Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming World

Abstract Offshore wind farms, a rapidly expanding sector within wind energy, are playing a significant role in achieving global carbon neutrality, and this trend is to continue. Here, we utilize ERA5 reanalysis to correct offshore wind speed trends predicted by CMIP6 models. This approach led to enh...

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Main Authors: Cheng Shen, Zhi‐Bo Li, Hui‐Shuang Yuan, Yue Yu, Yadong Lei, Deliang Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-07-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109494
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author Cheng Shen
Zhi‐Bo Li
Hui‐Shuang Yuan
Yue Yu
Yadong Lei
Deliang Chen
author_facet Cheng Shen
Zhi‐Bo Li
Hui‐Shuang Yuan
Yue Yu
Yadong Lei
Deliang Chen
author_sort Cheng Shen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Offshore wind farms, a rapidly expanding sector within wind energy, are playing a significant role in achieving global carbon neutrality, and this trend is to continue. Here, we utilize ERA5 reanalysis to correct offshore wind speed trends predicted by CMIP6 models. This approach led to enhanced projections for changes in offshore Wind Power Density (WPD) under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios. Throughout the 21st century, global offshore WPD is projected to follow an upward trend across all SSP scenarios. Notably, Europe stands out with the most substantial increase in offshore WPD among regions with higher current installations, projected to reach up to 26% under 4°C global warming. Our study uncovers a notable increase of global offshore WPD in a warmer climate, which offers valuable insights for the strategic planning of future global wind energy.
format Article
id doaj-art-a5ae69dc424c449791be85a78ff507e9
institution DOAJ
issn 0094-8276
1944-8007
language English
publishDate 2024-07-01
publisher Wiley
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-a5ae69dc424c449791be85a78ff507e92025-08-20T03:10:25ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072024-07-015114n/an/a10.1029/2024GL109494Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming WorldCheng Shen0Zhi‐Bo Li1Hui‐Shuang Yuan2Yue Yu3Yadong Lei4Deliang Chen5Department of Earth Sciences Regional Climate Group University of Gothenburg Gothenburg SwedenDepartment of Earth Sciences Regional Climate Group University of Gothenburg Gothenburg SwedenDepartment of Atmospheric Science Yunnan University Kunming ChinaNanjing Meteorological Bureau Nanjing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Severe Weather & Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Chemistry of CMA Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Beijing ChinaDepartment of Earth Sciences Regional Climate Group University of Gothenburg Gothenburg SwedenAbstract Offshore wind farms, a rapidly expanding sector within wind energy, are playing a significant role in achieving global carbon neutrality, and this trend is to continue. Here, we utilize ERA5 reanalysis to correct offshore wind speed trends predicted by CMIP6 models. This approach led to enhanced projections for changes in offshore Wind Power Density (WPD) under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios. Throughout the 21st century, global offshore WPD is projected to follow an upward trend across all SSP scenarios. Notably, Europe stands out with the most substantial increase in offshore WPD among regions with higher current installations, projected to reach up to 26% under 4°C global warming. Our study uncovers a notable increase of global offshore WPD in a warmer climate, which offers valuable insights for the strategic planning of future global wind energy.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109494
spellingShingle Cheng Shen
Zhi‐Bo Li
Hui‐Shuang Yuan
Yue Yu
Yadong Lei
Deliang Chen
Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming World
Geophysical Research Letters
title Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming World
title_full Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming World
title_fullStr Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming World
title_full_unstemmed Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming World
title_short Increases of Offshore Wind Potential in a Warming World
title_sort increases of offshore wind potential in a warming world
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109494
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AT zhiboli increasesofoffshorewindpotentialinawarmingworld
AT huishuangyuan increasesofoffshorewindpotentialinawarmingworld
AT yueyu increasesofoffshorewindpotentialinawarmingworld
AT yadonglei increasesofoffshorewindpotentialinawarmingworld
AT deliangchen increasesofoffshorewindpotentialinawarmingworld