The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model

Although the academic literature on real options has grown enormously over the past three decades, hitherto an accurate real option pricing model has not been developed for investment decision analyses. In this paper, we propose a real option pricing model based on sunk cost characteristics, which c...

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Main Authors: Songsong Li, Yinglong Zhang, Xuefeng Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3626000
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author Songsong Li
Yinglong Zhang
Xuefeng Wang
author_facet Songsong Li
Yinglong Zhang
Xuefeng Wang
author_sort Songsong Li
collection DOAJ
description Although the academic literature on real options has grown enormously over the past three decades, hitherto an accurate real option pricing model has not been developed for investment decision analyses. In this paper, we propose a real option pricing model based on sunk cost characteristics, which can estimate the value of real options more accurately. First, we explore the distinctive features that distinguish real options from financial options. The study shows that the distinguishing feature of the real options is the sunk cost, which does not exist in the financial options. Based on the sunk cost characteristic of real options, we find that the exercise conditions of real and financial options are different. Second, we introduce the sunk cost into the intrinsic value function of real options and establish a new real option pricing model. Finally, this paper also discusses the properties of the intrinsic value function and pricing model of real options. We find that the application of the Black–Scholes option pricing model will overestimate the value of real options.
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institution Kabale University
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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spelling doaj-art-aa779d863e2e432085eb6cf6d19937be2025-02-03T01:24:48ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/36260003626000The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing ModelSongsong Li0Yinglong Zhang1Xuefeng Wang2School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, 92 West Dazhi Street, Nangang District, Harbin 150001, ChinaSchool of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, 92 West Dazhi Street, Nangang District, Harbin 150001, ChinaSchool of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, 92 West Dazhi Street, Nangang District, Harbin 150001, ChinaAlthough the academic literature on real options has grown enormously over the past three decades, hitherto an accurate real option pricing model has not been developed for investment decision analyses. In this paper, we propose a real option pricing model based on sunk cost characteristics, which can estimate the value of real options more accurately. First, we explore the distinctive features that distinguish real options from financial options. The study shows that the distinguishing feature of the real options is the sunk cost, which does not exist in the financial options. Based on the sunk cost characteristic of real options, we find that the exercise conditions of real and financial options are different. Second, we introduce the sunk cost into the intrinsic value function of real options and establish a new real option pricing model. Finally, this paper also discusses the properties of the intrinsic value function and pricing model of real options. We find that the application of the Black–Scholes option pricing model will overestimate the value of real options.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3626000
spellingShingle Songsong Li
Yinglong Zhang
Xuefeng Wang
The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model
Complexity
title The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model
title_full The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model
title_fullStr The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model
title_full_unstemmed The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model
title_short The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model
title_sort sunk cost and the real option pricing model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3626000
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