Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT model

Abstract Migratory moth species have a negative impact on agriculture in Korea, causing economic crop losses for farming households. The moths fly a considerable distance from their origins and settle in Korea, where they live for several generational cycles, feeding and laying eggs until the arriva...

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Main Authors: Juhyeong Han, Sunghoon Baek, Xue-Jing Wang, Chun-Sen Ma, Kwang-Hyung Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-07876-9
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author Juhyeong Han
Sunghoon Baek
Xue-Jing Wang
Chun-Sen Ma
Kwang-Hyung Kim
author_facet Juhyeong Han
Sunghoon Baek
Xue-Jing Wang
Chun-Sen Ma
Kwang-Hyung Kim
author_sort Juhyeong Han
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Migratory moth species have a negative impact on agriculture in Korea, causing economic crop losses for farming households. The moths fly a considerable distance from their origins and settle in Korea, where they live for several generational cycles, feeding and laying eggs until the arrival of cold winter hinders their overwintering. Therefore, it is important to determine the timing and location of the moths’ departure and arrival to prevent potential harm from invasive moths. The goal of this study is to select the most likely origin and destination of the migratory moths by using the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model when there is limited moth occurrence data at the potential origin and destination. The HYSPLIT model was adopted and modified to investigate the potential trajectory paths of the loreyi leafworm (Mythimna loreyi), using atmospheric data. Occurrence data of M. loreyi was collected from 18 trap sites in Korea and five in China, and fed into the HYSPLIT model to conduct backward and forward trajectory analyses. As a result, we successfully prioritized the most likely origins and destinations of M. loreyi in China and Korea, respectively, which has potential implications for subsequent validation of moth migration, using genotypic and phenotypic characterizations. In conclusion, our results show that it is feasible to use the HYSPLIT model simulation for the initial screening of the most likely origins of migratory moths, leading to more efficient and effective validation study of insect migration between countries.
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spelling doaj-art-ace6d84695f34c97bea33b7a1bfab1f62025-08-20T03:03:28ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111410.1038/s41598-025-07876-9Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT modelJuhyeong Han0Sunghoon Baek1Xue-Jing Wang2Chun-Sen Ma3Kwang-Hyung Kim4Interdisciplinary Program in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Seoul National UniversityDepartment of Industrial Entomology, National College of Agriculture and FisheriesSchool of Life Science, Institutes of Life Science and Green Development, Hebei UniversitySchool of Life Science, Institutes of Life Science and Green Development, Hebei UniversityInterdisciplinary Program in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Seoul National UniversityAbstract Migratory moth species have a negative impact on agriculture in Korea, causing economic crop losses for farming households. The moths fly a considerable distance from their origins and settle in Korea, where they live for several generational cycles, feeding and laying eggs until the arrival of cold winter hinders their overwintering. Therefore, it is important to determine the timing and location of the moths’ departure and arrival to prevent potential harm from invasive moths. The goal of this study is to select the most likely origin and destination of the migratory moths by using the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model when there is limited moth occurrence data at the potential origin and destination. The HYSPLIT model was adopted and modified to investigate the potential trajectory paths of the loreyi leafworm (Mythimna loreyi), using atmospheric data. Occurrence data of M. loreyi was collected from 18 trap sites in Korea and five in China, and fed into the HYSPLIT model to conduct backward and forward trajectory analyses. As a result, we successfully prioritized the most likely origins and destinations of M. loreyi in China and Korea, respectively, which has potential implications for subsequent validation of moth migration, using genotypic and phenotypic characterizations. In conclusion, our results show that it is feasible to use the HYSPLIT model simulation for the initial screening of the most likely origins of migratory moths, leading to more efficient and effective validation study of insect migration between countries.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-07876-9Migratory mothsMoth trajectoryHYSPLITLoreyi leafwormMythimna Loreyi
spellingShingle Juhyeong Han
Sunghoon Baek
Xue-Jing Wang
Chun-Sen Ma
Kwang-Hyung Kim
Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT model
Scientific Reports
Migratory moths
Moth trajectory
HYSPLIT
Loreyi leafworm
Mythimna Loreyi
title Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT model
title_full Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT model
title_fullStr Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT model
title_full_unstemmed Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT model
title_short Trajectory analysis of Mythimna Loreyi migration into Korea using the HYSPLIT model
title_sort trajectory analysis of mythimna loreyi migration into korea using the hysplit model
topic Migratory moths
Moth trajectory
HYSPLIT
Loreyi leafworm
Mythimna Loreyi
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-07876-9
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AT chunsenma trajectoryanalysisofmythimnaloreyimigrationintokoreausingthehysplitmodel
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