HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis

Abstract Objective To analyze the temporal trend of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) prevalence in the population deprived of liberty, in Brazil, between the years 2017 and 2023. Methods Time series analysis evaluation, from 2017 to 2023. The number of persons deprived of liberty and the n...

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Main Authors: Maria Rayssa do Nascimento Nogueira, Hévila Ferreira Gomes Medeiros Braga, Vitória Talya dos Santos Sousa, Nathanael de Souza Maciel, Emanuella Silva Joventino Melo, Patrícia Freire de Vasconcelos, Leilane Barbosa de Sousa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ministério da Saúde do Brasil 2025-06-01
Series:Epidemiologia e Serviços de Saúde
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Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2237-96222025000100247&lng=en&tlng=en
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author Maria Rayssa do Nascimento Nogueira
Hévila Ferreira Gomes Medeiros Braga
Vitória Talya dos Santos Sousa
Nathanael de Souza Maciel
Emanuella Silva Joventino Melo
Patrícia Freire de Vasconcelos
Leilane Barbosa de Sousa
author_facet Maria Rayssa do Nascimento Nogueira
Hévila Ferreira Gomes Medeiros Braga
Vitória Talya dos Santos Sousa
Nathanael de Souza Maciel
Emanuella Silva Joventino Melo
Patrícia Freire de Vasconcelos
Leilane Barbosa de Sousa
author_sort Maria Rayssa do Nascimento Nogueira
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective To analyze the temporal trend of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) prevalence in the population deprived of liberty, in Brazil, between the years 2017 and 2023. Methods Time series analysis evaluation, from 2017 to 2023. The number of persons deprived of liberty and the number of HIV cases were collected from the. National Penitentiary Department Information System. In addition, sociodemographic variables were collected from each federative unit on the Atlas Brasil website concerning the National Household Sampling Survey (2021). Joinpoint software was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) through regressions. The relationship between HIV prevalence and indicators was analyzed in GeoDa 1.22.0.4. Results The national prevalence of HIV in persons deprived of liberty was 10.84 cases per 1,000 inmates, with an increasing trend (APC 0.3; 95%CI 0.1;0.6). This rate was higher among women (23.64/1,000 inmates), however, it showed a decreasing trend (APC 0.7; 95%CI -1.2;-0.2). However, although being lower among men (10.15/1,000 inmates), the trend in this group was increasing (APC 0.5; 95%CI 0.2;0.8). As for region, the highest prevalence was in the South (15.12/1,000 inmates). Aging rate (p-value 0.014), per capita household income (p-value 0.021) and municipal human development Index (MHDI) adjusted for income (p-value 0.024) showed positive associations. Conclusion Nationally, the prevalence was higher among women. However, while the prevalence among men showed an increasing trend, a reduction was observed among women over the period analyzed.
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spelling doaj-art-aa7a469ef5c645a097fafa37f63ed1a22025-08-20T02:07:20ZengMinistério da Saúde do BrasilEpidemiologia e Serviços de Saúde2237-96222025-06-013410.1590/s2237-96222025v34e20240493.enHIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysisMaria Rayssa do Nascimento Nogueirahttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0355-5901Hévila Ferreira Gomes Medeiros Bragahttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4188-2882Vitória Talya dos Santos Sousahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5403-2820Nathanael de Souza Macielhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5088-011XEmanuella Silva Joventino Melohttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9786-5059Patrícia Freire de Vasconceloshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6158-9221Leilane Barbosa de Sousahttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0266-6255Abstract Objective To analyze the temporal trend of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) prevalence in the population deprived of liberty, in Brazil, between the years 2017 and 2023. Methods Time series analysis evaluation, from 2017 to 2023. The number of persons deprived of liberty and the number of HIV cases were collected from the. National Penitentiary Department Information System. In addition, sociodemographic variables were collected from each federative unit on the Atlas Brasil website concerning the National Household Sampling Survey (2021). Joinpoint software was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) through regressions. The relationship between HIV prevalence and indicators was analyzed in GeoDa 1.22.0.4. Results The national prevalence of HIV in persons deprived of liberty was 10.84 cases per 1,000 inmates, with an increasing trend (APC 0.3; 95%CI 0.1;0.6). This rate was higher among women (23.64/1,000 inmates), however, it showed a decreasing trend (APC 0.7; 95%CI -1.2;-0.2). However, although being lower among men (10.15/1,000 inmates), the trend in this group was increasing (APC 0.5; 95%CI 0.2;0.8). As for region, the highest prevalence was in the South (15.12/1,000 inmates). Aging rate (p-value 0.014), per capita household income (p-value 0.021) and municipal human development Index (MHDI) adjusted for income (p-value 0.024) showed positive associations. Conclusion Nationally, the prevalence was higher among women. However, while the prevalence among men showed an increasing trend, a reduction was observed among women over the period analyzed.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2237-96222025000100247&lng=en&tlng=enHIVPersons Deprived of LibertyHealth Information SystemsPrevalenceTime Series Analysis
spellingShingle Maria Rayssa do Nascimento Nogueira
Hévila Ferreira Gomes Medeiros Braga
Vitória Talya dos Santos Sousa
Nathanael de Souza Maciel
Emanuella Silva Joventino Melo
Patrícia Freire de Vasconcelos
Leilane Barbosa de Sousa
HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis
Epidemiologia e Serviços de Saúde
HIV
Persons Deprived of Liberty
Health Information Systems
Prevalence
Time Series Analysis
title HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis
title_full HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis
title_fullStr HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis
title_full_unstemmed HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis
title_short HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis
title_sort hiv prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in brazil 2017 2023 a time series analysis
topic HIV
Persons Deprived of Liberty
Health Information Systems
Prevalence
Time Series Analysis
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2237-96222025000100247&lng=en&tlng=en
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