Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation Rate

Abstract The spread in global mean precipitation among climate models is explored in two ensembles using the complementary perspectives of surface evaporation and energy budgets. Models with higher global mean precipitation have stronger oceanic evaporation, driven by drier near‐surface air. The dri...

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Main Authors: Jacob M. Hendrickson, Christopher R. Terai, Michael S. Pritchard, Peter M. Caldwell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-03-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091169
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author Jacob M. Hendrickson
Christopher R. Terai
Michael S. Pritchard
Peter M. Caldwell
author_facet Jacob M. Hendrickson
Christopher R. Terai
Michael S. Pritchard
Peter M. Caldwell
author_sort Jacob M. Hendrickson
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The spread in global mean precipitation among climate models is explored in two ensembles using the complementary perspectives of surface evaporation and energy budgets. Models with higher global mean precipitation have stronger oceanic evaporation, driven by drier near‐surface air. The drier surface conditions occur alongside increases in near‐surface temperature and moisture at 925 hPa, which point to stronger boundary layer mixing. Correlations suggest that the degree of lower tropospheric mixing explains 18%–49% of the intermodel precipitation variance. To test this hypothesis, the degree of mixing is indirectly varied in a single‐model experiment by adjusting the relative humidity threshold that controls low‐cloud fraction. Indeed, increasing lower tropospheric mixing results in more global mean precipitation. Energetically, increased precipitation rates are associated with more downwelling longwave radiation to the surface and weaker sensible heat fluxes. These results highlight how lower‐tropospheric processes must be better constrained to reduce the precipitation discrepancy among climate models.
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publisher Wiley
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-a61ed8ddc40e4e3eb43fedcb635ef0072025-08-20T02:11:09ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072021-03-01486n/an/a10.1029/2020GL091169Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation RateJacob M. Hendrickson0Christopher R. Terai1Michael S. Pritchard2Peter M. Caldwell3Department of Earth System Science University of California Irvine CA USADepartment of Earth System Science University of California Irvine CA USADepartment of Earth System Science University of California Irvine CA USALawrence Livermore National Laboratory Livermore CA USAAbstract The spread in global mean precipitation among climate models is explored in two ensembles using the complementary perspectives of surface evaporation and energy budgets. Models with higher global mean precipitation have stronger oceanic evaporation, driven by drier near‐surface air. The drier surface conditions occur alongside increases in near‐surface temperature and moisture at 925 hPa, which point to stronger boundary layer mixing. Correlations suggest that the degree of lower tropospheric mixing explains 18%–49% of the intermodel precipitation variance. To test this hypothesis, the degree of mixing is indirectly varied in a single‐model experiment by adjusting the relative humidity threshold that controls low‐cloud fraction. Indeed, increasing lower tropospheric mixing results in more global mean precipitation. Energetically, increased precipitation rates are associated with more downwelling longwave radiation to the surface and weaker sensible heat fluxes. These results highlight how lower‐tropospheric processes must be better constrained to reduce the precipitation discrepancy among climate models.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091169boundary layer processesglobal climate modelingwater cycle
spellingShingle Jacob M. Hendrickson
Christopher R. Terai
Michael S. Pritchard
Peter M. Caldwell
Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation Rate
Geophysical Research Letters
boundary layer processes
global climate modeling
water cycle
title Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation Rate
title_full Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation Rate
title_fullStr Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation Rate
title_full_unstemmed Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation Rate
title_short Lower Tropospheric Processes: A Control on the Global Mean Precipitation Rate
title_sort lower tropospheric processes a control on the global mean precipitation rate
topic boundary layer processes
global climate modeling
water cycle
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091169
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AT michaelspritchard lowertroposphericprocessesacontrolontheglobalmeanprecipitationrate
AT petermcaldwell lowertroposphericprocessesacontrolontheglobalmeanprecipitationrate