Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport Network

Random events like accidents and vehicle breakdown, degrade link capacities and lead to uncertain travel environment. And whether travelers adjust route or not depends on the utility difference (dynamic rerouting behavior) rather than a constant. Considering travelers’ risk-taking behavior in uncert...

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Main Authors: Manman Li, Jian Lu, Jiahui Sun, Qiang Tu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1524178
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author Manman Li
Jian Lu
Jiahui Sun
Qiang Tu
author_facet Manman Li
Jian Lu
Jiahui Sun
Qiang Tu
author_sort Manman Li
collection DOAJ
description Random events like accidents and vehicle breakdown, degrade link capacities and lead to uncertain travel environment. And whether travelers adjust route or not depends on the utility difference (dynamic rerouting behavior) rather than a constant. Considering travelers’ risk-taking behavior in uncertain environment and dynamic rerouting behavior, a new day-to-day traffic assignment model is established. In the proposed model, an exponential-smoothing filter is adopted to describe travelers’ learning for uncertain travel time. The cumulative prospect theory is used to reflect route utility and its reference point is adaptive and set to be the minimal travel time under a certain on-time arrival probability. Rerouting probability is determined by the difference between expected utility and perceived utility of previously chosen route. Rerouting travelers choose new routes in a logit model while travelers who do not choose to reroute travel on their previous routes again. The proposed model’s several mathematical properties, including fixed point existence, uniqueness, and stability condition, are investigated through theoretical analyses. Numerical experiments are also conducted to validate the proposed heuristic stability condition, show the effects of four main parameters on dynamic natures of the system, and investigate the differences of the system based on expected utility theory and cumulative prospect theory and with static rerouting behavior and dynamic rerouting behavior.
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spelling doaj-art-a660cffae5c34f3dbbeced4ac4b4b3512025-08-20T02:20:48ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952019-01-01201910.1155/2019/15241781524178Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport NetworkManman Li0Jian Lu1Jiahui Sun2Qiang Tu3Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies and School of Transportation, Southeast University, ChinaJiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies and School of Transportation, Southeast University, ChinaXi’an Institute of Space Power Measurement and Control Technology, ChinaJiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies and School of Transportation, Southeast University, ChinaRandom events like accidents and vehicle breakdown, degrade link capacities and lead to uncertain travel environment. And whether travelers adjust route or not depends on the utility difference (dynamic rerouting behavior) rather than a constant. Considering travelers’ risk-taking behavior in uncertain environment and dynamic rerouting behavior, a new day-to-day traffic assignment model is established. In the proposed model, an exponential-smoothing filter is adopted to describe travelers’ learning for uncertain travel time. The cumulative prospect theory is used to reflect route utility and its reference point is adaptive and set to be the minimal travel time under a certain on-time arrival probability. Rerouting probability is determined by the difference between expected utility and perceived utility of previously chosen route. Rerouting travelers choose new routes in a logit model while travelers who do not choose to reroute travel on their previous routes again. The proposed model’s several mathematical properties, including fixed point existence, uniqueness, and stability condition, are investigated through theoretical analyses. Numerical experiments are also conducted to validate the proposed heuristic stability condition, show the effects of four main parameters on dynamic natures of the system, and investigate the differences of the system based on expected utility theory and cumulative prospect theory and with static rerouting behavior and dynamic rerouting behavior.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1524178
spellingShingle Manman Li
Jian Lu
Jiahui Sun
Qiang Tu
Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport Network
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport Network
title_full Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport Network
title_fullStr Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport Network
title_full_unstemmed Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport Network
title_short Day-to-Day Evolution of Traffic Flow with Dynamic Rerouting in Degradable Transport Network
title_sort day to day evolution of traffic flow with dynamic rerouting in degradable transport network
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1524178
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AT jianlu daytodayevolutionoftrafficflowwithdynamicreroutingindegradabletransportnetwork
AT jiahuisun daytodayevolutionoftrafficflowwithdynamicreroutingindegradabletransportnetwork
AT qiangtu daytodayevolutionoftrafficflowwithdynamicreroutingindegradabletransportnetwork