Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation

In 2023, the Australian Government issued ∼250,000 soil carbon credits following a measurement period characterised by high rainfall (Decile 10). The inferred soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration rates during this period, ranging from ∼2 to 8 t C ha−¹ yr−¹, significantly exceed rates reported in...

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Main Authors: Elaine Mitchell, Naoya Takeda, Liam Grace, Peter Grace, Ken Day, Sahar Ahmadi, Warwick Badgery, Annette Cowie, Aaron Simmons, Richard Eckard, Matthew Tom Harrison, William Parton, Brian Wilson, Susan Orgill, Raphael A. Viscarra Rossel, David Pannell, Paige Stanley, Felicity Deane, David Rowlings
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Carbon Management
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17583004.2024.2430780
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author Elaine Mitchell
Naoya Takeda
Liam Grace
Peter Grace
Ken Day
Sahar Ahmadi
Warwick Badgery
Annette Cowie
Aaron Simmons
Richard Eckard
Matthew Tom Harrison
William Parton
Brian Wilson
Susan Orgill
Raphael A. Viscarra Rossel
David Pannell
Paige Stanley
Felicity Deane
David Rowlings
author_facet Elaine Mitchell
Naoya Takeda
Liam Grace
Peter Grace
Ken Day
Sahar Ahmadi
Warwick Badgery
Annette Cowie
Aaron Simmons
Richard Eckard
Matthew Tom Harrison
William Parton
Brian Wilson
Susan Orgill
Raphael A. Viscarra Rossel
David Pannell
Paige Stanley
Felicity Deane
David Rowlings
author_sort Elaine Mitchell
collection DOAJ
description In 2023, the Australian Government issued ∼250,000 soil carbon credits following a measurement period characterised by high rainfall (Decile 10). The inferred soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration rates during this period, ranging from ∼2 to 8 t C ha−¹ yr−¹, significantly exceed rates reported in Australian scientific studies (∼0.1 to 1.2 t C ha−¹ yr−¹). Our analysis, incorporating SOC and biomass measurements alongside remote sensing of NDVI, reveals that these SOC gains were largely attributable to above-average rainfall rather than project interventions. Moreover, these gains were not sustained when rainfall returned to average levels, raising concerns about the durability of credited sequestration and its additionality beyond natural climatic variability. Our findings demonstrate that current safeguards within the Soil Carbon Method—such as withholding 25% of credits during the first measurement period—are likely insufficient to account for climatic variability. To strengthen the integrity of the carbon crediting system, we recommend extending the minimum measurement period for credit issuance to at least five years. Additionally, governments should establish science-based ‘reasonable bounds’ for expected long-term SOC gains from management practices to sense-check reported outcomes. These measures will ensure that credited SOC sequestration is more closely tied to management-driven outcomes rather than short-term climate-driven fluctuations.
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spelling doaj-art-a97898919c2248bfbdd1f6f4c830a6562025-08-20T01:59:09ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCarbon Management1758-30041758-30122024-12-0115110.1080/17583004.2024.2430780Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigationElaine Mitchell0Naoya Takeda1Liam Grace2Peter Grace3Ken Day4Sahar Ahmadi5Warwick Badgery6Annette Cowie7Aaron Simmons8Richard Eckard9Matthew Tom Harrison10William Parton11Brian Wilson12Susan Orgill13Raphael A. Viscarra Rossel14David Pannell15Paige Stanley16Felicity Deane17David Rowlings18Sustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaNSW Department of Primary Industries, Orange, University of New England, Armidale, NSW, AustraliaNSW Department of Primary Industries, Orange, University of New England, Armidale, NSW, AustraliaNSW Department of Primary Industries, Orange, University of New England, Armidale, NSW, AustraliaSchool of Agriculture, Food, and Ecosystem Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, AustraliaTasmanian Institute of Agriculture, University of Tasmania, Newnham, Launceston, TAS, AustraliaSustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSchool of Environmental and Rural Science, University of New England, Armidale, NSW, AustraliaSelect Carbon, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSoil & Landscape Science, School of Molecular & Life Sciences, Faculty of Science & Engineering, Curtin University, Perth, WA, AustraliaCentre for Environmental Economics and Policy, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, AustraliaDepartment of Soil and Crop Science, Colorado State University, CO, USASchool of Law, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSustainable Agroecosystems, School of Biological and Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaIn 2023, the Australian Government issued ∼250,000 soil carbon credits following a measurement period characterised by high rainfall (Decile 10). The inferred soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration rates during this period, ranging from ∼2 to 8 t C ha−¹ yr−¹, significantly exceed rates reported in Australian scientific studies (∼0.1 to 1.2 t C ha−¹ yr−¹). Our analysis, incorporating SOC and biomass measurements alongside remote sensing of NDVI, reveals that these SOC gains were largely attributable to above-average rainfall rather than project interventions. Moreover, these gains were not sustained when rainfall returned to average levels, raising concerns about the durability of credited sequestration and its additionality beyond natural climatic variability. Our findings demonstrate that current safeguards within the Soil Carbon Method—such as withholding 25% of credits during the first measurement period—are likely insufficient to account for climatic variability. To strengthen the integrity of the carbon crediting system, we recommend extending the minimum measurement period for credit issuance to at least five years. Additionally, governments should establish science-based ‘reasonable bounds’ for expected long-term SOC gains from management practices to sense-check reported outcomes. These measures will ensure that credited SOC sequestration is more closely tied to management-driven outcomes rather than short-term climate-driven fluctuations.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17583004.2024.2430780Policycarbon marketcarbon removalssoil carbongreenhouse gasclimate change mitigation
spellingShingle Elaine Mitchell
Naoya Takeda
Liam Grace
Peter Grace
Ken Day
Sahar Ahmadi
Warwick Badgery
Annette Cowie
Aaron Simmons
Richard Eckard
Matthew Tom Harrison
William Parton
Brian Wilson
Susan Orgill
Raphael A. Viscarra Rossel
David Pannell
Paige Stanley
Felicity Deane
David Rowlings
Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation
Carbon Management
Policy
carbon market
carbon removals
soil carbon
greenhouse gas
climate change mitigation
title Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation
title_full Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation
title_fullStr Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation
title_full_unstemmed Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation
title_short Making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation
title_sort making soil carbon credits work for climate change mitigation
topic Policy
carbon market
carbon removals
soil carbon
greenhouse gas
climate change mitigation
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17583004.2024.2430780
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