The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax Rates

Indonesia, as one of the top ten global carbon emitters, largely due to its heavy reliance on coal-fired power plants, has introduced a carbon tax policy to address the environmental impacts and mitigate carbon emissions. This study investigates the dynamic effects of coal power plant emissions on I...

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Main Authors: Arif Rahman Hakim, Vita Sarasi, Eddy Prahasta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Muhammadiyah University Press 2025-06-01
Series:Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/10686
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author Arif Rahman Hakim
Vita Sarasi
Eddy Prahasta
author_facet Arif Rahman Hakim
Vita Sarasi
Eddy Prahasta
author_sort Arif Rahman Hakim
collection DOAJ
description Indonesia, as one of the top ten global carbon emitters, largely due to its heavy reliance on coal-fired power plants, has introduced a carbon tax policy to address the environmental impacts and mitigate carbon emissions. This study investigates the dynamic effects of coal power plant emissions on Indonesia's carbon tax rates by applying a system thinking approach utilizing a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD). The CLD is used to map the complex interactions between carbon emissions, economic factors, and regulatory policies, focusing on Indonesia’s carbon tax policy framework from its inception in 2021 through its early implementation stage in 2022, with projections extending to 2025. The CLD analysis identifies three key feedback loops : a reinforcing loop where economic growth and electricity demand increase coal consumption and CO2 emissions, a balancing loop where carbon tax revenues stimulate renewable energy investments to reduce fossil fuel dependency, and a policy feedback loop that strengthens fiscal capacity for climate mitigation efforts. Scenario analysis suggests that increasing the carbon tax rate from IDR 30/kg CO2e to IDR 150/kg CO2e could significantly reduce emissions while maintaining economic stability, particularly in the energy sector, if accompanied by targeted subsidies and incentives for renewable energy. The findings contribute new policy insights on how carbon taxes can be optimized to achieve environmental conservation goals while minimizing negative economic impacts and promoting a sustainable energy transition in Indonesia.
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publisher Muhammadiyah University Press
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series Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
spelling doaj-art-a653b58cf6364bbca02acfc49655abfd2025-08-20T03:33:38ZengMuhammadiyah University PressJurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan1411-60812460-93312025-06-01456510.23917/jep.v26i1.1068610770The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax RatesArif Rahman Hakim0Vita Sarasi1Eddy Prahasta2Directorate General of Taxes, Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaFaculty of Economics and Business, Padjadjaran UniversityPT. Dirgantara IndonesiaIndonesia, as one of the top ten global carbon emitters, largely due to its heavy reliance on coal-fired power plants, has introduced a carbon tax policy to address the environmental impacts and mitigate carbon emissions. This study investigates the dynamic effects of coal power plant emissions on Indonesia's carbon tax rates by applying a system thinking approach utilizing a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD). The CLD is used to map the complex interactions between carbon emissions, economic factors, and regulatory policies, focusing on Indonesia’s carbon tax policy framework from its inception in 2021 through its early implementation stage in 2022, with projections extending to 2025. The CLD analysis identifies three key feedback loops : a reinforcing loop where economic growth and electricity demand increase coal consumption and CO2 emissions, a balancing loop where carbon tax revenues stimulate renewable energy investments to reduce fossil fuel dependency, and a policy feedback loop that strengthens fiscal capacity for climate mitigation efforts. Scenario analysis suggests that increasing the carbon tax rate from IDR 30/kg CO2e to IDR 150/kg CO2e could significantly reduce emissions while maintaining economic stability, particularly in the energy sector, if accompanied by targeted subsidies and incentives for renewable energy. The findings contribute new policy insights on how carbon taxes can be optimized to achieve environmental conservation goals while minimizing negative economic impacts and promoting a sustainable energy transition in Indonesia.https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/10686carbon taxcoal-fired power plantsemissionssystem thinking
spellingShingle Arif Rahman Hakim
Vita Sarasi
Eddy Prahasta
The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax Rates
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
carbon tax
coal-fired power plants
emissions
system thinking
title The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax Rates
title_full The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax Rates
title_fullStr The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax Rates
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax Rates
title_short The Impact of Coal Power Plant Emissions on Indonesia's Carbon Tax Rates
title_sort impact of coal power plant emissions on indonesia s carbon tax rates
topic carbon tax
coal-fired power plants
emissions
system thinking
url https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/10686
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