Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle

Abstract The relationship between stress and deformation of the solid Earth at various temporal and spatial scales can be described using a variety of constitutive relations. Although our knowledge of the elastic component of these constitutive relations is relatively well-constrained by seismologic...

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Main Authors: Rishav Mallick, Mark Simons
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-05-01
Series:Earth, Planets and Space
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-025-02188-8
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author Rishav Mallick
Mark Simons
author_facet Rishav Mallick
Mark Simons
author_sort Rishav Mallick
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The relationship between stress and deformation of the solid Earth at various temporal and spatial scales can be described using a variety of constitutive relations. Although our knowledge of the elastic component of these constitutive relations is relatively well-constrained by seismological observations, there are limited opportunities to probe the inelastic component of plausible constitutive relations. Focusing on viscoelastic rheologies, the exact formulation of the viscous component of the rheology of the crust–mantle system is not uniquely constrained, i.e. multiple formulations (linear Burgers and power-law) are able to recreate geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle. Here, we show that it is possible to discriminate between these commonly adopted rheological models under certain conditions, even with the limited observational time span of geodetic networks. We first run a set of numerical simulations of periodic earthquake cycles as well as 2-event sequences for a two-dimensional strike–slip plate boundary, assuming a 20-km-thick frictional fault in an elastic layer overlying a 30-km-thick viscoelastic channel, to predict the resulting surface displacement time series over a 20-year time window. We use a rate-dependent friction law for the fault and a combined diffusion and dislocation creep viscous flow law with laboratory-derived rheological parameters to describe the non-elastic properties of the medium. We invert the synthetic surface displacements to obtain best-fit parameters for a simplified boundary element representation of each rheological model, assuming all viscous strain is localized beneath the fault, and compare the misfits. Linear Burgers and power-law rheologies are nearly indistinguishable when considering periodic events, but they can be distinguished using data from earthquake sequences when events are sufficiently different in magnitude (at least 0.2 units in magnitude) and occur with adequate temporal separation ( $$\sim $$ ∼ 1–10 years). However, when the true parameters represent a power-law rheology, it is not possible to uniquely recover all the rheological parameters. Graphical abstract
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spelling doaj-art-aa8eda83cfa74cc39413fd025c2338cb2025-08-20T03:48:18ZengSpringerOpenEarth, Planets and Space1880-59812025-05-0177111510.1186/s40623-025-02188-8Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycleRishav Mallick0Mark Simons1Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of TechnologySeismological Laboratory, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of TechnologyAbstract The relationship between stress and deformation of the solid Earth at various temporal and spatial scales can be described using a variety of constitutive relations. Although our knowledge of the elastic component of these constitutive relations is relatively well-constrained by seismological observations, there are limited opportunities to probe the inelastic component of plausible constitutive relations. Focusing on viscoelastic rheologies, the exact formulation of the viscous component of the rheology of the crust–mantle system is not uniquely constrained, i.e. multiple formulations (linear Burgers and power-law) are able to recreate geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle. Here, we show that it is possible to discriminate between these commonly adopted rheological models under certain conditions, even with the limited observational time span of geodetic networks. We first run a set of numerical simulations of periodic earthquake cycles as well as 2-event sequences for a two-dimensional strike–slip plate boundary, assuming a 20-km-thick frictional fault in an elastic layer overlying a 30-km-thick viscoelastic channel, to predict the resulting surface displacement time series over a 20-year time window. We use a rate-dependent friction law for the fault and a combined diffusion and dislocation creep viscous flow law with laboratory-derived rheological parameters to describe the non-elastic properties of the medium. We invert the synthetic surface displacements to obtain best-fit parameters for a simplified boundary element representation of each rheological model, assuming all viscous strain is localized beneath the fault, and compare the misfits. Linear Burgers and power-law rheologies are nearly indistinguishable when considering periodic events, but they can be distinguished using data from earthquake sequences when events are sufficiently different in magnitude (at least 0.2 units in magnitude) and occur with adequate temporal separation ( $$\sim $$ ∼ 1–10 years). However, when the true parameters represent a power-law rheology, it is not possible to uniquely recover all the rheological parameters. Graphical abstracthttps://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-025-02188-8Seismic cycleNumerical modelingDynamics of lithosphere and mantleRheology: crust and lithosphere
spellingShingle Rishav Mallick
Mark Simons
Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle
Earth, Planets and Space
Seismic cycle
Numerical modeling
Dynamics of lithosphere and mantle
Rheology: crust and lithosphere
title Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle
title_full Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle
title_fullStr Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle
title_full_unstemmed Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle
title_short Limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle
title_sort limits on inferring an effective lithospheric rheology from geodetic observations of the earthquake cycle
topic Seismic cycle
Numerical modeling
Dynamics of lithosphere and mantle
Rheology: crust and lithosphere
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-025-02188-8
work_keys_str_mv AT rishavmallick limitsoninferringaneffectivelithosphericrheologyfromgeodeticobservationsoftheearthquakecycle
AT marksimons limitsoninferringaneffectivelithosphericrheologyfromgeodeticobservationsoftheearthquakecycle