A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting

Global adoption of wind energy continues to increase, while improving the efficiency of turbine settings requires reliable wind speed (WS) models. The latest models rely on artificial intelligence (AI) optimizations which constructs tests on a range of novel hybrid models to examine the reliability....

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Main Authors: Shahab S. Band, Rasoul Ameri, Sultan Noman Qasem, Saeid Mehdizadeh, Brij B. Gupta, Hao-Ting Pai, Danyal Shahmirzadi, Ely Salwana, Amir Mosavi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Heliyon
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024170570
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author Shahab S. Band
Rasoul Ameri
Sultan Noman Qasem
Saeid Mehdizadeh
Brij B. Gupta
Hao-Ting Pai
Danyal Shahmirzadi
Ely Salwana
Amir Mosavi
author_facet Shahab S. Band
Rasoul Ameri
Sultan Noman Qasem
Saeid Mehdizadeh
Brij B. Gupta
Hao-Ting Pai
Danyal Shahmirzadi
Ely Salwana
Amir Mosavi
author_sort Shahab S. Band
collection DOAJ
description Global adoption of wind energy continues to increase, while improving the efficiency of turbine settings requires reliable wind speed (WS) models. The latest models rely on artificial intelligence (AI) optimizations which constructs tests on a range of novel hybrid models to examine the reliability. Gradient Boosting (GB), Random Forest (RF), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) are used in new combinations for data pre-processing. A Time Varying Filter-based Empirical Mode Decomposition (TVFEMD) model is coupled with the GB and LSTM standalone models, to create TVFEMD-GB and TVFEMD-LSTM hybrids, which are run in competition with each other. Eventually, a preferred hybrid form is established, simultaneous hybridization of TVFEMD with GB and LSTM. This study is the first to hybridize these fundamental systems, and create a TVFEMD-GB-LSTM model that can forecast WS. This study finds that the novel hybrid models exhibit superior performance to standalone GB and LSTM models, opening the pathway to alternative WS prediction techniques.
format Article
id doaj-art-a687ecc8d781435c89690b031d2e0df3
institution Kabale University
issn 2405-8440
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Heliyon
spelling doaj-art-a687ecc8d781435c89690b031d2e0df32025-01-17T04:50:00ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402025-01-01111e41026A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecastingShahab S. Band0Rasoul Ameri1Sultan Noman Qasem2Saeid Mehdizadeh3Brij B. Gupta4Hao-Ting Pai5Danyal Shahmirzadi6Ely Salwana7Amir Mosavi8Future Technology Research Center, National Yunlin University of Science and Technology, Douliu, Taiwan; Department of Information Management, International Graduate School of Artificial Intelligence, National Yunlin University of Science and Technology, Douliu, TaiwanDepartment of Information Management, International Graduate School of Artificial Intelligence, National Yunlin University of Science and Technology, Douliu, TaiwanComputer Science Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh, 11432, Saudi Arabia; Computer Science Department, Faculty of Applied Science, Taiz University, Taiz, 6803, YemenWater Engineering Department, Urmia University, Urmia, IranDepartment of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Asia University, Taichung, 413, Taiwan; Symbiosis Centre for Information Technology (SCIT), Symbiosis International University, Pune, India; Center for Interdisciplinary Research, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies (UPES), Dehradun, India; Corresponding author. Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Asia University, Taichung, 413, Taiwan.Department of Big Data Business Analytics, National Pingtung University, Pingtung, TaiwanGraduate School of Engineering Science and Technology, National Yunlin University of Science and Technology, 123 University Road, Douliou, 64002, Yunlin, TaiwanInstitute of Visual Informatics, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600, Bangi, Selangor, MalaysiaJohn von Neumann Faculty of Informatics, Obuda University, Budapest, Hungary; Corresponding author. John von Neumann Faculty of Informatics, Obuda University, Budapest, Hungary.Global adoption of wind energy continues to increase, while improving the efficiency of turbine settings requires reliable wind speed (WS) models. The latest models rely on artificial intelligence (AI) optimizations which constructs tests on a range of novel hybrid models to examine the reliability. Gradient Boosting (GB), Random Forest (RF), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) are used in new combinations for data pre-processing. A Time Varying Filter-based Empirical Mode Decomposition (TVFEMD) model is coupled with the GB and LSTM standalone models, to create TVFEMD-GB and TVFEMD-LSTM hybrids, which are run in competition with each other. Eventually, a preferred hybrid form is established, simultaneous hybridization of TVFEMD with GB and LSTM. This study is the first to hybridize these fundamental systems, and create a TVFEMD-GB-LSTM model that can forecast WS. This study finds that the novel hybrid models exhibit superior performance to standalone GB and LSTM models, opening the pathway to alternative WS prediction techniques.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024170570Wind speedForecastingGradient boostingLong short-term memoryMachine learningArtificial intelligence
spellingShingle Shahab S. Band
Rasoul Ameri
Sultan Noman Qasem
Saeid Mehdizadeh
Brij B. Gupta
Hao-Ting Pai
Danyal Shahmirzadi
Ely Salwana
Amir Mosavi
A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting
Heliyon
Wind speed
Forecasting
Gradient boosting
Long short-term memory
Machine learning
Artificial intelligence
title A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting
title_full A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting
title_fullStr A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting
title_full_unstemmed A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting
title_short A two-stage deep learning-based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting
title_sort two stage deep learning based hybrid model for daily wind speed forecasting
topic Wind speed
Forecasting
Gradient boosting
Long short-term memory
Machine learning
Artificial intelligence
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024170570
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