
Tong Hu
Zhijin Qiu
Bo Wang
Zhiqian Li
author_facet Jing Zou
Chesheng Zhan
Haiqing Song
Tong Hu
Zhijin Qiu
Bo Wang
Zhiqian Li
author_sort Jing Zou
collection DOAJ
description In this study, an experimental hydrometeorological forecasting system was developed based on the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) model. The system downloads global real-time ocean, atmosphere, and wave forcing data, producing regional forecasts every day. A coastal area in South China, encompassing Hainan Island, Leizhou Peninsula, and surrounding sea areas, was chosen as the study domain. A series of 72-hour forecasting simulations were conducted in the area, lasting from July 27 to August 31, 2019. The forecasts throughout August were chosen for evaluation with station observations, along with two sets of reanalysis data, ERA5 and CLDAS. The evaluation results revealed that the COAWST model had high potential for routine forecasting operations. The 24 h forecasts, with a lead time of 24 hours, had high accuracy, while the 48 h and 72 h forecasts did not differ greatly in terms of performance. The distributions of bias between forecast and reanalysis data showed obvious differences between land and sea, with more forecasted precipitation and lower temperatures in land grids than in sea grids. In most cases, the forecasts were closer to ERA5 in terms of means and other statistical measures. The forecasts enlarged the land-sea differences of temperature when compared with ERA5 and strengthened summer monsoon with more moisture transported to land areas. Resulting from that, a forecasted bias of lower surface pressure, higher air humidity, stronger south wind, and so forth was also detected over the domain but at low values.
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spelling doaj-art-ad750693cc894a71b607239f7a8d5f3c2025-02-03T05:58:21ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172021-01-01202110.1155/2021/66587226658722Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) ModelJing Zou0Chesheng Zhan1Haiqing Song2Tong Hu3Zhijin Qiu4Bo Wang5Zhiqian Li6Institute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaYucheng Station, Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaInner Mongolia Ecological and Agricultural Meteorology Center, Hohhot 010051, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaInstitute of Oceanographic Instrumentation, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Qingdao 266001, ChinaIn this study, an experimental hydrometeorological forecasting system was developed based on the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) model. The system downloads global real-time ocean, atmosphere, and wave forcing data, producing regional forecasts every day. A coastal area in South China, encompassing Hainan Island, Leizhou Peninsula, and surrounding sea areas, was chosen as the study domain. A series of 72-hour forecasting simulations were conducted in the area, lasting from July 27 to August 31, 2019. The forecasts throughout August were chosen for evaluation with station observations, along with two sets of reanalysis data, ERA5 and CLDAS. The evaluation results revealed that the COAWST model had high potential for routine forecasting operations. The 24 h forecasts, with a lead time of 24 hours, had high accuracy, while the 48 h and 72 h forecasts did not differ greatly in terms of performance. The distributions of bias between forecast and reanalysis data showed obvious differences between land and sea, with more forecasted precipitation and lower temperatures in land grids than in sea grids. In most cases, the forecasts were closer to ERA5 in terms of means and other statistical measures. The forecasts enlarged the land-sea differences of temperature when compared with ERA5 and strengthened summer monsoon with more moisture transported to land areas. Resulting from that, a forecasted bias of lower surface pressure, higher air humidity, stronger south wind, and so forth was also detected over the domain but at low values.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6658722
spellingShingle Jing Zou
Chesheng Zhan
Haiqing Song
Tong Hu
Zhijin Qiu
Bo Wang
Zhiqian Li
Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model
Advances in Meteorology
title Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model
title_full Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model
title_fullStr Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model
title_full_unstemmed Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model
title_short Development and Evaluation of a Hydrometeorological Forecasting System Using the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model
title_sort development and evaluation of a hydrometeorological forecasting system using the coupled ocean atmosphere wave sediment transport coawst model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6658722
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