A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations

Traditional clustering methods based on source-load information struggle to accurately describe the time-sequenced operational characteristics of renewable energy power systems. To address this, a typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operation...

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Main Authors: PENG Zhuyi, SONG Shan, XU Sixuan, GU Kanghui, GE Yi, WANG Quanquan, SUN Wentao
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: zhejiang electric power 2025-05-01
Series:Zhejiang dianli
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Online Access:https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=3add38f0-48f3-4248-ac33-f4ede11cedad
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author PENG Zhuyi
SONG Shan
XU Sixuan
GU Kanghui
GE Yi
WANG Quanquan
SUN Wentao
author_facet PENG Zhuyi
SONG Shan
XU Sixuan
GU Kanghui
GE Yi
WANG Quanquan
SUN Wentao
author_sort PENG Zhuyi
collection DOAJ
description Traditional clustering methods based on source-load information struggle to accurately describe the time-sequenced operational characteristics of renewable energy power systems. To address this, a typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations is proposed, considering both the AC power flow distribution and startup-shutoff strategies for units. Firstly, a unit combination model that incorporates AC power flow constraints is constructed, and a two-stage solution strategy based on second-order cone relaxation is adopted to perform 8,760-hour time-sequenced simulations in the multi-period optimal power flow model. Secondly, based on data characteristics such as renewable energy output levels, line congestion conditions, and unit startup-shutoff from the time-sequenced simulation results, an improved K-means algorithm is employed to extract typical scenarios. Finally, the validity of the proposed method is verified through a case study, providing a reference for renewable energy power system planning and scheduling.
format Article
id doaj-art-a9cfab5ceede4b2eace01a0793d0865a
institution DOAJ
issn 1007-1881
language zho
publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher zhejiang electric power
record_format Article
series Zhejiang dianli
spelling doaj-art-a9cfab5ceede4b2eace01a0793d0865a2025-08-20T03:07:27Zzhozhejiang electric powerZhejiang dianli1007-18812025-05-01445667510.19585/j.zjdl.2025050071007-1881(2025)05-0066-10A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulationsPENG Zhuyi0SONG Shan1XU Sixuan2GU Kanghui3GE Yi4WANG Quanquan5SUN Wentao6State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. Economic and Technical Research Institute, Nanjing 210009, ChinaState Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. Economic and Technical Research Institute, Nanjing 210009, ChinaState Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. Economic and Technical Research Institute, Nanjing 210009, ChinaChina Energy Construction Group Jiangsu Electric Power Design Institute Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210018, ChinaState Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. Economic and Technical Research Institute, Nanjing 210009, ChinaState Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. Economic and Technical Research Institute, Nanjing 210009, ChinaState Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. Economic and Technical Research Institute, Nanjing 210009, ChinaTraditional clustering methods based on source-load information struggle to accurately describe the time-sequenced operational characteristics of renewable energy power systems. To address this, a typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations is proposed, considering both the AC power flow distribution and startup-shutoff strategies for units. Firstly, a unit combination model that incorporates AC power flow constraints is constructed, and a two-stage solution strategy based on second-order cone relaxation is adopted to perform 8,760-hour time-sequenced simulations in the multi-period optimal power flow model. Secondly, based on data characteristics such as renewable energy output levels, line congestion conditions, and unit startup-shutoff from the time-sequenced simulation results, an improved K-means algorithm is employed to extract typical scenarios. Finally, the validity of the proposed method is verified through a case study, providing a reference for renewable energy power system planning and scheduling.https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=3add38f0-48f3-4248-ac33-f4ede11cedadfull-time sequence simulationoptimal power flowunit combinationsecond-order cone relaxationtypical scenario
spellingShingle PENG Zhuyi
SONG Shan
XU Sixuan
GU Kanghui
GE Yi
WANG Quanquan
SUN Wentao
A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations
Zhejiang dianli
full-time sequence simulation
optimal power flow
unit combination
second-order cone relaxation
typical scenario
title A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations
title_full A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations
title_fullStr A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations
title_full_unstemmed A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations
title_short A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations
title_sort typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time sequenced operational simulations
topic full-time sequence simulation
optimal power flow
unit combination
second-order cone relaxation
typical scenario
url https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=3add38f0-48f3-4248-ac33-f4ede11cedad
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