Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit Patients

Purpose: To evaluate the variability of oncogenic risk related to radiation exposure in patients frequently exposed to ionizing radiation for diagnostic purposes, specifically ICU patients, according to different risk models, including the BEIR VII, ICRP 103, and US EPA models. Methods: This was an...

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Main Authors: Emilio Quaia, Chiara Zanon, Riccardo Torchio, Fabrizio Dughiero, Francesca De Monte, Marta Paiusco
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Tomography
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2379-139X/11/4/42
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author Emilio Quaia
Chiara Zanon
Riccardo Torchio
Fabrizio Dughiero
Francesca De Monte
Marta Paiusco
author_facet Emilio Quaia
Chiara Zanon
Riccardo Torchio
Fabrizio Dughiero
Francesca De Monte
Marta Paiusco
author_sort Emilio Quaia
collection DOAJ
description Purpose: To evaluate the variability of oncogenic risk related to radiation exposure in patients frequently exposed to ionizing radiation for diagnostic purposes, specifically ICU patients, according to different risk models, including the BEIR VII, ICRP 103, and US EPA models. Methods: This was an IRB-approved observational retrospective study. A total of 71 patients (58 male, 13 female; median age, 66 years; interquartile range [IQR], 65–71 years) admitted to the ICU who underwent X-ray examinations between 1 October 2021 and 28 February 2023 were included. For each patient, the cumulative effective dose during a single hospital admission was calculated. Lifetime attributable risk (LAR) was estimated based on the BEIR VII, ICRP 103, and US EPA risk models to calculate additional oncogenic risk related to radiation exposure. The Friedman test for repeated-measures analysis of variance was used to compare risk values between different models. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was used to assess the consistency of risk values between different models. Results: Different organ, leukemia, and all-cancer risk values estimated according to different oncogenic risk models were significantly different, but the intraclass correlation coefficient revealed a good (>0.75) or even excellent (>0.9) agreement between different risk models. The ICRP 103 model estimated a lower all-cancer (median 69.05 [IQR 30.35–195.37]) and leukemia risk (8.22 [3.02–27.93]) compared to the US EPA (all-cancer: 139.68 [50.51–416.16]; leukemia: 23.34 [3.47–64.37]) and BEIR VII (all-cancer: 162.08 [70.6–371.40]; leukemia: 24.66 [12.9–58.8]) models. Conclusions: Cancer risk values were significantly different between risk models, though inter-model agreement in the consistency of risk values was found to be good, or even excellent.
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spelling doaj-art-a95ae35b2e3d4bea89a4f6608a04000b2025-08-20T02:25:07ZengMDPI AGTomography2379-13812379-139X2025-04-011144210.3390/tomography11040042Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit PatientsEmilio Quaia0Chiara Zanon1Riccardo Torchio2Fabrizio Dughiero3Francesca De Monte4Marta Paiusco5Department of Radiology, University of Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128 Padova, ItalyDepartment of Radiology, University of Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128 Padova, ItalyDepartment of Information Engineering, University of Padova, 35128 Padova, ItalyDepartment of Information Engineering, University of Padova, 35128 Padova, ItalyMedical Physics Department, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV—IRCCS, 35128 Padova, ItalyMedical Physics Department, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV—IRCCS, 35128 Padova, ItalyPurpose: To evaluate the variability of oncogenic risk related to radiation exposure in patients frequently exposed to ionizing radiation for diagnostic purposes, specifically ICU patients, according to different risk models, including the BEIR VII, ICRP 103, and US EPA models. Methods: This was an IRB-approved observational retrospective study. A total of 71 patients (58 male, 13 female; median age, 66 years; interquartile range [IQR], 65–71 years) admitted to the ICU who underwent X-ray examinations between 1 October 2021 and 28 February 2023 were included. For each patient, the cumulative effective dose during a single hospital admission was calculated. Lifetime attributable risk (LAR) was estimated based on the BEIR VII, ICRP 103, and US EPA risk models to calculate additional oncogenic risk related to radiation exposure. The Friedman test for repeated-measures analysis of variance was used to compare risk values between different models. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was used to assess the consistency of risk values between different models. Results: Different organ, leukemia, and all-cancer risk values estimated according to different oncogenic risk models were significantly different, but the intraclass correlation coefficient revealed a good (>0.75) or even excellent (>0.9) agreement between different risk models. The ICRP 103 model estimated a lower all-cancer (median 69.05 [IQR 30.35–195.37]) and leukemia risk (8.22 [3.02–27.93]) compared to the US EPA (all-cancer: 139.68 [50.51–416.16]; leukemia: 23.34 [3.47–64.37]) and BEIR VII (all-cancer: 162.08 [70.6–371.40]; leukemia: 24.66 [12.9–58.8]) models. Conclusions: Cancer risk values were significantly different between risk models, though inter-model agreement in the consistency of risk values was found to be good, or even excellent.https://www.mdpi.com/2379-139X/11/4/42BEIR VIIoncogenic riskintensive care uniteffective dosecomputed tomographyradiation exposure
spellingShingle Emilio Quaia
Chiara Zanon
Riccardo Torchio
Fabrizio Dughiero
Francesca De Monte
Marta Paiusco
Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit Patients
Tomography
BEIR VII
oncogenic risk
intensive care unit
effective dose
computed tomography
radiation exposure
title Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit Patients
title_full Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit Patients
title_fullStr Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit Patients
title_full_unstemmed Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit Patients
title_short Variability Between Radiation-Induced Cancer Risk Models in Estimating Oncogenic Risk in Intensive Care Unit Patients
title_sort variability between radiation induced cancer risk models in estimating oncogenic risk in intensive care unit patients
topic BEIR VII
oncogenic risk
intensive care unit
effective dose
computed tomography
radiation exposure
url https://www.mdpi.com/2379-139X/11/4/42
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