An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban Areas

This study introduces an innovative ensemble data-driven model designed for short-term water demand forecasting within urban areas. By synergistically combining three distinct machine learning approaches—NHiTS, XGBoost regression, and a multi-head 1D convolutional neural network—our model enhances f...

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Main Authors: Amin E. Bakhshipour, Hossein Namdari, Alireza Koochali, Ulrich Dittmer, Ali Haghighi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-09-01
Series:Engineering Proceedings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4591/69/1/69
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author Amin E. Bakhshipour
Hossein Namdari
Alireza Koochali
Ulrich Dittmer
Ali Haghighi
author_facet Amin E. Bakhshipour
Hossein Namdari
Alireza Koochali
Ulrich Dittmer
Ali Haghighi
author_sort Amin E. Bakhshipour
collection DOAJ
description This study introduces an innovative ensemble data-driven model designed for short-term water demand forecasting within urban areas. By synergistically combining three distinct machine learning approaches—NHiTS, XGBoost regression, and a multi-head 1D convolutional neural network—our model enhances forecasting accuracy and reliability. This integration not only leverages the unique strengths of each method but also compensates for their individual weaknesses, resulting in a robust solution for predicting urban water demand. Tested against the Battle of Water Demand Forecasting dataset (WDSA-CCWI-2024), our ensemble model demonstrates superior performance, offering a promising tool for efficient water resource management and decision making.
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spelling doaj-art-a93a1e9411fc4bc6a56e613bfe848d432025-08-20T02:11:25ZengMDPI AGEngineering Proceedings2673-45912024-09-016916910.3390/engproc2024069069An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban AreasAmin E. Bakhshipour0Hossein Namdari1Alireza Koochali2Ulrich Dittmer3Ali Haghighi4Institute of Urban Water Management, RPTU in Kaiserslautern, 67663 Kaiserslautern, GermanyFaculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz 61357-83151, IranGerman Research Center for Artificial Intelligence (DFKI), 67663 Kaiserslautern, GermanyInstitute of Urban Water Management, RPTU in Kaiserslautern, 67663 Kaiserslautern, GermanyInstitute of Urban Water Management, RPTU in Kaiserslautern, 67663 Kaiserslautern, GermanyThis study introduces an innovative ensemble data-driven model designed for short-term water demand forecasting within urban areas. By synergistically combining three distinct machine learning approaches—NHiTS, XGBoost regression, and a multi-head 1D convolutional neural network—our model enhances forecasting accuracy and reliability. This integration not only leverages the unique strengths of each method but also compensates for their individual weaknesses, resulting in a robust solution for predicting urban water demand. Tested against the Battle of Water Demand Forecasting dataset (WDSA-CCWI-2024), our ensemble model demonstrates superior performance, offering a promising tool for efficient water resource management and decision making.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4591/69/1/69water demand forecastingdeep learningensemble learningtime series analysis
spellingShingle Amin E. Bakhshipour
Hossein Namdari
Alireza Koochali
Ulrich Dittmer
Ali Haghighi
An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban Areas
Engineering Proceedings
water demand forecasting
deep learning
ensemble learning
time series analysis
title An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban Areas
title_full An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban Areas
title_fullStr An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban Areas
title_full_unstemmed An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban Areas
title_short An Ensemble Data-Driven Approach for Enhanced Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting in Urban Areas
title_sort ensemble data driven approach for enhanced short term water demand forecasting in urban areas
topic water demand forecasting
deep learning
ensemble learning
time series analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4591/69/1/69
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