The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic Stability

The subject of this expert study is an evaluation of risks and potential threats of globalization of the U.S. and the allied BMD systems as well as of their sea-based deployments as the most important component of integrated forward-based BMD systems. Negative consequences of the large-scale deploym...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: I. Kuznetsov
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: MGIMO University Press 2017-06-01
Series:Международная аналитика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/43
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849244319978881024
author I. Kuznetsov
author_facet I. Kuznetsov
author_sort I. Kuznetsov
collection DOAJ
description The subject of this expert study is an evaluation of risks and potential threats of globalization of the U.S. and the allied BMD systems as well as of their sea-based deployments as the most important component of integrated forward-based BMD systems. Negative consequences of the large-scale deployments of these systems for negotiating strategic arms limitations as well as for reversibility of the existing treaties are evident in the midterm perspective.The versions of “moderate” qualitative and quantitative estimations of these plans and programs promoted by the U.S. and allied countries allow to become firmly convinced about intentions to create the phenomena of “a window of vulnerability” for the Russia’s SLBM and ICBM retaliation potential. This temporal interval tends to widen, owing to a lower limit by a deployment closer to seashore of defense installations and objects in the depth of territory, as well as, by a shorter time-reaction to launches of the strategic retaliation forces by sea-based BMD’s.The most possible scenarios of the deployment of ships equipped with BMD’s and organized in groups that are engaged in “active-offensive” missions show the unavoidable necessity to include “a less favorable scenario” in the Russia’s strategic planning. The calculations adduced by the author give serious grounds to suggest that realization of corresponding plans of shipbuilding and deployments in the mid-term perspective will create conditions for reversibility of the existing strategic balance and totally undermine negotiating processes on arms control.
format Article
id doaj-art-aa064db6cbb549818ea2e8656777fab9
institution Kabale University
issn 2587-8476
2541-9633
language Russian
publishDate 2017-06-01
publisher MGIMO University Press
record_format Article
series Международная аналитика
spelling doaj-art-aa064db6cbb549818ea2e8656777fab92025-08-20T03:59:12ZrusMGIMO University PressМеждународная аналитика2587-84762541-96332017-06-0102435110.46272/2587-8476-2017-0-2-43-5143The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic StabilityI. Kuznetsov0MGIMO-UniversityThe subject of this expert study is an evaluation of risks and potential threats of globalization of the U.S. and the allied BMD systems as well as of their sea-based deployments as the most important component of integrated forward-based BMD systems. Negative consequences of the large-scale deployments of these systems for negotiating strategic arms limitations as well as for reversibility of the existing treaties are evident in the midterm perspective.The versions of “moderate” qualitative and quantitative estimations of these plans and programs promoted by the U.S. and allied countries allow to become firmly convinced about intentions to create the phenomena of “a window of vulnerability” for the Russia’s SLBM and ICBM retaliation potential. This temporal interval tends to widen, owing to a lower limit by a deployment closer to seashore of defense installations and objects in the depth of territory, as well as, by a shorter time-reaction to launches of the strategic retaliation forces by sea-based BMD’s.The most possible scenarios of the deployment of ships equipped with BMD’s and organized in groups that are engaged in “active-offensive” missions show the unavoidable necessity to include “a less favorable scenario” in the Russia’s strategic planning. The calculations adduced by the author give serious grounds to suggest that realization of corresponding plans of shipbuilding and deployments in the mid-term perspective will create conditions for reversibility of the existing strategic balance and totally undermine negotiating processes on arms control.https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/43globalization of the u.s. bmd systemu.s. and allies sea-based bmd systemsnegotiations on arms controlwindow of vulnerability for a retaliation potentialstrategic stability
spellingShingle I. Kuznetsov
The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic Stability
Международная аналитика
globalization of the u.s. bmd system
u.s. and allies sea-based bmd systems
negotiations on arms control
window of vulnerability for a retaliation potential
strategic stability
title The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic Stability
title_full The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic Stability
title_fullStr The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic Stability
title_full_unstemmed The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic Stability
title_short The U.S. and Allies’ Forward-Based BMD Systems: An Emerging Threat to Strategic Stability
title_sort u s and allies forward based bmd systems an emerging threat to strategic stability
topic globalization of the u.s. bmd system
u.s. and allies sea-based bmd systems
negotiations on arms control
window of vulnerability for a retaliation potential
strategic stability
url https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/43
work_keys_str_mv AT ikuznetsov theusandalliesforwardbasedbmdsystemsanemergingthreattostrategicstability
AT ikuznetsov usandalliesforwardbasedbmdsystemsanemergingthreattostrategicstability