Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest China

The secondary and derivative effects of natural disasters have significant impacts on the economy and society, making it urgent to research the disaster chains mechanisms. This study utilized web scraping software to collect news reports based on text rules. Through data cleaning, extraction, and en...

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Main Authors: Yongbao Zhang, Yao Zhang, Yongzhong Sha
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2025.2521652
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author Yongbao Zhang
Yao Zhang
Yongzhong Sha
author_facet Yongbao Zhang
Yao Zhang
Yongzhong Sha
author_sort Yongbao Zhang
collection DOAJ
description The secondary and derivative effects of natural disasters have significant impacts on the economy and society, making it urgent to research the disaster chains mechanisms. This study utilized web scraping software to collect news reports based on text rules. Through data cleaning, extraction, and encoding to analyze the evolution model, overall, time, and spatial characteristics of the natural disaster chain in Northwest China. The results indicate that the natural disaster chain in Northwest China can be classified into four evolution models: linear, divergent, centralized, and cross. Different models of disaster chains cause different disaster losses. Rainstorm disasters have the highest concurrency, while low-temperature disasters have the highest continuity. Between 2017 and 2023, there was a trend of increasing and then decreasing numbers of disasters and disaster chains, while the length of disaster chains showed a pattern of decreasing and then increasing. Summer experienced the largest number of disasters and disaster chains, while spring and winter had the longest disaster chain. Gansu and Shanxi are the regions with the highest risk. This study enhances the research findings on disaster chains, which provides decision-making references for disaster risk assessment and emergency management in Northwest China under the framework of big data analysis.
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series Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
spelling doaj-art-aa75480563d349f68daa3d407bcdc6f42025-08-20T03:47:21ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk1947-57051947-57132025-12-0116110.1080/19475705.2025.2521652Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest ChinaYongbao Zhang0Yao Zhang1Yongzhong Sha2School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, ChinaSchool of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, ChinaSchool of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, ChinaThe secondary and derivative effects of natural disasters have significant impacts on the economy and society, making it urgent to research the disaster chains mechanisms. This study utilized web scraping software to collect news reports based on text rules. Through data cleaning, extraction, and encoding to analyze the evolution model, overall, time, and spatial characteristics of the natural disaster chain in Northwest China. The results indicate that the natural disaster chain in Northwest China can be classified into four evolution models: linear, divergent, centralized, and cross. Different models of disaster chains cause different disaster losses. Rainstorm disasters have the highest concurrency, while low-temperature disasters have the highest continuity. Between 2017 and 2023, there was a trend of increasing and then decreasing numbers of disasters and disaster chains, while the length of disaster chains showed a pattern of decreasing and then increasing. Summer experienced the largest number of disasters and disaster chains, while spring and winter had the longest disaster chain. Gansu and Shanxi are the regions with the highest risk. This study enhances the research findings on disaster chains, which provides decision-making references for disaster risk assessment and emergency management in Northwest China under the framework of big data analysis.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2025.2521652Natural disastersdisaster chainnews reportevolution modelspatiotemporal characteristics
spellingShingle Yongbao Zhang
Yao Zhang
Yongzhong Sha
Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest China
Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
Natural disasters
disaster chain
news report
evolution model
spatiotemporal characteristics
title Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest China
title_full Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest China
title_fullStr Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest China
title_full_unstemmed Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest China
title_short Research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in Northwest China
title_sort research on the evolution model and characteristics of natural disaster chains in northwest china
topic Natural disasters
disaster chain
news report
evolution model
spatiotemporal characteristics
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2025.2521652
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AT yongzhongsha researchontheevolutionmodelandcharacteristicsofnaturaldisasterchainsinnorthwestchina