DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOS
The article has developed a methodology for evaluating investment projects based on fuzzy sets and the method of scenarios. These methods allow assessing risks in the face of considerable uncertainty. The primary goal was the ranking of risks in order of importance based on expert assessments. 12 ex...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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North Caucasus Federal University
2022-02-01
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| Series: | Вестник Северо-Кавказского федерального университета |
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| Online Access: | https://vestnikskfu.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/82 |
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| _version_ | 1850046226829934592 |
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| author | M. Shafikov Y. Rudneva |
| author_facet | M. Shafikov Y. Rudneva |
| author_sort | M. Shafikov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article has developed a methodology for evaluating investment projects based on fuzzy sets and the method of scenarios. These methods allow assessing risks in the face of considerable uncertainty. The primary goal was the ranking of risks in order of importance based on expert assessments. 12 experienced oil and gas specialists were involved in the risk assessment. As a result, 5 of the most significant risks were selected. The following data presented in the form of a fuzzy number were used as the initial data and the resulting values in evaluating the effectiveness of investment projects: net present value, internal rate of return, project payback period. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-a9e1d34f425441c8a2273f4752f5f625 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2307-907X |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2022-02-01 |
| publisher | North Caucasus Federal University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Вестник Северо-Кавказского федерального университета |
| spelling | doaj-art-a9e1d34f425441c8a2273f4752f5f6252025-08-20T02:54:29ZrusNorth Caucasus Federal UniversityВестник Северо-Кавказского федерального университета2307-907X2022-02-01049110081DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOSM. Shafikov0Y. Rudneva1Ufa State Petroleum Technological UniversityUfa State Petroleum Technological UniversityThe article has developed a methodology for evaluating investment projects based on fuzzy sets and the method of scenarios. These methods allow assessing risks in the face of considerable uncertainty. The primary goal was the ranking of risks in order of importance based on expert assessments. 12 experienced oil and gas specialists were involved in the risk assessment. As a result, 5 of the most significant risks were selected. The following data presented in the form of a fuzzy number were used as the initial data and the resulting values in evaluating the effectiveness of investment projects: net present value, internal rate of return, project payback period.https://vestnikskfu.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/82risk assessmentfuzzy set methodscenario methoddecision maker |
| spellingShingle | M. Shafikov Y. Rudneva DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOS Вестник Северо-Кавказского федерального университета risk assessment fuzzy set method scenario method decision maker |
| title | DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOS |
| title_full | DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOS |
| title_fullStr | DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOS |
| title_full_unstemmed | DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOS |
| title_short | DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS OF EVALUATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY USING FUZZY SETS AND THE METHOD OF SCENARIOS |
| title_sort | development of methods of evaluation of investment projects in the oil and gas industry using fuzzy sets and the method of scenarios |
| topic | risk assessment fuzzy set method scenario method decision maker |
| url | https://vestnikskfu.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/82 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mshafikov developmentofmethodsofevaluationofinvestmentprojectsintheoilandgasindustryusingfuzzysetsandthemethodofscenarios AT yrudneva developmentofmethodsofevaluationofinvestmentprojectsintheoilandgasindustryusingfuzzysetsandthemethodofscenarios |