Artificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses

Abstract Treatment decisions for an incidental renal mass are mostly made with pathologic uncertainty. Improving the diagnosis of benign renal masses and distinguishing aggressive cancers from indolent ones is key to better treatment selection. We analyze 13261 pre-operative computed computed tomogr...

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Main Authors: Ying Xiong, Linpeng Yao, Jinglai Lin, Jiaxi Yao, Qi Bai, Yuan Huang, Xue Zhang, Risheng Huang, Run Wang, Kang Wang, Yu Qi, Pingyi Zhu, Haoran Wang, Li Liu, Jianjun Zhou, Jianming Guo, Feng Chen, Chenchen Dai, Shuo Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56784-z
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author Ying Xiong
Linpeng Yao
Jinglai Lin
Jiaxi Yao
Qi Bai
Yuan Huang
Xue Zhang
Risheng Huang
Run Wang
Kang Wang
Yu Qi
Pingyi Zhu
Haoran Wang
Li Liu
Jianjun Zhou
Jianming Guo
Feng Chen
Chenchen Dai
Shuo Wang
author_facet Ying Xiong
Linpeng Yao
Jinglai Lin
Jiaxi Yao
Qi Bai
Yuan Huang
Xue Zhang
Risheng Huang
Run Wang
Kang Wang
Yu Qi
Pingyi Zhu
Haoran Wang
Li Liu
Jianjun Zhou
Jianming Guo
Feng Chen
Chenchen Dai
Shuo Wang
author_sort Ying Xiong
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Treatment decisions for an incidental renal mass are mostly made with pathologic uncertainty. Improving the diagnosis of benign renal masses and distinguishing aggressive cancers from indolent ones is key to better treatment selection. We analyze 13261 pre-operative computed computed tomography (CT) volumes of 4557 patients. Two multi-phase convolutional neural networks are developed to predict the malignancy and aggressiveness of renal masses. The first diagnostic model designed to predict the malignancy of renal masses achieves area under the curve (AUC) of 0.871 in the prospective test set. This model surpasses the average performance of seven seasoned radiologists. The second diagnostic model differentiating aggressive from indolent tumors has AUC of 0.783 in the prospective test set. Both models outperform corresponding radiomics models and the nephrometry score nomogram. Here we show that the deep learning models can non-invasively predict the likelihood of malignant and aggressive pathology of a renal mass based on preoperative multi-phase CT images.
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publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
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spelling doaj-art-a6d8267454c5467cae43dee99f793d7a2025-02-09T12:45:17ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-02-0116111410.1038/s41467-025-56784-zArtificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal massesYing Xiong0Linpeng Yao1Jinglai Lin2Jiaxi Yao3Qi Bai4Yuan Huang5Xue Zhang6Risheng Huang7Run Wang8Kang Wang9Yu Qi10Pingyi Zhu11Haoran Wang12Li Liu13Jianjun Zhou14Jianming Guo15Feng Chen16Chenchen Dai17Shuo Wang18Department of Urology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan UniversityDepartment of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Urology, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan UniversityDepartment of Urology, Zhangye People’s Hospital affiliated to Hexi UniversityDepartment of Urology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan UniversityDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, University of CambridgeDepartment of Radiology, the First People’s Hospital of LianyungangDepartment of Imaging, Quanzhou First Hospital, Fujian Medical UniversityDepartment of Pathology, Sir Run Run Shaw HospitalDigital Medical Research Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Fudan UniversityDepartment of Urology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan UniversityDepartment of Radiology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan UniversityDigital Medical Research Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Fudan UniversityDepartment of Urology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan UniversityDepartment of Radiology, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan UniversityDepartment of Urology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan UniversityDepartment of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan UniversityDigital Medical Research Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Fudan UniversityAbstract Treatment decisions for an incidental renal mass are mostly made with pathologic uncertainty. Improving the diagnosis of benign renal masses and distinguishing aggressive cancers from indolent ones is key to better treatment selection. We analyze 13261 pre-operative computed computed tomography (CT) volumes of 4557 patients. Two multi-phase convolutional neural networks are developed to predict the malignancy and aggressiveness of renal masses. The first diagnostic model designed to predict the malignancy of renal masses achieves area under the curve (AUC) of 0.871 in the prospective test set. This model surpasses the average performance of seven seasoned radiologists. The second diagnostic model differentiating aggressive from indolent tumors has AUC of 0.783 in the prospective test set. Both models outperform corresponding radiomics models and the nephrometry score nomogram. Here we show that the deep learning models can non-invasively predict the likelihood of malignant and aggressive pathology of a renal mass based on preoperative multi-phase CT images.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56784-z
spellingShingle Ying Xiong
Linpeng Yao
Jinglai Lin
Jiaxi Yao
Qi Bai
Yuan Huang
Xue Zhang
Risheng Huang
Run Wang
Kang Wang
Yu Qi
Pingyi Zhu
Haoran Wang
Li Liu
Jianjun Zhou
Jianming Guo
Feng Chen
Chenchen Dai
Shuo Wang
Artificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses
Nature Communications
title Artificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses
title_full Artificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses
title_fullStr Artificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses
title_full_unstemmed Artificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses
title_short Artificial intelligence links CT images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses
title_sort artificial intelligence links ct images to pathologic features and survival outcomes of renal masses
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56784-z
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