Using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context

Abstract Urban transportation networks are recognized for their pivotal role in forecasting city indicators and facilitating efficient planning and management. However, despite the increase of methodologies and models harnessing machine learning advancement to forecast these values, challenges persi...

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Main Authors: Maximiliano Ojeda, Juan Reutter
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2025-06-01
Series:Computational Urban Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s43762-025-00192-y
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author Maximiliano Ojeda
Juan Reutter
author_facet Maximiliano Ojeda
Juan Reutter
author_sort Maximiliano Ojeda
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Urban transportation networks are recognized for their pivotal role in forecasting city indicators and facilitating efficient planning and management. However, despite the increase of methodologies and models harnessing machine learning advancement to forecast these values, challenges persist in scenarios where direct demographic or economic data are limited or unavailable. In this paper, we propose an approach to infer socioeconomic information in an urban context without relying on traditional, official data sources, but rather focusing on publicly available data relating to the digital footprints of the cities’ inhabitants. We leverage Graph Neural Network (GNN) models to capture the spatial relationships inherent in network data while integrating perceptual features extracted from images to enhance predictive accuracy. Our results demonstrate that the combination of these data sources enables a GNN to achieve robust performance in predicting socioeconomic indicators, particularly in settings where traditional demographic and economic data may be sparse or unavailable. Through our analysis, we show that while perceptual features alone offer substantial predictive power, the inclusion of map topology through GNN models provides crucial context, leading to better generalization and more reliable predictions across different urban areas.
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spelling doaj-art-a612e97563e14edd8d716cbf595bacdf2025-08-20T03:22:48ZengSpringerComputational Urban Science2730-68522025-06-015111610.1007/s43762-025-00192-yUsing publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban contextMaximiliano Ojeda0Juan Reutter1Department of Computer Science, PUCMillennium Institute for Foundational Research on Data, PUCAbstract Urban transportation networks are recognized for their pivotal role in forecasting city indicators and facilitating efficient planning and management. However, despite the increase of methodologies and models harnessing machine learning advancement to forecast these values, challenges persist in scenarios where direct demographic or economic data are limited or unavailable. In this paper, we propose an approach to infer socioeconomic information in an urban context without relying on traditional, official data sources, but rather focusing on publicly available data relating to the digital footprints of the cities’ inhabitants. We leverage Graph Neural Network (GNN) models to capture the spatial relationships inherent in network data while integrating perceptual features extracted from images to enhance predictive accuracy. Our results demonstrate that the combination of these data sources enables a GNN to achieve robust performance in predicting socioeconomic indicators, particularly in settings where traditional demographic and economic data may be sparse or unavailable. Through our analysis, we show that while perceptual features alone offer substantial predictive power, the inclusion of map topology through GNN models provides crucial context, leading to better generalization and more reliable predictions across different urban areas.https://doi.org/10.1007/s43762-025-00192-yGraph neural networksUrban transportationPerceptual valuesSocioeconomic forecasting
spellingShingle Maximiliano Ojeda
Juan Reutter
Using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context
Computational Urban Science
Graph neural networks
Urban transportation
Perceptual values
Socioeconomic forecasting
title Using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context
title_full Using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context
title_fullStr Using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context
title_full_unstemmed Using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context
title_short Using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context
title_sort using publicly available data for predicting socioeconomic values in urban context
topic Graph neural networks
Urban transportation
Perceptual values
Socioeconomic forecasting
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s43762-025-00192-y
work_keys_str_mv AT maximilianoojeda usingpubliclyavailabledataforpredictingsocioeconomicvaluesinurbancontext
AT juanreutter usingpubliclyavailabledataforpredictingsocioeconomicvaluesinurbancontext