Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method

Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real lifeexperiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) wepresent a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and theuncertainty (in the form of a probability density function) ofparameters in crowd dynamic mode...

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Main Authors: Alessandro Corbetta, Adrian Muntean, Kiamars Vafayi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2014-11-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.337
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author Alessandro Corbetta
Adrian Muntean
Kiamars Vafayi
author_facet Alessandro Corbetta
Adrian Muntean
Kiamars Vafayi
author_sort Alessandro Corbetta
collection DOAJ
description Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real lifeexperiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) wepresent a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and theuncertainty (in the form of a probability density function) ofparameters in crowd dynamic models from the experimental data; and (2)we introduce a fitness measure for the models to classify acouple of model structures (forces) according to their fitness to theexperimental data, preparing the stage for a more generalmodel-selection and validation strategy inspired by probabilistic dataanalysis. Finally, we review the essential aspects of our experimentalsetup and measurement technique.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1551-0018
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series Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-a73d88f1cdd549bb9e5ed087f14850b22025-01-24T02:31:45ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182014-11-0112233735610.3934/mbe.2015.12.337Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic methodAlessandro Corbetta0Adrian Muntean1Kiamars Vafayi2CASA- Centre for Analysis, Scientific computing and Applications, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eindhoven University of Technology, P.O. Box 513, 5600 MB EindhovenCASA- Centre for Analysis, Scientific computing and Applications, ICMS - Institute for Complex Molecular Systems, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eindhoven University of Technology, P.O. Box 513, 5600 MB EindhovenCASA- Centre for Analysis, Scientific computing and Applications, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eindhoven University of Technology, P.O. Box 513, 5600 MB EindhovenFocusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real lifeexperiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) wepresent a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and theuncertainty (in the form of a probability density function) ofparameters in crowd dynamic models from the experimental data; and (2)we introduce a fitness measure for the models to classify acouple of model structures (forces) according to their fitness to theexperimental data, preparing the stage for a more generalmodel-selection and validation strategy inspired by probabilistic dataanalysis. Finally, we review the essential aspects of our experimentalsetup and measurement technique.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.337bayes theoremcrowd dynamicsmodels classificationdata analysis.parameter estimation
spellingShingle Alessandro Corbetta
Adrian Muntean
Kiamars Vafayi
Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
bayes theorem
crowd dynamics
models classification
data analysis.
parameter estimation
title Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method
title_full Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method
title_fullStr Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method
title_full_unstemmed Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method
title_short Parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method
title_sort parameter estimation of social forces in pedestrian dynamics models via a probabilistic method
topic bayes theorem
crowd dynamics
models classification
data analysis.
parameter estimation
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.337
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AT adrianmuntean parameterestimationofsocialforcesinpedestriandynamicsmodelsviaaprobabilisticmethod
AT kiamarsvafayi parameterestimationofsocialforcesinpedestriandynamicsmodelsviaaprobabilisticmethod