Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic Similarities

Abstract Accurate streamflow prediction in human‐regulated catchments remains a formidable challenge due to the complex disturbance of hydrological processes. To consider human disturbance in hydrological modeling, this study introduces a novel static attribute collection that combines river‐reach a...

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Main Authors: Arken Tursun, Xianhong Xie, Yibing Wang, Dawei Peng, Yao Liu, Buyun Zheng, Xinran Wu, Cong Nie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-09-01
Series:Water Resources Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036853
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author Arken Tursun
Xianhong Xie
Yibing Wang
Dawei Peng
Yao Liu
Buyun Zheng
Xinran Wu
Cong Nie
author_facet Arken Tursun
Xianhong Xie
Yibing Wang
Dawei Peng
Yao Liu
Buyun Zheng
Xinran Wu
Cong Nie
author_sort Arken Tursun
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Accurate streamflow prediction in human‐regulated catchments remains a formidable challenge due to the complex disturbance of hydrological processes. To consider human disturbance in hydrological modeling, this study introduces a novel static attribute collection that combines river‐reach attributes with catchment attributes, referred to as multiscale attributes. The attribute collection is assembled into two deep learning (DL) methods, that is, the Long Short‐Term Memory (named as Multiscale LSTM) and the Differentiable Parameter Learning (DPL) model, and the performance is evaluated across 95 human‐regulated catchments in the United States (USA) and 24 catchments in the Yellow River Basin in China. In the USA, the Multiscale LSTM and the DPL models achieve similar performance with median Kling‐Gupta Efficiency (KGE) of 0.78 and 0.71, respectively. However, in the Yellow River Basin, the KGE values are 0.58 for Multiscale LSTM and 0.24 for DPL. These results highlight the DL models' ability to leverage multiscale attributes for improved performance compared to traditional catchment attributes. The performance of Multiscale LSTM and DPL models is predominantly influenced by river‐scale attributes, encompassing factors such as connectivity status index (CSI), degree of regulation (DOR), sediment trapping (SED), and number of dams. Additionally, satellite‐derived attributes such as mean and maximum river width (Width), slope and mean water surface elevation (WSE) from the Surface Water and Ocean Topography River Database (SWORD) contribute valuable insights into anthropogenic influences. Moreover, our study highlights the significance of selecting the appropriate training data period, which emerges as the most dominant factor affecting model performance across human‐regulated catchments. The diversity of data during the training period enables the model to capture a broad spectrum of hydrological signatures within these catchments. Consequently, this study emphasizes the advantages of Multiscale LSTM and underscores the significance of considering both natural and anthropogenic signatures to enhance hydrological predictions within human‐regulated environments.
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issn 0043-1397
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spelling doaj-art-ab00b47acbcc452dbb3f65369599d4592025-08-20T03:30:53ZengWileyWater Resources Research0043-13971944-79732024-09-01609n/an/a10.1029/2023WR036853Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic SimilaritiesArken Tursun0Xianhong Xie1Yibing Wang2Dawei Peng3Yao Liu4Buyun Zheng5Xinran Wu6Cong Nie7State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaAbstract Accurate streamflow prediction in human‐regulated catchments remains a formidable challenge due to the complex disturbance of hydrological processes. To consider human disturbance in hydrological modeling, this study introduces a novel static attribute collection that combines river‐reach attributes with catchment attributes, referred to as multiscale attributes. The attribute collection is assembled into two deep learning (DL) methods, that is, the Long Short‐Term Memory (named as Multiscale LSTM) and the Differentiable Parameter Learning (DPL) model, and the performance is evaluated across 95 human‐regulated catchments in the United States (USA) and 24 catchments in the Yellow River Basin in China. In the USA, the Multiscale LSTM and the DPL models achieve similar performance with median Kling‐Gupta Efficiency (KGE) of 0.78 and 0.71, respectively. However, in the Yellow River Basin, the KGE values are 0.58 for Multiscale LSTM and 0.24 for DPL. These results highlight the DL models' ability to leverage multiscale attributes for improved performance compared to traditional catchment attributes. The performance of Multiscale LSTM and DPL models is predominantly influenced by river‐scale attributes, encompassing factors such as connectivity status index (CSI), degree of regulation (DOR), sediment trapping (SED), and number of dams. Additionally, satellite‐derived attributes such as mean and maximum river width (Width), slope and mean water surface elevation (WSE) from the Surface Water and Ocean Topography River Database (SWORD) contribute valuable insights into anthropogenic influences. Moreover, our study highlights the significance of selecting the appropriate training data period, which emerges as the most dominant factor affecting model performance across human‐regulated catchments. The diversity of data during the training period enables the model to capture a broad spectrum of hydrological signatures within these catchments. Consequently, this study emphasizes the advantages of Multiscale LSTM and underscores the significance of considering both natural and anthropogenic signatures to enhance hydrological predictions within human‐regulated environments.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036853human‐regulated catchmentLSTMDPLmultiscale attributeanthropogenic similaritiesSWORD
spellingShingle Arken Tursun
Xianhong Xie
Yibing Wang
Dawei Peng
Yao Liu
Buyun Zheng
Xinran Wu
Cong Nie
Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic Similarities
Water Resources Research
human‐regulated catchment
LSTM
DPL
multiscale attribute
anthropogenic similarities
SWORD
title Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic Similarities
title_full Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic Similarities
title_fullStr Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic Similarities
title_full_unstemmed Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic Similarities
title_short Streamflow Prediction in Human‐Regulated Catchments Using Multiscale Deep Learning Modeling With Anthropogenic Similarities
title_sort streamflow prediction in human regulated catchments using multiscale deep learning modeling with anthropogenic similarities
topic human‐regulated catchment
LSTM
DPL
multiscale attribute
anthropogenic similarities
SWORD
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036853
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