Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study

Objectives The purpose of this study was to estimate the annual incidence of Lyme disease (LD) in the UK.Design This was a retrospective descriptive cohort study.Setting Study data were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), a primary care database covering about 8% of the po...

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Main Authors: Victoria Cairns, Christopher Wallenhorst, Stephan Rietbrock, Carlos Martinez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2019-07-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/9/7/e025916.full
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author Victoria Cairns
Christopher Wallenhorst
Stephan Rietbrock
Carlos Martinez
author_facet Victoria Cairns
Christopher Wallenhorst
Stephan Rietbrock
Carlos Martinez
author_sort Victoria Cairns
collection DOAJ
description Objectives The purpose of this study was to estimate the annual incidence of Lyme disease (LD) in the UK.Design This was a retrospective descriptive cohort study.Setting Study data were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), a primary care database covering about 8% of the population in the UK in 658 primary care practices.Participants Cohort of 8.4 million individuals registered with general practitioners with 52.4 million person-years of observation between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2012.Primary and secondary outcome measures LD was identified from recorded medical codes, notes indicating LD, laboratory tests and use of specific antibiotics. Annual incidence rates and the estimated total number of LD cases were calculated separately for each UK region.Results The number of cases of LD increased rapidly over the years 2001 to 2012, leading to an estimated incidence rate of 12.1 (95% CI 11.1 to 13.2) per 100 000 individuals per year and a UK total of 7738 LD cases in 2012. LD was detected in every UK region with highest incidence rates and largest number of cases in Scotland followed by South West and South England. If the number of cases has continued to rise since the end of the study period, then the number in the UK in 2019 could be over 8000.Conclusions The incidence of LD is about threefold higher than previously estimated, and people are at risk throughout the UK. These results should lead to increased awareness of the need for preventive measures.Trial registration number This study was approved by the Independent Scientific Advisory Committee for CPRD research (Protocol number 13_210R).
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spelling doaj-art-aa9991ebd68445b49a1998f1c824ff412025-08-20T02:49:22ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552019-07-019710.1136/bmjopen-2018-025916Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort studyVictoria Cairns0Christopher Wallenhorst1Stephan Rietbrock2Carlos Martinez31 Retired, Oxford, UKInstitute for Epidemiology, Statistics and Informatics GmbH, Frankfurt, Germany2 Epidemiology, Institute for Epidemiology, Statistics and Informatics GmbH, Frankfurt, Germany2 Epidemiology, Institute for Epidemiology, Statistics and Informatics GmbH, Frankfurt, GermanyObjectives The purpose of this study was to estimate the annual incidence of Lyme disease (LD) in the UK.Design This was a retrospective descriptive cohort study.Setting Study data were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), a primary care database covering about 8% of the population in the UK in 658 primary care practices.Participants Cohort of 8.4 million individuals registered with general practitioners with 52.4 million person-years of observation between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2012.Primary and secondary outcome measures LD was identified from recorded medical codes, notes indicating LD, laboratory tests and use of specific antibiotics. Annual incidence rates and the estimated total number of LD cases were calculated separately for each UK region.Results The number of cases of LD increased rapidly over the years 2001 to 2012, leading to an estimated incidence rate of 12.1 (95% CI 11.1 to 13.2) per 100 000 individuals per year and a UK total of 7738 LD cases in 2012. LD was detected in every UK region with highest incidence rates and largest number of cases in Scotland followed by South West and South England. If the number of cases has continued to rise since the end of the study period, then the number in the UK in 2019 could be over 8000.Conclusions The incidence of LD is about threefold higher than previously estimated, and people are at risk throughout the UK. These results should lead to increased awareness of the need for preventive measures.Trial registration number This study was approved by the Independent Scientific Advisory Committee for CPRD research (Protocol number 13_210R).https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/9/7/e025916.full
spellingShingle Victoria Cairns
Christopher Wallenhorst
Stephan Rietbrock
Carlos Martinez
Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study
BMJ Open
title Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study
title_full Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study
title_fullStr Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study
title_short Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study
title_sort incidence of lyme disease in the uk a population based cohort study
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/9/7/e025916.full
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