From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan Areas

Urban bus fleets worldwide face urgent decarbonization requirements, with Germany targeting net-zero emissions by 2050. Current electrification research often addresses individual components—energy consumption, scheduling, or charging infrastructure—in isolation, lacking integrated frameworks that c...

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Main Authors: Ludger Heide, Shuyao Guo, Dietmar Göhlich
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:World Electric Vehicle Journal
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2032-6653/16/7/378
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author Ludger Heide
Shuyao Guo
Dietmar Göhlich
author_facet Ludger Heide
Shuyao Guo
Dietmar Göhlich
author_sort Ludger Heide
collection DOAJ
description Urban bus fleets worldwide face urgent decarbonization requirements, with Germany targeting net-zero emissions by 2050. Current electrification research often addresses individual components—energy consumption, scheduling, or charging infrastructure—in isolation, lacking integrated frameworks that capture complex system interactions. This study presents “eflips-X”, a modular, open-source simulation framework that integrates energy consumption modeling, battery-aware block building, depot–block assignment, terminus charger placement, depot operations simulation, and smart charging optimization within a unified workflow. The framework employs empirical energy models, graph-based scheduling algorithms, and integer linear programming for depot assignment and smart charging. Applied to Berlin’s bus network—Germany’s largest—three scenarios were evaluated: maintaining existing blocks with electrification, exclusive depot charging, and small batteries with extensive terminus charging. Electric fleets need 2.1–7.1% additional vehicles compared to diesel operations, with hybrid depot-terminus charging strategies minimizing this increase. Smart charging reduces peak power demand by 49.8% on average, while different charging strategies yield distinct trade-offs between infrastructure requirements, fleet size, and operational efficiency. The framework enables systematic evaluation of electrification pathways, supporting evidence-based planning for zero-emission public transport transitions.
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spelling doaj-art-a67677e18b574c8aa195cd2ee43348ff2025-08-20T03:32:28ZengMDPI AGWorld Electric Vehicle Journal2032-66532025-07-0116737810.3390/wevj16070378From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan AreasLudger Heide0Shuyao Guo1Dietmar Göhlich2Chair of Methods of Product Development and Mechatronics, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, GermanyChair of Methods of Product Development and Mechatronics, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, GermanyChair of Methods of Product Development and Mechatronics, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, GermanyUrban bus fleets worldwide face urgent decarbonization requirements, with Germany targeting net-zero emissions by 2050. Current electrification research often addresses individual components—energy consumption, scheduling, or charging infrastructure—in isolation, lacking integrated frameworks that capture complex system interactions. This study presents “eflips-X”, a modular, open-source simulation framework that integrates energy consumption modeling, battery-aware block building, depot–block assignment, terminus charger placement, depot operations simulation, and smart charging optimization within a unified workflow. The framework employs empirical energy models, graph-based scheduling algorithms, and integer linear programming for depot assignment and smart charging. Applied to Berlin’s bus network—Germany’s largest—three scenarios were evaluated: maintaining existing blocks with electrification, exclusive depot charging, and small batteries with extensive terminus charging. Electric fleets need 2.1–7.1% additional vehicles compared to diesel operations, with hybrid depot-terminus charging strategies minimizing this increase. Smart charging reduces peak power demand by 49.8% on average, while different charging strategies yield distinct trade-offs between infrastructure requirements, fleet size, and operational efficiency. The framework enables systematic evaluation of electrification pathways, supporting evidence-based planning for zero-emission public transport transitions.https://www.mdpi.com/2032-6653/16/7/378electric busvehicle schedulingdepot chargingopportunity chargingsmart chargingfleet electrification
spellingShingle Ludger Heide
Shuyao Guo
Dietmar Göhlich
From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan Areas
World Electric Vehicle Journal
electric bus
vehicle scheduling
depot charging
opportunity charging
smart charging
fleet electrification
title From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan Areas
title_full From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan Areas
title_fullStr From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan Areas
title_full_unstemmed From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan Areas
title_short From Simulation to Implementation: A Systems Model for Electric Bus Fleet Deployment in Metropolitan Areas
title_sort from simulation to implementation a systems model for electric bus fleet deployment in metropolitan areas
topic electric bus
vehicle scheduling
depot charging
opportunity charging
smart charging
fleet electrification
url https://www.mdpi.com/2032-6653/16/7/378
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